Le Havre v Lorient prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Stade Océane

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Havre · Lorient · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Le Havre v Lorient, Ligue 1 on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Betvictor

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,907 of 2,553 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Havre host Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Le Havre or Lorient (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Le Havre are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Le Havre are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Lorient.

Form and the table

Six of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Le Havre have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.29. Le Havre have scored nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Le Havre have conceded 20 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lorient have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.86. Lorient have scored seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Lorient have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Le Havre (18th) and Lorient (11th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lorient the stronger side, 181 rating points above Le Havre (Lorient 1536, Le Havre 1356, after at least 111 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Lorient 0–2 Le Havre.

Team news

Predicted Le Havre XI (3-4-2-1): G. Gallon, A. Touba, A. Seko, J. Mwanga, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, R. Ndiaye, D. Ouziad, E. Jelert, J. Maja, M. Samatta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Simon Ebonog (3.9 per match over nine appearances) and A. Richardson (3.7 per match over nine appearances) have been Le Havre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Havre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simon Ebonog averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 787 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. A. Richardson averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 756 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Lorient XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Mvogo, M. Talbi, N. Adjei, S. Touré, K. Kouassi, N. Cadiou, A. Avom, D. Sylla, S. Faye, T. Le Bris, I. Baldé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Arthur Avom (3.7 per match over nine appearances) and Souleymane Isaak Touré (3.7 per match over four appearances) have been Lorient’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lorient (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Arthur Avom averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 596 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances. Souleymane Isaak Touré averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 357 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Océane
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Le Havre 2 · draws 3 · Lorient 1 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Le Havre 0W 0D 5L · Lorient 2W 1D 2L

Le Havre v Lorient (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88

Goals

against 2.38 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 3.75

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.25

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Le Havre for / against	Line	Lorient for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.38 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
G. Gallon	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	30.6 /90
L. Mpasi	3	90269 min	196.4 /90	41.3 /90
A. Bodart	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90

Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Gallon n 5	90	1.4 2/1
L. Mpasi n 7	83.4	5.2 7/5

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Touba	8	90720 min	141.8 /90	182.3 /90	20.3 /90	324 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
A. Seko	8	86691 min	81 /90	202.6 /90	40.5 /90	222.9 /90	81 /90	20.3 /90
J. Mwanga	8	67538 min	162.7 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90	213.5 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
V. Sasso	2	80160 min	63.4 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	105.6 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
F. Doucouré	2	4895 min	10.9 /90	43.8 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	32.8 /90	21.9 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	1.9 7/5	2.4 7/6	—
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	2.6 7/6	2 6/4	—
M. Samatta n 8	78	0.7 3/1	0.4 2/1	—
J. Maja n 8	62.4	1.4 6/2	0.9 3/2	—
A. Touba n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1	—
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	2.1 8/4
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	2.8 8/6
M. Samatta n 8	78	1.6 7/3
J. Maja n 8	62.4	0.2 1/0
A. Touba n 8	90	1.8 6/5
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Samatta	9	77694 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	293.8 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90
J. Maja	9	58519 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	142.4 /90	81.4 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90
S. Nakamura	8	47374 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	41 /90	92.2 /90	41 /90
R. Fofana	7	48336 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	123.2 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.6 /90
E. Koffi Vinette	6	38229 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	52 /90	10.4 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	0.9 5/2	0.4 3/0
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	1.4 7/3	0.3 2/0
M. Samatta n 8	78	4 8/6	1.9 6/5
J. Maja n 8	62.4	2.5 7/4	1.4 5/2
A. Touba n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Samatta n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Maja n 8	62.4	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
A. Touba n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Mvogo	9	90810 min	283.1 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90

Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	3.4 7/5

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Talbi	9	90810 min	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	404.4 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
N. Adjei	9	88795 min	131.5 /90	141.6 /90	50.6 /90	414.6 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
D. Sylla	9	87786 min	161.8 /90	161.8 /90	40.5 /90	455.2 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
Souleymane Isaak Touré	4	89357 min	61.5 /90	82 /90	00 /90	287.1 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
N. Obaretin	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	16 /90	00 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.9 5/2	—
M. Talbi n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0	—
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Adjei n 8	88.1	0.9 5/2	1 5/2	—
N. Cadiou n 8	87.9	0.5 4/0	1.2 6/2	—
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Talbi n 8	90	1.3 6/3
K. Kouassi n 8	90	1.1 7/2
N. Adjei n 8	88.1	1.4 7/4
N. Cadiou n 8	87.9	1.4 6/2
D. Sylla n 8	89.3	1.9 6/5
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Makengo	9	85765 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	141.6 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90	80.9 /90
G. Bernardeau	9	55491 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	61.1 /90	40.7 /90
M. Kone	8	46365 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	112.7 /90	71.7 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90
I. Baldé	7	54377 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
S. Faye	5	38188 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90	00 /90	21 /90	31.4 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Talbi n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.4 3/0
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Adjei n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Cadiou n 8	87.9	1 6/2	0.1 1/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Talbi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Adjei n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Cadiou n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Le HavreLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game

LorientLWWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Le Havre 2 · 3 draws · Lorient 1 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-05-17 Lorient 0–2 Le Havre
2025-09-21 Le Havre 1–1 Lorient
2024-01-28 Lorient 3–3 Le Havre
2023-09-03 Le Havre 3–0 Lorient
2019-10-19 Le Havre 2–2 Lorient
2019-05-17 Le Havre 2–3 Lorient

League standing · 2026/27

Le Havre#18 pos2 pts9 pl-11 GD

Lorient#11 pos12 pts9 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Le Havre scored1

Lorient scored0.78

Le Havre conceded2.22

Lorient conceded0.89

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Le Havre v Lorient?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Lorient is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Lorient?: In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 2, Lorient won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Lorient?: Recent form — Le Havre 0W 0D 5L; Lorient 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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