Le HavreNice

Le Havre v Nice result

Full-time · Le Havre 3–1 Nice

Ligue 1 · · Stade Océane

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Havre · Nice

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Havre 3–1 Nice — Le Havre won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Le Havre: 1.76 to 0.72 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Le Havre beat Nice 3–1 at Stade Océane in Ligue 1 on Sunday 31 August. Le Havre have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Le Havre led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Le Havre: Fodé Doucouré (13’, assisted by Issa Soumaré), Rassoul Ndiaye (61’) and Issa Soumaré (90’, assisted by Mory Diaw); Nice: Kojo Peprah Oppong (52’, assisted by Hicham Boudaoui).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rassoul Ndiaye’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

J. Brisard showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Havre: Issa Soumaré (55’); Nice: Antoine Mendy (1’), Hicham Boudaoui (41’), Abdulay Bah (55’) and Kevin Carlos (90+7’).

What it changes

Le Havre move up from 16th to 11th (three league matches played). Le Havre have scored 30 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Le Havre have conceded 43 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nice move down from fourth to 12th (three league matches played). Nice have scored 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Nice have conceded 58 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

It is Le Havre’s first win over Nice since 16 December 2023, after three meetings without one (the 4 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Issa Soumaré (Le Havre) 11.3, Kojo Peprah Oppong (Nice) 7.6 and Rassoul Ndiaye (Le Havre) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Nice are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Le Havre.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Le Havre next host Lorient on 8 November 2026.

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Havre: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Le Havre 3–1 Nice · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Océane · Le Havre
  • Referee: J. Brisard
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Le Havre 1 · draws 0 · Nice 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Havre 2W 0D 3L · Nice 2W 0D 3L

Le Havre 3–1 Nice (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.13 yellows
Referee · J. Brisard
21.88 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLe Havre for / againstLineNice for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: J. Brisard — 4.13 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 21.88 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Diaw290180 min21 /9052.5 /9000 /90

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lloris290180 min31.5 /9063 /9000 /90115.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
Y. Zouaoui290180 min21 /9021 /9000 /9073.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
A. Sangante281162 min21.1 /9021.1 /9000 /90116.1 /9073.9 /9010.6 /90
L. Négo19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Seko290180 min10.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /9000 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Lloris n 887.5
1.36/3
00/0
Abdulay Bah
I. Soumaré n 888.6
16/2
2.88/5
—
Y. Zouaoui n 861.3
0.73/1
1.14/2
A. Mendy
Y. Kechta n 878
1.97/4
1.36/2
—
A. Sangante n 877.3
1.76/3
1.65/3
Abdulay Bah
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Lloris n 887.5
2.36/5
Y. Zouaoui n 861.3
26/4
I. Soumaré n 888.6
1.46/4
Y. Kechta n 878
2.57/6
A. Sangante n 877.3
1.96/5
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Samatta253105 min00 /9000 /9054.3 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
Y. Namli24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.1 /90
A. Seko290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Soumaré290180 min00 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Y. Kechta287174 min00 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 888.6
27/5
0.96/1
Y. Zouaoui n 861.3
0.94/1
0.63/0
G. Lloris n 887.5
00/0
00/0
Y. Kechta n 878
0.42/1
00/0
A. Sangante n 877.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 888.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Lloris n 887.5
00/0
00/0
Y. Zouaoui n 861.3
00/0
00/0
Y. Kechta n 878
00/0
0.11/0
A. Sangante n 877.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf490360 min153.8 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 490
3.83/3

