NiceLe Havre

Nice v Le Havre result

Full-time · Nice 1–1 Le Havre

Ligue 1 · · Allianz Riviera

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Nice 1–1 Le Havre — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,936 of 2,589 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Nice 2.59, Le Havre 2.55 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Nice and Le Havre drew 1–1 at Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1 on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

Le Havre led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Le Havre: Mbwana Samatta (41’, assisted by Rassoul Ndiaye); Nice: Ali Abdi (59’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ali Abdi’s goal on 59 minutes.

Discipline

A. Kherradji showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Nice: E. Wahi (2’); Le Havre: Fodé Doucouré (50’).

What it changes

Nice stay 15th after this result (29 league matches played). Nice have scored 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Nice have conceded 58 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Le Havre stay 14th after this result (29 league matches played). Le Havre have scored 30 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Le Havre have conceded 43 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nice are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Le Havre are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yanis Zouaoui (Le Havre) 8.4, Ali Abdi (Nice) 7.1 and Arouna Sangante (Le Havre) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nice or Le Havre (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Le Havre next host Lorient on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Le Havre: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nice 1–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Allianz Riviera · Nice
  • Referee: A. Kherradji
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Nice 3 · draws 0 · Le Havre 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nice 1W 1D 3L · Le Havre 0W 2D 3L

Nice 1–1 Le Havre (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.57 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.71 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.29 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNice for / againstLineLe Havre for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.57 for · 5.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
9.86 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.5 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.43 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 8.14 against n 7
21.5standard
12.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: A. Kherradji.

Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf29902610 min1023.5 /90592 /9020.1 /90
M. Dupé1190990 min302.7 /90181.6 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 890
3.47/6
M. Dupé n 890
2.66/4

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bard33842786 min571.8 /90471.5 /90210.7 /901514.9 /90331.1 /9040.1 /90
K. Peprah Oppong31812508 min481.7 /90381.4 /90210.8 /901545.5 /90291 /9040.1 /90
Abdulay Bah31802474 min471.7 /90291.1 /90361.3 /901264.6 /90341.2 /9070.3 /90
A. Mendy26852212 min512.1 /90220.9 /90251 /901465.9 /90291.2 /9080.3 /90
A. Abdi23581332 min292 /90161.1 /9040.3 /90946.4 /90171.1 /9040.3 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Clauss n 884.4
0.85/1
0.52/1
Y. Zouaoui
S. Diop n 864.1
1.25/2
0.93/1
—
M. Bard n 879.5
1.76/6
0.75/0
A. Seko
K. Peprah Oppong n 875.4
0.43/0
1.95/4
A. Seko
Abdulay Bah n 875
1.56/2
0.62/2
—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Clauss n 884.4
2.98/6
S. Diop n 864.1
1.66/2
M. Bard n 879.5
38/4
K. Peprah Oppong n 875.4
2.26/5
Abdulay Bah n 875
2.77/5
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kevin Carlos25561399 min20.1 /9000 /90281.8 /90140.9 /9050.3 /9070.5 /90
M. Cho23691578 min50.3 /9040.2 /90211.2 /90130.7 /90201.1 /90261.5 /90
I. Jansson1949930 min10.1 /9000 /90151.5 /90111.1 /90111.1 /90111.1 /90
Tiago Gouveia1948904 min20.2 /9000 /90171.7 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90111.1 /90
J. Boga1655885 min20.2 /9020.2 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90181.8 /90202 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Clauss n 884.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
S. Diop n 864.1
1.13/2
0.53/0
M. Bard n 879.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 875.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Abdulay Bah n 875
0.21/0
00/0
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Clauss n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
S. Diop n 864.1
00/0
00/0
M. Bard n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 875.4
00/0
00/0
Abdulay Bah n 875
00/0
00/0
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Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Diaw24882115 min602.6 /90321.4 /9010 /90
L. Mpasi479315 min154.3 /9020.6 /9000 /90
Paul Argney290180 min42 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diaw n 884.4
2.75/3
L. Mpasi n 478.8
4.34/2

