Monaco v Strasbourg result

Full-time · Monaco 3–2 Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 16:15 BST · Stade Louis II

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monaco · Strasbourg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 3–2 Strasbourg — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.7% of 165 landed (95% range 45.1–60.2%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monaco: 2.36 to 1.77 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 95th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Monaco beat Strasbourg 3–2 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Sunday 31 August.

The goals

Monaco led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Monaco: Maghnes Akliouche (6’), Folarin Balogun (48’, assisted by Lamine Camara) and Takumi Minamino (90’, assisted by Maghnes Akliouche); Strasbourg: Dilane Bakwa (73’, assisted by Samuel Amo-Ameyaw) and J. Panichelli (76’ pen). Rabby Nzingoula (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Takumi Minamino’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

B. Bastien showed three yellow cards and one red — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monaco: Maghnes Akliouche (90+11’) and Mamadou Coulibaly (90+11’); Strasbourg: Ismaël Doukouré (8’).

What it changes

Monaco move up from eighth to fourth (three league matches played).

Strasbourg move down from second to sixth (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Teze (Monaco) 9.1, Maghnes Akliouche (Monaco) 7.5 and Dilane Bakwa (Strasbourg) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Monaco next host SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026.

Strasbourg next travel to Rennes on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Monaco v SC Freiburg, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Strasbourg: Rennes v Strasbourg, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Monaco 3–2 Strasbourg · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
Referee: B. Bastien
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 5 · draws 1 · Strasbourg 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Monaco 3W 0D 2L · Strasbourg 3W 1D 1L

Monaco 3–2 Strasbourg (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.38

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 3 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 2.38

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.17 yellows

Referee · B. Bastien

1.75 home / 1.42 away

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Monaco for / against	Line	Strasbourg for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.88 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: B. Bastien — 3.17 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.42 fouls over 12 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1.42 to the away side).

Home 1.75Away 1.42

Monaco

Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Michal n 8	12.6	3.6 3/1	3.6 4/0	—
S. Magassa n 8	36	2.8 5/3	2.2 4/1	—
K. Diatta n 8	20.5	2.2 4/0	1.6 2/1	—
D. Zakaria n 8	79.3	1.6 6/4	1 5/2	—
T. Kehrer n 8	75.1	1.6 7/4	0.4 2/1	—

Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Ilenikhena n 8	20.3	3.3 3/2	2.2 3/1
Al Musrati n 8	41.4	2.2 4/3	0.8 3/0
M. Akliouche n 8	78.8	2 7/6	1 5/2
F. Balogun n 8	39	2 5/1	1.2 3/1
E. Ben Seghir n 8	29	1.9 4/1	0 0/0

Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Zakaria n 8	79.3	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
M. Akliouche n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
G. Ilenikhena n 8	20.3	0.6 1/0	0 0/0
E. Dier n 8	89.5	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
B. Embolo n 8	78.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Magassa n 8	36	4.7 7/4
Vanderson n 8	48.8	4.2 6/4
Al Musrati n 8	41.4	3.3 4/4
E. Ben Seghir n 8	29	3.1 5/3
L. Michal n 8	12.6	2.7 2/1

Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Köhn n 8	90	2.5 6/5
L. Hrádecký n 8	90	2.4 6/4

Strasbourg

Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Omobamidele n 8	55.5	2.6 6/6	0.8 3/1	—
Andrey Santos n 8	36.6	2.2 6/1	1.8 4/2	—
I. Doukouré n 8	86.4	1.7 8/2	1 4/2	—
G. Doué n 8	80	1.7 5/4	0.6 3/1	—
J. Mwanga n 8	91	1.5 8/4	0.4 3/0	—

Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Panichelli n 8	74.5	2.4 7/5	1.2 5/2
E. Emegha n 8	81.4	2.1 6/5	1.5 6/4
S. Mara n 8	19.3	1.8 2/1	1.2 1/1
K. Paez n 4	43	1.6 2/1	0.5 1/0
A. Ouattara n 8	37.8	1.5 3/2	0.6 2/0

Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Bakwa n 8	56.9	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
E. Emegha n 8	81.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
J. Panichelli n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Andrey Santos n 8	36.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
F. Lemaréchal n 8	82.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1

Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Andrey Santos n 8	36.6	4 6/3
M. Oyedele n 8	51.5	3.9 4/4
K. Paez n 4	43	2.6 2/1
V. Barco n 8	82.5	2.5 5/3
Diego Moreira n 8	72.8	2.5 8/6

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Johnsson n 8	85	3.8 7/5
Đ. Petrović n 8	90.8	2.2 4/3
M. Penders n 8	84.9	1.6 4/1

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Monaco		Strasbourg
43%	Possession	57%
1.94	Expected goals (xG)	1.62
12	Shots	12
4	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	3
10	Shots inside the box	10
6	Corners	5
4	Offsides	2
13	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	1
2	Saves	1
383	Passes	525
84%	Pass accuracy	88%

Monaco player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Teze	90	0	0	0	0	1	11	0	7.7
E. Dier	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
C. Mawissa Elebi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
Caio Henrique	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	5.9
D. Zakaria	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
M. Akliouche	90	1	1	2	1	1	2	Y	8.2
F. Balogun	89	1	0	4	2	1	0	0	7.9
A. Golovin	85	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.7
L. Hrádecký	79	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
M. Biereth	79	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
L. Camara	78	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
T. Minamino sub	17	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
A. Bamba sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
G. Ilenikhena sub	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
P. Köhn sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Coulibaly sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	–

Strasbourg player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Penders	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
L. Høgsberg	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Sarr	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
Rafael LuÃs	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
V. Barco	90	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	7.9
J. Panichelli	90	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
F. Lemaréchal	89	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.7
M. Amougou	71	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
Diego Moreira	71	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.7
I. Doukouré	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
A. Ouattara	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
D. Bakwa sub	45	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8.9
K. Paez sub	45	0	0	1	1	1	4	0	6.2
S. El Mourabet sub	19	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
S. Amo-Ameyaw sub	19	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
R. Nzingoula sub	7	0	0	0	0	1	0	R	5.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MonacoWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

StrasbourgLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Monaco 5 · 1 draw · Strasbourg 0 · 3 goals/game

2025-04-19 Monaco 0–0 Strasbourg
2024-11-09 Strasbourg 1–3 Monaco
2024-03-10 Strasbourg 0–1 Monaco
2023-08-20 Monaco 3–0 Strasbourg
2023-04-02 Monaco 4–3 Strasbourg
2022-08-06 Strasbourg 1–2 Monaco

League standing · 2025/26

Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD

Strasbourg#8 pos53 pts34 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Monaco scored1.76

Strasbourg scored1.71

Monaco conceded1.59

Strasbourg conceded1.38

Shot map and expected goals

Monaco 2.36 xG from 12 shots, Strasbourg 1.77 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Monaco (attacking right)Strasbourg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Monaco	12	3	2.36
Strasbourg	12	2	1.77

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Strasbourg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Strasbourg was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Strasbourg?: In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 5, Strasbourg won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Strasbourg?: Recent form — Monaco 3W 0D 2L; Strasbourg 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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