Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain prediction

The match

Le Havre host Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Le Havre are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last eight matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Le Havre, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Five of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in 10 of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Le Havre have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Le Havre have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Le Havre have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.38. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 16 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Havre (18th) and Paris Saint-Germain (first) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 560 rating points above Le Havre (Paris Saint-Germain 1925, Le Havre 1365, after at least 110 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain.

Team news

Le Havre have six names on the availability list: A. Toure (out, Knee Injury), E. Jelert (out, Thigh Injury), F. Mambimbi (out, Achilles Tendon Injury), L. Mpasi-Nzau (out, Achilles Tendon Injury), S. Zagadou (out, Knee Injury) and T. Pembele (out, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted Le Havre XI (4-3-3): G. Gallon, A. Touba, A. Seko, D. Ouziad, M. Ndiaye, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, R. Ndiaye, M. Samatta, J. Maja, S. Nakamura — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Simon Ebonog (4.2 per match over eight appearances) and A. Richardson (3.9 per match over eight appearances) have been Le Havre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Havre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simon Ebonog averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. A. Richardson averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 691 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.

Paris Saint-Germain have five names on the availability list: A. Longoni (out, Injury), K. Kvaratskhelia (out, Knee Injury), Marquinhos (out, Thigh Injury), N. Mendes (out, Muscle Injury) and O. Dembele (out, Thigh Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, A. Hakimi, W. Pacho, I. Zabarnyi, L. Hernández, Vitinha, F. Ruiz, J. Neves, F. Torres, D. Doué, M. Akliouche — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.4 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and four assists) and O. Dembélé (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 1473 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1399 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.