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Mendy490360 min112.8 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90307.5 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
Abdulay Bah490360 min71.8 /9051.3 /9071.8 /90194.8 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90
K. Peprah Oppong479314 min72 /9061.7 /9010.3 /90174.9 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
Dante14545 min12 /9000 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9000 /90
M. Bard490360 min30.8 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90164 /9041 /9000 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Mendy n 873.4
2.16/5
1.25/2
Y. Zouaoui
Abdulay Bah n 490
1.83/2
00/0
A. Sangante
M. Bard n 890
0.95/1
1.66/4
—
Y. Diouf n 490
00/0
00/0
—
T. Louchet n 859.6
1.14/2
1.15/1
—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Mendy n 873.4
2.56/6
Abdulay Bah n 490
1.83/2
M. Bard n 890
1.57/2
T. Louchet n 859.6
2.17/3
K. Peprah Oppong n 478.5
23/2
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Jansson473291 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
T. Moffi466264 min10.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
B. Bouanani461245 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.7 /90
J. Boga24691 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9033 /90
Kevin Carlos17373 min00 /9000 /9033.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bard n 890
16/2
0.32/0
A. Mendy n 873.4
0.32/0
00/0
Y. Diouf n 490
00/0
00/0
Abdulay Bah n 490
00/0
00/0
T. Louchet n 859.6
0.92/2
0.61/1
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Bard n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Y. Diouf n 490
00/0
00/0
Abdulay Bah n 490
00/0
00/0
A. Mendy n 873.4
00/0
00/0
T. Louchet n 859.6
00/0
0.41/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le HavreNice
41%Possession59%
2.56Expected goals (xG)0.63
12Shots7
8Shots on target3
2Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box5
0Corners5
13Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves5
326Passes475
79%Pass accuracy85%

Le Havre Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Diaw9001001007
L. Négo9000001007.3
A. Sangante9000000207.3
G. Lloris9000000207
A. Seko9000000106.3
I. Soumaré90113331Y9.2
M. Samatta8500211106.7
F. Doucouré8210111007.2
Y. Zouaoui6700000006.2
Y. Kechta6700210006.2
R. Ndiaye6610220008.2
A. Touré sub2400001206.9
F. Mambimbi sub2300001106.6
T. Delaine sub2300000006.6
S. Ebonog sub1300000106.6
Y. Namli sub800000106.7

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Diouf9000000006.9
Abdulay Bah90001001Y6.3
K. Peprah Oppong9010110007.3
H. Boudaoui90011110Y7.7
M. Bard9000001106.7
Kevin Carlos90001100Y6.3
T. Louchet8200001406.9
A. Mendy67000002Y5.9
J. Boga6700001006.3
S. Abdul Samed6000000006.5
I. Jansson6000000106.3
J. Clauss sub3000000206
S. Diop sub3000002006.5
Bernard Nguene sub2300000006.2
T. Moffi sub2300100006.3
M. Sanson sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le HavreWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
NiceWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Le Havre 1 · 0 draws · Nice 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-02-16 Le Havre 1–3 Nice
  • 2024-12-07 Nice 2–1 Le Havre
  • 2024-05-10 Nice 1–0 Le Havre
  • 2023-12-16 Le Havre 3–1 Nice
League standing · 2025/26
Le Havre#14 pos35 pts34 pl-12 GD
Nice#16 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Le Havre scored0.94
Nice scored1.09
Le Havre conceded1.29
Nice conceded1.76

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Le Havre 1.76 xG from 12 shots, Nice 0.72 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kevin Omoruyi 20' · 0.41 xGRassoul Ndiaye 49' · 0.15 xGIssa Soumaré 71' · 0.13 xGMbwana Samatta 80' · 0.13 xGAbdoulaye Touré 74' · 0.11 xGMbwana Samatta 29' · 0.10 xGFodé Doucouré 74' · 0.09 xGTerem Igobor Moffi 78' · 0.08 xGIssa Soumaré 45' · 0.07 xGYassine Kechta 2' · 0.06 xGHichem Boudaoui 27' · 0.03 xGJuma Bah 35' · 0.02 xGTom Louchet 70' · 0.02 xGYassine Kechta 1' · 0.02 xGAntoine Mendy 62' · 0.01 xGFodé Doucouré 12' · 0.62 xG · goalIssa Soumaré 94' · 0.17 xG · goalKojo Peprah Oppong 51' · 0.14 xG · goalRassoul Ndiaye 60' · 0.11 xG · goal
Le Havre (attacking right)Nice (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Le Havre1231.76
Nice710.72

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Le Havre led on xG, 0.86 to 0.47. At full time, Le Havre led on xG, 1.76 to 0.72. The widest gap was 1.04 xG to Le Havre, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Le Havre 12 minGoal - Nice 51 minGoal - Le Havre 60 minGoal - Le Havre 94 min
Le Havre 1.76 xGNice 0.72 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Havre v Nice?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Nice was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Nice?
In their last 4 meetings, Le Havre won 1, Nice won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Nice?
Recent form — Le Havre 2W 0D 3L; Nice 2W 0D 3L.

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