NiceLe Mans

Nice v Le Mans result

Full-time · Nice 1–1 Le Mans

Ligue 1 · · Allianz Riviera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nice · Le Mans

The model’s pre-match pick

Nice 1–1 Le Mans — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 2.00 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Nice 1.25, Le Mans 1.18 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Nice and Le Mans drew 1–1 at Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 September. Le Mans have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Le Mans: A. Bourabaa (13’, assisted by Jean Vercruysse); Nice: E. Wahi (44’, assisted by Sofiane Diop).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Wahi’s goal on 44 minutes.

Discipline

Jeremie Pignard, France showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Nice: Youssouf Ndayishimiye (75’) and E. Wahi (84’); Le Mans: Alexandre Lauray (58’) and Noa Boissé (82’).

What it changes

Nice move up from 17th to 15th (three league matches played). Nice have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Nice have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Mans stay 13th (shared) after this result (three league matches played). Le Mans have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Nice are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Le Mans are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Bourabaa (Le Mans) 7.2, E. Wahi (Nice) 4.7 and Alexandre Lauray (Le Mans) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Le Mans, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Le Mans next host Monaco on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Le Mans: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nice 1–1 Le Mans · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Allianz Riviera · Nice
  • Referee: Jeremie Pignard, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Nice 1W 2D 2L · Le Mans 1W 3D 1L

Nice 1–1 Le Mans (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.75 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 3 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.13 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNice for / againstLineLe Mans for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
17.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Jeremie Pignard, France.

Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 890
2.35/3

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Y. Ndayishimiye290180 min21 /9063 /9031.5 /9063 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Xavier Mandza289178 min42 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9063 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Mendy254107 min54.2 /9021.7 /9000 /9097.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Mohamed Abdelmonem17373 min33.7 /9011.2 /9000 /9044.9 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Coulibaly290180 min10.5 /9021 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9000 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
17/1
0.43/0
N. Boissé
D. Coulibaly n 673.7
0.83/1
0.63/0
A. Lauray
Y. Diouf n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Bard n 877
0.63/1
1.57/3
—
S. Diop n 873.5
0.64/0
1.15/2
—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Coulibaly n 673.7
13/1
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.93/1
M. Bard n 877
1.25/2
S. Diop n 873.5
1.25/2
J. Clauss n 886.3
16/2
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Hein290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.5 /9000 /90
S. Diop286171 min00 /9000 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9063.2 /9042.1 /90
Nathan N'Goumou16363 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Diallo16060 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Wahi12727 min00 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9000 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.85/1
0.42/1
D. Coulibaly n 673.7
0.21/0
0.21/0
Y. Diouf n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Bard n 877
0.11/0
00/0
S. Diop n 873.5
1.75/4
0.95/1
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.32/0
00/0
D. Coulibaly n 673.7
0.21/0
00/0
Y. Diouf n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Bard n 877
00/0
00/0
S. Diop n 873.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Kocik286171 min94.7 /9042.1 /9000 /90
Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 888.9
2.35/2

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Boissé290180 min63 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90126 /9042 /9000 /90
T. Eyoum290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /9042 /9021 /9000 /90
H. Voyer19090 min22 /9022 /9011 /9044 /9011 /9011 /90
R. Bamba19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Théo Eyoum19090 min00 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Boissé n 889.9
1.98/5
0.62/1
Y. Ndayishimiye
L. Buadés n 890.6
1.25/3
2.18/4
—
T. Eyoum n 890
1.17/2
0.43/0
—
N. Kocik n 888.9
00/0
0.43/0
—
A. Lauray n 863.6
2.76/4
1.15/1
D. Coulibaly
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Boissé n 889.9
38/6
T. Eyoum n 890
1.65/5
L. Buadés n 890.6
1.46/3
A. Lauray n 863.6
2.87/5
A. Bourabaa n 852.6
1.94/3
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Mafouta277153 min31.8 /9010.6 /9052.9 /9052.9 /9021.2 /9000 /90
D. Guèye270140 min10.6 /9000 /9031.9 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Rabillard256112 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
L. Buadés290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90
A. Bourabaa277153 min00 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.4 /9031.8 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Buadés n 890.6
0.54/0
0.22/0
N. Boissé n 889.9
0.53/1
00/0
T. Eyoum n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Kocik n 888.9
00/0
00/0
A. Bourabaa n 852.6
1.56/1
0.62/1
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Eyoum n 890
0.11/0
00/0
L. Buadés n 890.6
00/0
00/0
N. Boissé n 889.9
00/0
00/0
N. Kocik n 888.9
00/0
00/0
A. Bourabaa n 852.6
00/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NiceLe Mans
58%Possession42%
1.12Expected goals (xG)1.28
8Shots8
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box2
5Corners2
3Offsides1
4Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
541Passes387
87%Pass accuracy81%

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Diouf9000000006.5
Xavier Mandza9000001307.3
Y. Ndayishimiye90000000Y5.9
Mohamed Abdelmonem9000100107.3
D. Coulibaly9000000106.5
E. Wahi90101100Y7.9
J. Clauss8500111207.7
A. Witsel7300200106.3
N. Nkounkou7300000106.9
Nathan N'Goumou6500000006.9
S. Diop6501002106.9
G. Hein sub2500002006.9
M. Amoura sub2500100206.6
A. Mendy sub1700000006.6
A. Abdi sub1700000206.9
Aboulaye Camara sub1000000106.9

Le Mans Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Hatfout9000000006.3
N. Boissé90000002Y6.7
H. Voyer9000110107.3
R. Bamba9000000506.9
A. Lauray90002114Y6.7
L. Mafouta9000100106.9
L. Calodat7800002106.9
A. Bourabaa7010110207.9
Raúl Torrente6100000306.9
J. Vercruysse6101001006.5
D. Guèye6100100006.5
S. Yohou sub2900000006.6
H. Diallo sub2900100006.3
A. Rabillard sub2900001006.3
B. Brahimi sub2000001106.7
Y. Larouci sub1200001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nice v Le Mans — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NiceLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Le MansDDWDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Nice#8 pos14 pts9 pl+1 GD
Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Nice scored1.44
Le Mans scored1.22
Nice conceded1.33
Le Mans conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nice 1.25 xG from 8 shots, Le Mans 1.18 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Louis Mafouta 86' · 0.66 xGAxel Witsel 28' · 0.44 xGDame Gueye 52' · 0.36 xGMohammed Amoura 72' · 0.12 xGMohamed Abdelmonem 66' · 0.10 xGSepe Elye Wahi 46' · 0.05 xGJean Vercruysse 8' · 0.04 xGHabib Diallo 92' · 0.04 xGAlexandre Lauray 56' · 0.03 xGHarold Voyer 93' · 0.02 xGJonathan Clauss 78' · 0.02 xGAxel Witsel 43' · 0.02 xGDjibril Coulibaly 77' · 0.02 xGAlexandre Lauray 11' · 0.01 xGSepe Elye Wahi 43' · 0.48 xG · goalAdil Bourabaa 12' · 0.02 xG · goal
Nice (attacking right)Le Mans (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nice811.25
Le Mans811.18

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Nice led on xG, 0.94 to 0.07. At full time, xG was level: Nice 1.25, Le Mans 1.18. The widest gap was 0.92 xG to Nice, in the 46th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Le Mans 12 minGoal - Nice 43 min
Nice 1.25 xGLe Mans 1.18 xGdots = goals · 16 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nice v Le Mans?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nice v Le Mans was Draw or Away (best price 2.00 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Nice and Le Mans?
Recent form — Nice 1W 2D 2L; Le Mans 1W 3D 1L.

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