Le Mans v Monaco prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Mans · Monaco

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Le Mans v Monaco, Ligue 1 on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.24 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Mans host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Le Mans or Monaco (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Le Mans are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Le Mans have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29. Le Mans have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Monaco have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.75. Monaco have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Monaco have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Mans (17th) and Monaco (seventh) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Monaco the stronger side, 314 rating points above Le Mans (Monaco 1680, Le Mans 1366, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Le Mans XI (3-1-4-2): N. Kocik, S. Yohou, N. Boissé, H. Voyer, L. Bretelle, L. Calodat, L. Buadés, J. Vercruysse, A. Lauray, L. Mafouta, D. Guèye — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Bourabaa (6.1 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and Lucas Calodat (3.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Le Mans’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Mans (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Bourabaa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 398 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Lucas Calodat averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 547 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, Vanderson, J. Teze, C. Mawissa Elebi, A. Golovin, L. Camara, D. Zakaria, E. Diop, T. Minamino, P. Brunner — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Camara (4.9 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Paris Josua Brunner (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Camara averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1514 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 945 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Le Mans 1W 1D 3L · Monaco 2W 1D 2L

Le Mans v Monaco (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 2 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

2.63 / 3.5

Corners

against 5.25 / 5.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 2.13

Cards

against 2 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Le Mans for / against	Line	Monaco for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Kocik	7	89621 min	273.9 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90
E. Hatfout	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 8	88.9	3.5 6/5
E. Hatfout n 7	90.7	2.4 5/3

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Yohou	7	79556 min	81.3 /90	101.6 /90	50.8 /90	233.7 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90
N. Boissé	7	76532 min	183 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	274.6 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
H. Voyer	6	88527 min	61 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	162.7 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
D. Sidibé	4	70278 min	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	185.8 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
Raúl Torrente	3	80241 min	103.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	186.7 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.8 4/2	1.2 6/2	—
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	1.8 5/2	0.7 3/0	—
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	1.7 7/2	1.8 5/4	—
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.5 3/0	1 4/2	—
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	2.4 8/4	0.4 2/0	—
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.3 2/0
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	0.9 4/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	2.2 6/3
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	2 7/3
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	2.8 7/5
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Mafouta	9	83749 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	172 /90	111.3 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90
D. Guèye	9	53475 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.9 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
A. Rabillard	7	44308 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	61.8 /90
H. Diallo	7	42295 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	30.9 /90
B. Brahimi	5	27136 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	53.3 /90	21.3 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	2 7/5	1.2 5/3
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	2 5/4	0.2 1/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 4/1
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	0.7 2/2	0.4 2/0
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Hrádecký	14	901257 min	443.2 /90	100.7 /90	00 /90

Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 8	89.6	2.5 5/3

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Sadibou Sané	14	851184 min	151.1 /90	70.5 /90	110.8 /90	292.2 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90
Vanderson	13	771007 min	373.3 /90	191.7 /90	70.6 /90	585.2 /90	191.7 /90	30.3 /90
Flávio Nazinho	11	81895 min	171.7 /90	202 /90	20.2 /90	323.2 /90	181.8 /90	30.3 /90
E. Dier	10	87868 min	90.9 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	363.7 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
J. Teze	8	58460 min	102 /90	102 /90	20.4 /90	214.1 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Hrádecký n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Sadibou Sané n 8	80.5	1 4/3	0.1 1/0	—
D. Zakaria n 8	54.1	1.2 4/1	0 0/0	—
L. Camara n 8	86.1	1.4 7/3	4.3 8/7	—
Vanderson n 8	80.6	1.5 6/3	0.4 3/0	—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sadibou Sané n 8	80.5	0.8 4/1
D. Zakaria n 8	54.1	1.9 5/3
L. Camara n 8	86.1	1.7 6/4
Vanderson n 8	80.6	3.8 8/7
A. Golovin n 8	73.8	1.7 6/3
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Paris Josua Brunner	12	79945 min	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	333.1 /90	181.7 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90
M. Detourbet	10	46463 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	61.2 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	142.7 /90
M. Abline	8	59471 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	152.9 /90	40.8 /90	61.1 /90	91.7 /90
Ansu Fati	5	41205 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	52.2 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	31.3 /90
F. Balogun	4	45179 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	84 /90	42 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Hrádecký n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sadibou Sané n 8	80.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Zakaria n 8	54.1	0.8 4/0	0.4 2/0
L. Camara n 8	86.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Vanderson n 8	80.6	0.7 2/1	0.3 1/1
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Hrádecký n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sadibou Sané n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Zakaria n 8	54.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Camara n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Vanderson n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Mans v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Le MansWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

MonacoLWDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD

Monaco#7 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Le Mans scored1.22

Monaco scored1.33

Le Mans conceded2

Monaco conceded1.11

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Le Mans v Monaco?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Mans v Monaco is Home or Away (best price 1.24 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Le Mans and Monaco?: Recent form — Le Mans 1W 1D 3L; Monaco 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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