AuxerreNice

Auxerre v Nice result

Full-time · Auxerre 2–1 Nice

Ligue 1 · · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Auxerre · Nice · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Auxerre 2–1 Nice — Auxerre won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nice: 2.26 to 0.87 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Auxerre beat Nice 2–1 at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Nice: Sofiane Diop (9’); Auxerre: Sékou Mara (27’) and Lassine Sinayoko (70’, assisted by Naouirou Ahamada).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lassine Sinayoko’s goal on 70 minutes.

Discipline

F. Letexier showed one yellow card — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Auxerre: Josué Casimir (90+5’).

What it changes

Auxerre move up from 16th to 15th (33 league matches played). Auxerre have scored 34 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Auxerre have conceded 44 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 21 clubs.

Nice move down from 15th to 16th (33 league matches played). Nice have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Nice have conceded 61 goals, the third-most of the 21 clubs.

Nice are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lassine Sinayoko (Auxerre) 7.1, Sofiane Diop (Nice) 6.9 and Naouirou Ahamada (Auxerre) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Auxerre next host Paris FC on 7 November 2026.

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Auxerre: Auxerre v Paris FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Auxerre 2–1 Nice · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · Auxerre
  • Referee: F. Letexier
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Auxerre 1 · draws 4 · Nice 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Auxerre 1W 3D 1L · Nice 1W 4D 0L

Auxerre 2–1 Nice (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.75 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 3 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.1 yellows
Referee · F. Letexier
23.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAuxerre for / againstLineNice for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
10.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
8 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: F. Letexier — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 23.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Auxerre

Auxerre Goalkeeper

Auxerre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Léon26882278 min913.6 /90341.3 /9010 /90
T. De Percin976686 min233 /90111.4 /9010.1 /90
Auxerre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Léon n 887.8
3.68/7
T. De Percin n 880
2.76/2

Auxerre Defensive

Auxerre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Mensah27822221 min542.2 /90291.2 /9030.1 /901144.6 /90351.4 /9080.3 /90
C. Akpa23801846 min291.4 /90211 /9080.4 /901014.9 /90110.5 /9040.2 /90
M. Senaya23801839 min602.9 /90341.7 /90130.6 /901386.8 /90261.3 /9060.3 /90
S. Diomandé22891954 min301.4 /90291.3 /90140.6 /90914.2 /90291.3 /9040.2 /90
L. Sy19741401 min412.6 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90714.6 /90181.2 /9020.1 /90
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Auxerre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Danois n 889.6
15/2
0.95/2
S. Diop
L. Sinayoko n 888.1
0.84/2
2.36/5
—
D. Namaso n 881.5
2.88/4
0.74/1
—
G. Mensah n 887.8
1.57/3
0.84/1
Abdulay Bah
D. Léon n 887.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
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Auxerre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Danois n 889.6
2.88/6
L. Sinayoko n 888.1
1.87/3
D. Namaso n 881.5
1.47/3
G. Mensah n 887.8
2.18/7
E. Owusu n 890
2.87/6
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Auxerre Attacking

Auxerre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Sinayoko30872600 min90.3 /9040.1 /90622.1 /90341.2 /90381.3 /90291 /90
D. Namaso28852367 min30.1 /9030.1 /90391.5 /90160.6 /90311.2 /90321.2 /90
J. Casimir25581457 min10.1 /9000 /90161 /90110.7 /9090.6 /9080.5 /90
S. Mara19541032 min20.2 /9020.2 /90171.5 /90111 /9070.6 /90151.3 /90
I. Osman1259702 min00 /9020.3 /90141.8 /9050.6 /9091.2 /9060.8 /90
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Auxerre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Danois n 889.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Sinayoko n 888.1
2.46/5
1.55/3
D. Namaso n 881.5
1.14/3
0.63/1
G. Mensah n 887.8
00/0
00/0
D. Léon n 887.8
00/0
00/0
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Auxerre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Danois n 889.6
0.11/0
00/0
L. Sinayoko n 888.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Namaso n 881.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Mensah n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
D. Léon n 887.8
00/0
00/0
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Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf33902970 min1163.5 /90621.9 /9020.1 /90
M. Dupé12901080 min312.6 /90181.5 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 890
3.17/6
M. Dupé n 890
2.35/3

