Lyon v Monaco prediction

Ligue 1 · · Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon v Monaco, Ligue 1 on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lyon host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lyon have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Lyon have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.38. Lyon have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lyon have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Monaco have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.56. Monaco have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monaco have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lyon (first) and Monaco (fifth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 45 rating points above Monaco (Lyon 1795, Monaco 1750, after at least 327 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Lyon 1–2 Monaco.

Team news

Predicted Lyon XI (4-2-3-1): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, F. Bacher, Abner, M. Niakhaté, M. Bidstrup, C. Tolisso, T. Morton, E. Nuamah, P. Šulc, L. Openda — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zachary Athekame (4.8 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Corentin Tolisso (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Zachary Athekame averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1035 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Corentin Tolisso averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 963 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, F. Nazinho, Vanderson, E. Dier, L. Camara, A. Golovin, D. Zakaria, S. Idumbo-Muzambo, M. Coulibaly, P. Brunner — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Paris Josua Brunner (6.0 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Mamadou Coulibaly (5.2 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 660 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Mamadou Coulibaly averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 276 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lyon 3 · draws 0 · Monaco 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lyon 4W 0D 1L · Monaco 2W 2D 1L

Lyon v Monaco (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 1 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.5
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLyon for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Lyon
Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kluivert n 868.4
25/3
0.32/0
—
N. Tagliafico n 863.8
1.96/2
2.15/3
—
M. Ouédraogo n 855.4
1.65/3
1.44/3
—
M. Fofana n 841
1.64/2
1.43/1
—
M. Niakhaté n 884.4
1.56/2
0.43/0
—
Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Loïs Openda n 858.8
2.94/4
1.74/3
Ernest Nuamah n 873.1
26/3
1.14/1
Keito Nakamura n 843.3
1.64/2
0.82/1
M. Fofana n 841
1.64/1
1.12/1
K. Boudache n 838.5
1.54/1
0.61/1
Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Keito Nakamura n 843.3
0.31/0
0.82/1
Ernest Nuamah n 873.1
0.63/1
0.21/0
P. Šulc n 858.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Zachary Athekame n 880.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
C. Tolisso n 873
0.32/0
0.21/0
Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Merah n 843.6
4.96/5
M. Bidstrup n 853
47/5
R. Kluivert n 868.4
2.56/5
Keito Nakamura n 843.3
2.35/2
Zachary Athekame n 880.9
2.15/4
Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Greif n 890
3.57/5
R. Descamps n 890
2.97/4
Monaco
Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Soubeir n 722
2.93/2
0.61/0
—
M. Detourbet n 837
2.44/3
1.85/1
—
Flávio Nazinho n 882.6
1.86/3
0.74/1
—
A. Golovin n 880.4
1.86/4
1.35/2
—
D. Zakaria n 870
1.66/2
00/0
—
Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paris Josua Brunner n 882.5
3.38/7
27/5
F. Balogun n 857
3.26/5
1.45/1
M. Abline n 845.3
2.23/3
0.73/0
Pape Cabral n 717.3
2.23/0
1.52/0
T. Minamino n 868.5
2.15/5
14/2
Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paris Josua Brunner n 882.5
16/1
0.11/0
Edan Diop n 868.1
0.32/0
0.53/0
Ansu Fati n 856.3
0.84/0
00/0
M. Biereth n 826.8
0.82/0
00/0
A. Golovin n 880.4
0.31/1
0.43/0
Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pape Cabral n 717.3
64/2
A. Soubeir n 722
4.75/3
Vanderson n 874.1
3.66/6
Edan Diop n 868.1
3.18/5
L. Camara n 886.1
2.76/5
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
2.67/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lyon v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LyonWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MonacoDWDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lyon 3 · 0 draws · Monaco 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Lyon 1–2 Monaco
  • 2026-01-03 Monaco 1–3 Lyon
  • 2025-05-10 Monaco 2–0 Lyon
  • 2024-08-24 Lyon 0–2 Monaco
  • 2024-04-28 Lyon 3–2 Monaco
  • 2023-12-15 Monaco 0–1 Lyon
League standing · 2026/27
Lyon#1 pos14 pts7 pl+8 GD
Monaco#5 pos14 pts7 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Lyon scored1.86
Monaco scored1.43
Lyon conceded0.71
Monaco conceded0.86

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lyon and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Lyon won 3, Monaco won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lyon and Monaco?
Recent form — Lyon 4W 0D 1L; Monaco 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →