Lille v Lens prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Lens, Ligue 1 on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lille host Lens in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Lille have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Lille have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lille have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Lens have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.43. Lens have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lille (fourth) and Lens (eighth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 1 rating points above Lille (Lens 1723, Lille 1723, after at least 223 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Lille 3–0 Lens.

Team news

Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, A. Ribeiro, N. Ngoy, R. Perraud, T. Santos, N. Bentaleb, H. Haraldsson, N. Mukau, E. Mbappé, B. André, O. Giroud — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Alexsandro Ribeiro (3.9 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Alexsandro Ribeiro averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 810 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, I. Ganiou, S. Sagnan, R. Aguilar, M. Cuisance, Y. Titraoui, M. Skóraś, A. Bulatović, M. Udol, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (7.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and six assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 862 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 738 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 4 · draws 1 · Lens 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lille 2W 1D 2L · Lens 2W 1D 2L

Lille v Lens (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 7.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLille for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Lille
Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Bakwa n 854.9
2.35/2
1.86/3
—
B. André n 868.1
27/4
1.87/2
—
C. Verdonk n 822.5
22/1
0.51/0
—
A. Ueda n 856.6
1.63/2
1.23/3
—
G. Perrin n 829.1
1.54/0
0.82/0
—
Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ueda n 856.6
37/5
2.26/3
M. Kjærgaard n 840.6
1.95/1
0.82/1
E. Mbappé n 856.8
1.66/1
1.24/1
Tiago Santos n 871.8
1.44/4
0.94/2
D. Bakwa n 854.9
1.45/2
0.42/0
Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Ueda n 856.6
1.25/1
0.21/0
O. Giroud n 845.5
0.21/0
0.51/1
D. Bakwa n 854.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Kjærgaard n 840.6
00/0
0.62/0
Félix Correia n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Verdonk n 822.5
4.55/2
B. André n 868.1
37/6
N. Mukau n 853.4
2.76/3
G. Perrin n 829.1
2.74/3
R. Perraud n 876
2.27/6
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Orlando Gill n 891.8
47/5
B. Özer n 890
3.27/3
Lens
Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ivanović n 847.4
2.46/3
0.52/0
—
T. Hazard n 831.5
1.85/0
1.12/1
—
M. Skóraś n 852.1
1.75/2
1.77/1
—
R. Aguilar n 862.5
1.65/2
0.53/0
—
M. Cuisance n 868.1
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 887.1
37/6
1.76/5
O. Édouard n 839
2.96/3
1.45/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
2.62/2
0.61/0
T. Hazard n 831.5
2.55/2
0.41/0
J. Kadile n 866.6
27/3
1.45/2
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 887.1
0.32/0
0.63/2
A. Sima n 869.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
R. Aguilar n 862.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
F. Sotoca n 839.6
0.62/0
00/0
Mezian Mesloub n 435.3
00/0
0.61/0
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bulatović n 870
3.47/6
S. Sagnan n 477.5
3.23/3
Yassine Titraoui n 866.6
2.76/4
R. Aguilar n 862.5
2.75/4
Saud Abdulhamid n 874.6
2.46/4
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.68/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lille v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LilleWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LensDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lille 4 · 1 draw · Lens 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 Lille 3–0 Lens
  • 2025-09-20 Lens 3–0 Lille
  • 2025-03-30 Lille 1–0 Lens
  • 2024-10-26 Lens 0–2 Lille
  • 2024-03-29 Lille 2–1 Lens
  • 2023-10-08 Lens 1–1 Lille
League standing · 2026/27
Lille#4 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Lens#8 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Lille scored1.43
Lens scored2
Lille conceded0.71
Lens conceded1.57

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 4, Lens won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Lens?
Recent form — Lille 2W 1D 2L; Lens 2W 1D 2L.

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