Lille v Toulouse prediction
Team pages: Lille · Toulouse · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Toulouse, Ligue 1 on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Lille host Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Lille are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Toulouse. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Lille have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Lille have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lille have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Both teams scored in 10 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Toulouse have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.13. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Lille (fourth) and Toulouse (11th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lille the stronger side, 26 rating points above Toulouse (Lille 1723, Toulouse 1696, after at least 253 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Toulouse 0–1 Lille.
Team news
Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, A. Ribeiro, N. Ngoy, R. Perraud, T. Santos, N. Bentaleb, H. Haraldsson, N. Mukau, E. Mbappé, B. André, O. Giroud — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Alexsandro Ribeiro (3.9 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Alexsandro Ribeiro averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 810 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, R. Messali, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, Y. Azizi, A. Vossah, N. Sigur, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (8.2 per match over seven appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (5.6 per match over five appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 4.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Pierre-Mauroy
- Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 5 · draws 0 · Toulouse 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Lille 2W 1D 2L · Toulouse 2W 2D 1L
Lille v Toulouse (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lille for / against | Line | Toulouse for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.63 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Lille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 54.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | — |
| B. André n 8 | 68.1 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| C. Verdonk n 8 | 22.5 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Ueda n 8 | 56.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — |
| G. Perrin n 8 | 29.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ueda n 8 | 56.6 | 3 | 2.2 |
| M. Kjærgaard n 8 | 40.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| E. Mbappé n 8 | 56.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Tiago Santos n 8 | 71.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 54.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ueda n 8 | 56.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| O. Giroud n 8 | 45.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 54.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Kjærgaard n 8 | 40.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Félix Correia n 8 | 65.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Verdonk n 8 | 22.5 | 4.5 |
| B. André n 8 | 68.1 | 3 |
| N. Mukau n 8 | 53.4 | 2.7 |
| G. Perrin n 8 | 29.1 | 2.7 |
| R. Perraud n 8 | 76 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Gill n 8 | 91.8 | 4 |
| B. Özer n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Toulouse
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| R. Messali n 8 | 55.5 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Vossah n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Julián Vignolo n 8 | 33.9 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. Methalie n 8 | 59.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Diop n 8 | 62 | 4 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 3.8 |
| I. Diallo n 5 | 32.6 | 2.8 |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Niflore n 8 | 81.1 | 3.3 |
| Guillaume Restes n 8 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lille v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-03 Toulouse 0–1 Lille
- 2026-04-12 Toulouse 0–4 Lille
- 2025-09-14 Lille 2–1 Toulouse
- 2025-04-12 Toulouse 1–2 Lille
- 2024-10-05 Lille 2–1 Toulouse
- 2024-02-25 Toulouse 3–1 Lille
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Toulouse?
- In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 5, Toulouse won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lille and Toulouse?
- Recent form — Lille 2W 1D 2L; Toulouse 2W 2D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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