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Négo26852207 min441.8 /90301.2 /9060.2 /90903.7 /90180.7 /9020.1 /90
Y. Zouaoui25781939 min321.5 /90221 /9090.4 /90843.9 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90
A. Sangante24872077 min311.3 /90311.3 /90150.6 /901235.3 /90361.6 /9040.2 /90
G. Lloris23821894 min321.5 /90371.8 /90160.8 /901085.1 /90231.1 /9010 /90
F. Doucouré1746790 min222.5 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90323.6 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Soumaré n 890
1.36/4
1.57/3
—
R. Ndiaye n 889.9
0.43/0
1.67/4
—
L. Négo n 888.5
0.62/2
0.64/1
—
A. Seko n 890
0.54/0
0.53/1
K. Peprah Oppong
Y. Zouaoui n 865.6
0.93/2
2.16/3
J. Clauss
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 890
0.95/2
R. Ndiaye n 889.9
1.36/2
L. Négo n 888.5
1.96/5
A. Seko n 890
1.57/5
Y. Zouaoui n 865.6
2.17/4
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Soumaré29862499 min60.2 /9030.1 /90592.1 /90220.8 /90250.9 /90220.8 /90
M. Samatta20511025 min00 /9010.1 /90262.3 /90100.9 /90141.2 /9060.5 /90
S. Boufal1068684 min00 /9030.4 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90192.5 /90131.7 /90
F. Mambimbi954484 min10.2 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
E. Koffi Vinette939348 min00 /9000 /9041 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9092.3 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 890
2.37/7
0.94/3
R. Ndiaye n 889.9
0.84/2
0.11/0
L. Négo n 888.5
0.83/2
0.11/0
A. Seko n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Y. Zouaoui n 865.6
00/0
00/0
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Ndiaye n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
L. Négo n 888.5
00/0
00/0
A. Seko n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Zouaoui n 865.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NiceLe Havre
46%Possession54%
2.11Expected goals (xG)1.76
15Shots11
5Shots on target6
7Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box9
5Corners2
4Offsides1
20Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves4
332Passes402
74%Pass accuracy80%

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Diouf9000000007.5
A. Mendy9000210206.7
K. Peprah Oppong9000000106.7
M. Bard9000000607
J. Clauss9000213206.9
M. Sanson9000001206.9
H. Boudaoui9000001207
E. Wahi89000000Y6.2
A. Abdi8110411107.5
M. Cho8100111106.5
C. Vanhoutte7500101206.7
S. Diop sub1500110006.9
Kevin Carlos sub900001006.3
T. Louchet sub900001007.3
I. Jansson sub10010100–

Le Havre Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Diaw9000000007.5
A. Sangante9000001407.2
A. Seko9000000106.9
G. Lloris9000100106.6
L. Gourna-Douath9000100006.6
R. Ndiaye9001001206.7
I. Soumaré9000212006.9
M. Samatta8710330007.2
Y. Zouaoui8500003608
S. Ebonog7100102106.2
F. Doucouré70002210Y6.6
S. Boufal sub2000001006.9
T. Pembélé sub1900000006.7
L. Négo sub1200000006.6
Stephan Zagadou sub1000000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nice v Le Havre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NiceDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Le HavreLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Nice 3 · 0 draws · Le Havre 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • 2025-08-31 Le Havre 3–1 Nice
  • 2025-02-16 Le Havre 1–3 Nice
  • 2024-12-07 Nice 2–1 Le Havre
  • 2024-05-10 Nice 1–0 Le Havre
  • 2023-12-16 Le Havre 3–1 Nice
League standing · 2025/26
Nice#16 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Le Havre#14 pos35 pts34 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Nice scored1.09
Le Havre scored0.94
Nice conceded1.76
Le Havre conceded1.29

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nice 2.59 xG from 15 shots, Le Havre 2.55 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Issa Soumaré 19' · 0.62 xGFodé Doucouré 13' · 0.55 xGAntoine Mendy 58' · 0.53 xGMbwana Samatta 13' · 0.38 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 15' · 0.33 xGFodé Doucouré 13' · 0.30 xGSofiane Diop 77' · 0.23 xGAli Abdi 47' · 0.13 xGSimon Ebonog 10' · 0.10 xGCharles Vanhoutte 12' · 0.09 xGKevin Omoruyi 92' · 0.09 xGAli Abdi 36' · 0.09 xGSepe Elye Wahi 63' · 0.06 xGGautier Lloris 62' · 0.06 xGJonathan Clauss 15' · 0.06 xGAntoine Mendy 81' · 0.05 xGIssa Soumaré 51' · 0.04 xGJonathan Clauss 80' · 0.03 xGMbwana Samatta 83' · 0.03 xGMorgan Sanson 58' · 0.03 xGAli Abdi 58' · 0.02 xGIsak Jansson 93' · 0.02 xGLucas Gourna Douath 64' · 0.02 xGMbwana Samatta 18' · 0.01 xGAli Abdi 58' · 0.84 xG · goalMbwana Samatta 40' · 0.44 xG · goal
Nice (attacking right)Le Havre (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nice1512.59
Le Havre1112.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Le Havre led on xG, 2.40 to 0.56. At full time, xG was level: Nice 2.59, Le Havre 2.55. The widest gap was 1.84 xG to Le Havre, in the 40th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Le Havre 40 minGoal - Nice 58 min
Nice 2.59 xGLe Havre 2.55 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nice v Le Havre?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nice v Le Havre was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Le Havre?
In their last 5 meetings, Nice won 3, Le Havre won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nice and Le Havre?
Recent form — Nice 1W 1D 3L; Le Havre 0W 2D 3L.

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