Lens v Monaco prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens vs Monaco, Ligue 1 on Sat, 08 May 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lens host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Saturday 8 May (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Monaco have scored in nine consecutive matches. Monaco are unbeaten in their last eight matches. Both teams scored in 12 of Monaco’s last 15 results (80%).

Form and the table

Nine of Lens’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lens’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Lens have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. Lens have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Monaco’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Monaco have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00. Monaco have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monaco have conceded five goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lens (10th) and Monaco (first) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Monaco the stronger side, 110 rating points above Lens (Monaco 1819, Lens 1709, after at least 222 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 September 2026, finished Monaco 2–1 Lens.

Team news

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, I. Ganiou, S. Sagnan, M. Cuisance, R. Aguilar, Y. Titraoui, M. Udol, A. Haidara, M. Skóraś, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (7.3 per match over nine appearances, five goals and four assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 795 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 738 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, E. Dier, S. Sané, F. Nazinho, Vanderson, L. Camara, A. Golovin, D. Zakaria, S. Idumbo-Muzambo, M. Coulibaly, P. Brunner — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Camara (5.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Paris Josua Brunner (5.5 per match over seven appearances, six goals) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Camara averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1095 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 570 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 2 · draws 1 · Monaco 3 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lens 2W 1D 2L · Monaco 3W 2D 0L

Lens v Monaco (Ligue 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 3.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLens for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.63 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Lens
Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ivanović n 853.6
2.36/4
0.63/0
—
T. Hazard n 831.5
1.85/0
1.12/1
—
M. Skóraś n 852
1.75/2
1.97/2
—
M. Cuisance n 868.1
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
R. Aguilar n 859.1
1.54/2
0.42/0
—
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 890
3.28/7
27/6
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
2.62/2
0.61/0
T. Hazard n 831.5
2.55/2
0.41/0
O. Édouard n 838.8
2.36/2
1.55/0
F. Sotoca n 834
2.34/1
1.33/1
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 890
0.53/1
0.53/1
A. Sima n 869.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
F. Sotoca n 834
0.72/0
00/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
00/0
0.61/0
J. Kadile n 866.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Aguilar n 859.1
3.45/5
S. Sagnan n 477.5
3.23/3
A. Bulatović n 862.5
3.26/5
A. Haidara n 849.6
2.55/2
Yassine Titraoui n 869.5
2.46/4
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.48/6
Monaco
Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Toure n 414.3
3.22/0
00/0
—
A. Soubeir n 623.5
2.62/2
0.61/0
—
M. Detourbet n 837.4
2.44/3
2.15/2
—
Flávio Nazinho n 878.8
1.96/3
0.74/1
—
Vanderson n 872.4
1.66/2
0.84/1
—
Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paris Josua Brunner n 873
3.28/6
27/4
F. Balogun n 860.1
3.27/5
1.35/1
Ansu Fati n 851.1
2.46/4
1.85/2
M. Abline n 854.3
2.34/4
0.83/1
Edan Diop n 873.8
26/3
1.25/2
Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Edan Diop n 873.8
0.64/0
0.53/0
Paris Josua Brunner n 873
0.95/1
00/0
M. Biereth n 826.1
0.92/0
00/0
A. Golovin n 883.4
0.42/1
0.43/0
M. Abline n 854.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
3.87/6
A. Soubeir n 623.5
3.84/2
Vanderson n 872.4
35/5
Edan Diop n 873.8
2.68/5
M. Coulibaly n 847
2.66/4
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.27/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lens v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LensWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MonacoWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lens 2 · 1 draw · Monaco 3 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-09-18 Monaco 2–1 Lens
  • 2026-02-21 Lens 2–3 Monaco
  • 2025-11-08 Monaco 1–4 Lens
  • 2025-05-17 Lens 4–0 Monaco
  • 2024-09-01 Monaco 1–1 Lens
  • 2024-02-25 Lens 2–3 Monaco
League standing · 2026/27
Lens#10 pos7 pts6 pl+1 GD
Monaco#1 pos14 pts6 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Lens scored1.83
Monaco scored1.67
Lens conceded1.67
Monaco conceded0.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 2, Monaco won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Monaco?
Recent form — Lens 2W 1D 2L; Monaco 3W 2D 0L.

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