Lens v Strasbourg prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Strasbourg, Ligue 1 on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lens host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Strasbourg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Strasbourg are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Lens have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. Lens have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Strasbourg have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.88. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lens (eighth) and Strasbourg (14th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 132 rating points above Strasbourg (Lens 1723, Strasbourg 1592, after at least 223 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Strasbourg 2–1 Lens.

Team news

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, I. Ganiou, S. Sagnan, R. Aguilar, M. Cuisance, Y. Titraoui, M. Skóraś, A. Bulatović, M. Udol, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (7.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and six assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 862 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 738 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, I. Doukouré, P. Diop, D. Sousa, G. Reyna, G. Yassine, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (6.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Oso (3.9 per match over five appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 797 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Oso averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 606 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 2 · draws 2 · Strasbourg 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lens 2W 1D 2L · Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L

Lens v Strasbourg (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 2.38
Corners
against 3.38 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLens for / againstLineStrasbourg for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
17.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 17.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Lens
Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ivanović n 847.4
2.46/3
0.52/0
—
T. Hazard n 831.5
1.85/0
1.12/1
—
M. Skóraś n 852.1
1.75/2
1.77/1
—
R. Aguilar n 862.5
1.65/2
0.53/0
—
M. Cuisance n 868.1
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 887.1
37/6
1.76/5
O. Édouard n 839
2.96/3
1.45/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
2.62/2
0.61/0
T. Hazard n 831.5
2.55/2
0.41/0
J. Kadile n 866.6
27/3
1.45/2
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 887.1
0.32/0
0.63/2
A. Sima n 869.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
R. Aguilar n 862.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
F. Sotoca n 839.6
0.62/0
00/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
00/0
0.61/0
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bulatović n 870
3.47/6
S. Sagnan n 477.5
3.23/3
Yassine Titraoui n 866.6
2.76/4
R. Aguilar n 862.5
2.75/4
Saud Abdulhamid n 874.6
2.46/4
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.68/7
Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Dário Essugo n 836.5
2.23/2
2.85/3
—
J. Ortega n 748.7
2.14/4
0.52/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.97/5
2.77/6
—
Diogo Sousa n 868.8
1.86/4
0.52/1
—
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
2.75/2
1.73/1
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
24/1
0.41/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.66/4
0.95/1
Diego Moreira n 860.9
1.56/1
0.73/1
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Moreira n 860.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
0.71/1
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Ortega n 748.7
0.31/0
0.31/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
Dário Essugo n 836.5
3.45/3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
2.83/2
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
2.57/5
J. Mitchell n 889.3
2.17/6
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
48/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lens v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LensDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
StrasbourgWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lens 2 · 2 draws · Strasbourg 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-29 Strasbourg 2–1 Lens
  • 2026-02-27 Strasbourg 1–1 Lens
  • 2025-11-22 Lens 1–0 Strasbourg
  • 2025-02-16 Lens 0–2 Strasbourg
  • 2024-10-06 Strasbourg 2–2 Lens
  • 2024-02-10 Lens 3–1 Strasbourg
League standing · 2026/27
Lens#8 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD
Strasbourg#14 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Lens scored2
Strasbourg scored1.71
Lens conceded1.57
Strasbourg conceded2.14

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Strasbourg?
In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 2, Strasbourg won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Strasbourg?
Recent form — Lens 2W 1D 2L; Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L.

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