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bard38853227 min742.1 /90551.5 /90220.6 /901815 /90381.1 /9050.1 /90
K. Peprah Oppong36822958 min541.6 /90411.2 /90240.7 /901685.1 /90331 /9040.1 /90
Abdulay Bah35812834 min551.7 /90371.2 /90431.4 /901394.4 /90341.1 /9080.3 /90
A. Mendy31862662 min662.2 /90250.8 /90280.9 /901745.9 /90361.2 /9080.3 /90
A. Abdi26561449 min311.9 /90161 /9050.3 /901046.5 /90211.3 /9040.2 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Bard n 888.9
1.15/4
16/2
—
J. Clauss n 889.1
0.84/2
0.54/0
—
S. Diop n 855.8
0.63/0
0.62/1
K. Danois
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
0.73/1
0.32/0
—
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
0.73/1
0.11/0
G. Mensah
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Bard n 888.9
3.28/4
J. Clauss n 889.1
2.37/6
S. Diop n 855.8
2.27/2
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
1.86/3
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
27/4
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cho28681911 min50.2 /9040.2 /90231.1 /90140.7 /90231.1 /90291.4 /90
Kevin Carlos25561399 min20.1 /9000 /90281.8 /90140.9 /9050.3 /9070.5 /90
I. Jansson2146964 min10.1 /9000 /90151.4 /90111 /90111 /90111 /90
Tiago Gouveia1948904 min20.2 /9000 /90171.7 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90111.1 /90
J. Boga1655885 min20.2 /9020.2 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90181.8 /90202 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bard n 888.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Clauss n 889.1
0.95/2
0.43/0
S. Diop n 855.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
0.11/0
0.11/0
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Bard n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Clauss n 889.1
00/0
0.32/0
S. Diop n 855.8
00/0
00/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
00/0
00/0
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AuxerreNice
52%Possession48%
0.84Expected goals (xG)1.33
12Shots10
4Shots on target6
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box8
10Corners1
0Offsides2
15Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves2
451Passes429
79%Pass accuracy78%

Auxerre Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Léon9000000106.7
S. Diomandé9000000106.6
G. Mensah9000000107.3
N. Ahamada9001001207.3
E. Owusu9000100306.3
K. Danois9000110506.6
L. Sinayoko9010312107.3
S. Mara8610311007.6
D. Namaso8600111406.9
L. Sy7100001106.3
B. Okoh1300000007.2
C. Akpa sub7700000007.2
M. Senaya sub1900001006.7
J. Casimir sub11000010Y6.6
L. Coulibaly sub1100000006.3

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Diouf9000000006.3
J. Clauss9000003206.3
A. Mendy9000000306.6
Abdulay Bah9000000106.3
K. Peprah Oppong9000000206.6
H. Boudaoui9000000106.6
S. Diop8110212007.2
M. Sanson7600000106.3
M. Cho7600320006.7
M. Bard5900000006.3
S. Abdul Samed5900000006.3
A. Abdi sub3100001106.5
T. Louchet sub3100000006.3
E. Wahi sub1400220106.3
Kevin Carlos sub1400001006.6
I. Jansson sub900110106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Auxerre v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AuxerreDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
NiceDDWDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Auxerre 1 · 4 draws · Nice 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 Nice 3–1 Auxerre
  • 2025-03-14 Nice 1–1 Auxerre
  • 2024-08-18 Auxerre 2–1 Nice
  • 2024-01-06 Nice 0–0 Auxerre
  • 2023-03-03 Nice 1–1 Auxerre
  • 2022-10-16 Auxerre 1–1 Nice
League standing · 2025/26
Auxerre#15 pos34 pts34 pl-10 GD
Nice#16 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Auxerre scored1
Nice scored1.09
Auxerre conceded1.29
Nice conceded1.76

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Auxerre 0.87 xG from 12 shots, Nice 2.26 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Sofiane Diop 52' · 0.61 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 8' · 0.35 xGKévin Danois 78' · 0.34 xGSepe Elye Wahi 95' · 0.31 xGSepe Elye Wahi 77' · 0.22 xGLassine Sinayoko 91' · 0.10 xGDanny Namaso 16' · 0.08 xGIsak Jansson 89' · 0.08 xGMorgan Sanson 11' · 0.08 xGDanny Namaso 73' · 0.06 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 2' · 0.04 xGSékou Mara 83' · 0.04 xGLamine Sy 41' · 0.03 xGSékou Mara 15' · 0.03 xGLassine Sinayoko 34' · 0.02 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 52' · 0.02 xGLassine Sinayoko 41' · 0.02 xGElisha Owusu 39' · 0.02 xGAntoine Mendy 7' · 0.01 xGSofiane Diop 8' · 0.54 xG · goalSékou Mara 26' · 0.06 xG · goalLassine Sinayoko 69' · 0.06 xG · goal
Auxerre (attacking right)Nice (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Auxerre1220.87
Nice1012.26

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Nice led on xG, 1.02 to 0.26. At full time, Nice led on xG, 2.26 to 0.87. The widest gap was 1.49 xG to Nice, in the 77th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nice 8 minGoal - Auxerre 26 minGoal - Auxerre 69 min
Auxerre 0.87 xGNice 2.26 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Auxerre v Nice?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Auxerre v Nice was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Nice?
In their last 6 meetings, Auxerre won 1, Nice won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Auxerre and Nice?
Recent form — Auxerre 1W 3D 1L; Nice 1W 4D 0L.

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