Marseille v Monaco prediction

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Monaco, Ligue 1 on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Marseille host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Saturday 13 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Marseille have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.33. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Monaco have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.56. Monaco have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monaco have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Marseille (ninth) and Monaco (fifth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Monaco the stronger side, 82 rating points above Marseille (Monaco 1750, Marseille 1668, after at least 327 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Monaco 2–0 Marseille.

Team news

Predicted Marseille XI (4-4-2): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, A. Gouiri, K. Abdallah — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amine Harit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (3.9 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 686 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 907 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, F. Nazinho, Vanderson, E. Dier, L. Camara, A. Golovin, D. Zakaria, S. Idumbo-Muzambo, M. Coulibaly, P. Brunner — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Paris Josua Brunner (5.9 per match over nine appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Lamine Camara (5.3 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 740 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. Lamine Camara averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1330 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 2 · draws 1 · Monaco 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Marseille 2W 0D 3L · Monaco 3W 1D 1L

Marseille v Monaco (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.63
Corners
against 3.5 / 6.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMarseille for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 16.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Marseille
Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Moumbagna n 89.8
3.53/0
3.52/1
—
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
3.21/0
—
T. Nnadi n 854.9
2.76/5
1.46/1
—
T. Weah n 878
1.66/4
0.94/2
—
B. Meité n 880.9
1.56/5
1.45/3
—
Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Igor Paixão n 866.6
3.46/5
14/2
K. Abdallah n 844.8
3.36/3
0.82/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
00/0
A. Gouiri n 870.3
1.64/3
12/2
N. Maupay n 839.5
1.43/2
00/0
Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 870.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 536.8
0.51/0
00/0
H. Abdelli n 880.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Harit n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Emerson n 878.4
00/0
0.32/0
Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
U. Garcia n 845.5
35/2
T. Weah n 878
2.96/6
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 536.8
2.93/2
G. Kondogbia n 852
1.94/3
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 890
47/7
Monaco
Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Soubeir n 822.8
34/2
0.51/0
—
A. Golovin n 880.3
27/4
1.14/2
—
M. Detourbet n 835.9
1.93/2
1.95/1
—
D. Zakaria n 864
1.86/2
00/0
—
Vanderson n 873.6
1.45/2
0.84/1
—
Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paris Josua Brunner n 881.3
3.38/7
2.27/5
F. Balogun n 857
3.26/5
1.45/1
M. Abline n 843.9
2.33/3
0.83/0
Pape Cabral n 717.3
2.23/0
1.52/0
T. Minamino n 868.5
2.15/5
14/2
Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paris Josua Brunner n 881.3
16/1
0.11/0
Edan Diop n 865.4
0.32/0
0.53/0
M. Biereth n 826.8
0.82/0
00/0
Ansu Fati n 850
0.73/0
00/0
A. Golovin n 880.3
0.31/1
0.32/0
Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pape Cabral n 717.3
64/2
A. Soubeir n 822.8
4.56/3
Edan Diop n 865.4
3.68/6
Vanderson n 873.6
3.56/6
L. Camara n 885.6
37/6
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 889.5
2.56/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Marseille v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MarseilleLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MonacoWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Marseille 2 · 1 draw · Monaco 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-30 Monaco 2–0 Marseille
  • 2026-04-05 Monaco 2–1 Marseille
  • 2025-12-14 Marseille 1–0 Monaco
  • 2025-04-12 Monaco 3–0 Marseille
  • 2024-12-01 Marseille 2–1 Monaco
  • 2024-01-27 Marseille 2–2 Monaco
League standing · 2026/27
Marseille#9 pos9 pts7 pl+4 GD
Monaco#5 pos14 pts7 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Marseille scored2
Monaco scored1.43
Marseille conceded1.43
Monaco conceded0.86

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 2, Monaco won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Marseille and Monaco?
Recent form — Marseille 2W 0D 3L; Monaco 3W 1D 1L.

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