Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 22:15 GMT

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Velez Sarsfield · San Lorenzo · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 22:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 930 of 1,251 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Velez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 22:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Velez Sarsfield or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Velez Sarsfield have scored 23 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

San Lorenzo have scored seven goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Two of San Lorenzo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%).

Form and the table

Five of Velez Sarsfield’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Velez Sarsfield’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Velez Sarsfield have five wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.63. Velez Sarsfield have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

Both teams scored in three of San Lorenzo’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%). Away from home, San Lorenzo have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.14. San Lorenzo have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

San Lorenzo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Velez Sarsfield (second) and San Lorenzo (ninth) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Velez Sarsfield the stronger side, 164 rating points above San Lorenzo (Velez Sarsfield 1679, San Lorenzo 1515, after at least 285 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

San Lorenzo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Velez Sarsfield. The most recent meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished San Lorenzo 0–0 Velez Sarsfield.

Team news

Predicted Velez Sarsfield XI (4-2-3-1): T. Marchiori, J. Garcia, T. Silvero, E. Gómez, L. Magallán, R. Aliendro, L. Robertone, M. Lanzini, S. Escobar, M. Pellegrini, R. Martinez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Martinez (7.7 per match over seven appearances, nine goals and one assist) and Jano Gordon (6.1 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Velez Sarsfield’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Velez Sarsfield (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Martinez averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 2283 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted San Lorenzo XI (3-4-1-2): J. Devecchi, D. Arboleda, E. Amor, G. Corujo, N. Tripichio, T. Pagano, F. Gulli, G. Alassia, I. Perruzzi, R. Auzmendi, F. Farías — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Hernández (4.3 per match over nine appearances) and Nicolás Tripichio (4.1 per match over 36 appearances, one goal) have been San Lorenzo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for San Lorenzo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Hernández averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 819 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Nicolás Tripichio averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 3143 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 22:15 GMT · Liga Profesional Argentina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Velez Sarsfield 2 · draws 3 · San Lorenzo 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Velez Sarsfield 3W 1D 1L · San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L

Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.63

Goals

against 0.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

4.71 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.29 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.14 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 4.43 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.57 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.71 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Velez Sarsfield for / against	Line	San Lorenzo for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	0.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.71 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.71 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.75 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.14 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.71 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13.5 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield Goalkeeper

Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Montero	17	921560 min	673.9 /90	130.8 /90	00 /90
T. Marchiori	14	921289 min	493.4 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90

Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Montero n 8	92.1	4.2 8/6
T. Marchiori n 8	91	3.1 8/3

Velez Sarsfield Defensive

Velez Sarsfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Elías Gómez	30	912720 min	501.7 /90	351.2 /90	50.2 /90	1505 /90	291 /90	70.2 /90
J. Garcia	27	882388 min	552.1 /90	311.2 /90	80.3 /90	983.7 /90	210.8 /90	40.2 /90
L. Magallán	26	862247 min	371.5 /90	160.6 /90	130.5 /90	923.7 /90	150.6 /90	30.1 /90
E. Mammana	20	881759 min	271.4 /90	160.8 /90	80.4 /90	633.2 /90	80.4 /90	10.1 /90
T. Silvero	16	921469 min	301.8 /90	251.5 /90	161 /90	955.8 /90	80.5 /90	40.2 /90
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Velez Sarsfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Elías Gómez n 8	90.9	0.7 4/2	0.6 4/1	—
M. Lanzini n 8	78.3	0.9 5/1	2.4 6/5	—
R. Aliendro n 8	89.4	1.4 7/3	1.3 5/3	—
J. Garcia n 8	91	0.5 4/0	0 0/0	—
L. Robertone n 8	81.6	2.6 7/5	1.2 5/4	—
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Velez Sarsfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Elías Gómez n 8	90.9	2 7/6
M. Lanzini n 8	78.3	1.6 5/3
R. Aliendro n 8	89.4	3.4 7/6
J. Garcia n 8	91	2 8/4
L. Robertone n 8	81.6	2.8 7/6
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Velez Sarsfield Attacking

