Marseille v Rennes prediction
Team pages: Marseille · Rennes · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Rennes, Ligue 1 on Sat, 27 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Marseille host Rennes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 27 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Rennes have scored 15 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).
Form and the table
Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Marseille have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.29. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Rennes have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.29. Rennes have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Marseille (ninth) and Rennes (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rennes the stronger side, 43 rating points above Marseille (Rennes 1711, Marseille 1668, after at least 327 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 11 September 2026, finished Rennes 1–0 Marseille.
Team news
Predicted Marseille XI (4-4-2): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, A. Gouiri, K. Abdallah — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Harit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 686 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Rennes XI (4-1-4-1): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, P. Frankowski, A. Rouault, M. Nagida, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, S. Szymański, L. Blas, E. Lepaul — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Adrien Thomasson (4.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrien Thomasson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 575 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1
- Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 4 · draws 0 · Rennes 2 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Marseille 2W 0D 3L · Rennes 2W 1D 2L
Marseille v Rennes (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Marseille for / against | Line | Rennes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Marseille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Moumbagna n 8 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | — |
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| T. Nnadi n 8 | 54.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 39.1 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| B. Meité n 8 | 80.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 39.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 0 |
| Igor Paixão n 8 | 72.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.3 | 1.6 | 1 |
| A. Harit n 8 | 75.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 5 | 36.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| H. Abdelli n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Harit n 8 | 75.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 88.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 5 | 36.8 | 2.9 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 88.4 | 2.5 |
| G. Kondogbia n 8 | 52.1 | 2.4 |
| Q. Timber n 8 | 53.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Rennes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cissé n 8 | 26.1 | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 56.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Q. Merlin n 8 | 73.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 67.3 | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| L. Blas n 8 | 50.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 19.6 | 2.3 | 0 |
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 59.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dia n 8 | 25.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 67.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 72.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Nagida n 8 | 56.4 | 3.4 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 56.9 | 3.2 |
| V. Rongier n 8 | 70.4 | 2.7 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 72.4 | 2.2 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| N. Lemaitre n 8 | 83.5 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Marseille v Rennes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-11 Rennes 1–0 Marseille
- 2026-05-17 Marseille 3–1 Rennes
- 2026-02-03 Marseille 3–0 Rennes
- 2025-08-15 Rennes 1–0 Marseille
- 2025-05-17 Marseille 4–2 Rennes
- 2025-01-11 Rennes 1–2 Marseille
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Rennes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 4, Rennes won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Marseille and Rennes?
- Recent form — Marseille 2W 0D 3L; Rennes 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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