Velez Sarsfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Monzon	16	771236 min	60.4 /90	00 /90	302.2 /90	171.2 /90	70.5 /90	110.8 /90
D. Godoy	16	54863 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	181.9 /90	80.8 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90
Thiago Aguirre	10	39392 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	51.1 /90	61.4 /90
A. Veron	8	43344 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	61.6 /90
R. Martinez	7	85596 min	91.4 /90	10.2 /90	213.2 /90	152.3 /90	91.4 /90	10.2 /90
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Velez Sarsfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Elías Gómez n 8	90.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Lanzini n 8	78.3	2 7/5	0.6 3/1
R. Aliendro n 8	89.4	1 5/2	0.1 1/0
J. Garcia n 8	91	0.2 2/0	0.2 2/0
L. Robertone n 8	81.6	1.4 5/3	0.6 4/0
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Velez Sarsfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Elías Gómez n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Lanzini n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Aliendro n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Garcia n 8	91	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Robertone n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo Goalkeeper

San Lorenzo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Orlando Gill	24	912176 min	823.4 /90	200.8 /90	10 /90
José Devecchi	13	851105 min	322.6 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

San Lorenzo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Lorenzo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Orlando Gill n 8	88	3.7 8/4
José Devecchi n 8	88.5	3.1 6/5

San Lorenzo Defensive

San Lorenzo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ezequiel Herrera	29	872509 min	531.9 /90	291 /90	90.3 /90	1194.3 /90	271 /90	40.1 /90
Mathias de Ritis	24	691667 min	402.2 /90	281.5 /90	20.1 /90	995.3 /90	211.1 /90	70.4 /90
Teo Rodríguez Pagano	21	701463 min	301.8 /90	120.7 /90	30.2 /90	845.2 /90	181.1 /90	10.1 /90
Jhohan Romaña	19	891690 min	261.4 /90	291.5 /90	120.6 /90	985.2 /90	170.9 /90	50.3 /90
Lautaro Montenegro	11	911002 min	211.9 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	474.2 /90	171.5 /90	30.3 /90
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San Lorenzo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Lorenzo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nicolás Tripichio n 8	81.1	1.4 5/3	1.7 8/4	—
Alexis Cuello n 8	67.3	1.5 6/3	1.7 6/2	—
Ezequiel Herrera n 8	78.4	1.4 8/2	0.3 1/1	—
Facundo Gulli n 8	50.5	1.3 2/2	1.6 4/2	—
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8	77	1.8 6/3	1.3 8/1	—
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San Lorenzo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Lorenzo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nicolás Tripichio n 8	81.1	2.6 7/5
Alexis Cuello n 8	67.3	0.8 4/1
Ezequiel Herrera n 8	78.4	2.3 7/6
Facundo Gulli n 8	50.5	2 4/4
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8	77	0.7 3/2
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San Lorenzo Attacking

San Lorenzo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Alexis Cuello	35	832897 min	60.2 /90	40.1 /90	591.8 /90	230.7 /90	381.2 /90	541.7 /90
Rodrigo Auzmendi	27	762056 min	70.3 /90	10 /90	632.8 /90	351.5 /90	190.8 /90	100.4 /90
Matias Reali	18	53946 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	131.2 /90	80.8 /90	353.3 /90	60.6 /90
Gregorio Rodriguez	13	48620 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	60.9 /90	30.4 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90
L. Vietto	12	43517 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.9 /90	61 /90	91.6 /90	61 /90
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San Lorenzo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Lorenzo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nicolás Tripichio n 8	81.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Alexis Cuello n 8	67.3	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0
Ezequiel Herrera n 8	78.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Facundo Gulli n 8	50.5	2 4/4	0.9 3/1
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8	77	2.8 8/6	1.2 5/3
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San Lorenzo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Lorenzo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nicolás Tripichio n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alexis Cuello n 8	67.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Ezequiel Herrera n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Facundo Gulli n 8	50.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8	77	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Velez SarsfieldWDLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

San LorenzoLLWWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Velez Sarsfield 2 · 3 draws · San Lorenzo 1 · 1 goals/game

2026-04-20 San Lorenzo 0–0 Velez Sarsfield
2025-08-07 San Lorenzo 1–0 Velez Sarsfield
2025-02-08 Velez Sarsfield 0–0 San Lorenzo
2024-09-14 San Lorenzo 0–1 Velez Sarsfield
2024-08-07 San Lorenzo 1–3 Velez Sarsfield
2023-04-29 Velez Sarsfield 0–0 San Lorenzo

League standing · 2026

Velez Sarsfield#2 pos27 pts14 pl+10 GD

San Lorenzo#9 pos18 pts14 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Velez Sarsfield scored1.64

San Lorenzo scored0.5

Velez Sarsfield conceded0.93

San Lorenzo conceded0.86

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo?: In their last 6 meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 2, San Lorenzo won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo?: Recent form — Velez Sarsfield 3W 1D 1L; San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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