Nice v Rennes prediction

Ligue 1 · Fri, 30 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT · Allianz Riviera

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nice · Rennes · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Nice v Rennes, Ligue 1 on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 479 of 729 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nice host Rennes in Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Rennes have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Nice’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Nice’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Nice have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71. Nice have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nice have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Rennes have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.57. Rennes have scored 18 goals, the most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rennes have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Nice (10th) and Rennes (second) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rennes the stronger side, 116 rating points above Nice (Rennes 1755, Nice 1639, after at least 328 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Rennes.

Team news

Nice have six names on the availability list: A. Mendy (out, Knee Injury), A. Seidu (out, Loan agreement), L. Abergel (out, Knee Injury), M. Bombito (out, Leg Injury), A. Abdi (doubtful, Muscle Injury) and J. Clauss (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted Nice XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Diouf, Y. Ndayishimiye, M. Abdelmonem, X. Mandza, A. Witsel, N. Nkounkou, H. Boudaoui, D. Coulibaly, M. Bard, G. Hein, E. Wahi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jonathan Clauss (3.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Niels Nkounkou (3.5 per match over six appearances) have been Nice’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nice (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jonathan Clauss averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 662 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Niels Nkounkou averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 493 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances.

Rennes have one name on the availability list: E. Lepaul (out, Ankle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-29. Predicted Rennes XI (4-1-4-1): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, M. Nagida, A. Rouault, A. Ait Boudlal, M. Camara, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, S. Szymański, D. Cissé, M. Tamari — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Mahamadou Nagida (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Mahamadou Nagida averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 690 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Allianz Riviera
Referee: Eric Wattellier
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nice 3 · draws 0 · Rennes 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Nice 3W 0D 2L · Rennes 3W 1D 1L

Nice v Rennes (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.88 / 6.38

Corners

against 3 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.13 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Nice for / against	Line	Rennes for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Diouf	8	90720 min	263.3 /90	91.1 /90	00 /90

Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 8	90	3.2 7/3

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Y. Ndayishimiye	8	86688 min	91.2 /90	121.6 /90	50.7 /90	243.1 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
Xavier Mandza	7	89625 min	162.3 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90	294.2 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
Mohamed Abdelmonem	7	86600 min	203 /90	121.8 /90	20.3 /90	375.6 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
A. Mendy	3	41124 min	53.6 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90	96.5 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
A. Seidu	2	61122 min	21.5 /90	21.5 /90	21.5 /90	64.4 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Diouf n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Y. Ndayishimiye n 8	86	0.7 5/0	0.7 4/1	—
J. Clauss n 8	82.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
G. Hein n 8	77.6	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0	—
Xavier Mandza n 7	89.3	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Ndayishimiye n 8	86	1.2 6/2
J. Clauss n 8	82.8	1.5 5/4
G. Hein n 8	77.6	0.6 2/1
Xavier Mandza n 7	89.3	2.3 7/5
Mohamed Abdelmonem n 8	83.4	2.7 7/4
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Hein	8	78621 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	91.3 /90	60.9 /90
E. Wahi	7	76530 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	111.9 /90	61 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90
M. Amoura	6	74444 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	102 /90	30.6 /90	91.8 /90	51 /90
Nathan N'Goumou	2	64128 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Z. Diallo	1	6060 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Diouf n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ndayishimiye n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Clauss n 8	82.8	1.8 6/4	0.8 4/1
G. Hein n 8	77.6	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
Xavier Mandza n 7	89.3	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Diouf n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ndayishimiye n 8	86	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Clauss n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Hein n 8	77.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Xavier Mandza n 7	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rennes

Rennes Goalkeeper

Rennes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Samba	10	90900 min	323.2 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
N. Lemaitre	1	9090 min	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Samba n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Rennes Defensive

Rennes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Cresswell	11	90990 min	141.3 /90	80.7 /90	111 /90	676.1 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90
M. Nagida	10	68678 min	243.2 /90	202.7 /90	20.3 /90	526.9 /90	91.2 /90	00 /90
Przemysław Frankowski	8	78621 min	172.5 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90	355.1 /90	152.2 /90	20.3 /90
A. Rouault	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90	324.6 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
A. Ait Boudlal	6	90540 min	142.3 /90	213.5 /90	40.7 /90	427 /90	61 /90	30.5 /90
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Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Cresswell n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.9 5/1	—
V. Rongier n 8	72.4	1.7 7/3	0.9 4/2	—
Mousa Tamari n 8	59.5	0.4 2/0	0.8 3/1	—
B. Samba n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Camara n 8	80.8	0.6 3/1	1.4 6/3	—
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Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.6 5/4
V. Rongier n 8	72.4	3.1 8/6
Mousa Tamari n 8	59.5	0.8 4/0
M. Camara n 8	80.8	1.4 4/3
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	3 6/5
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Rennes Attacking

Rennes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mousa Tamari	11	63690 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	131.7 /90	70.9 /90	141.8 /90	152 /90
Esteban Lepaul	9	80719 min	70.9 /90	00 /90	364.5 /90	192.4 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
L. Blas	8	51409 min	00 /90	00 /90	153.3 /90	61.3 /90	71.5 /90	61.3 /90
I. Soumaré	6	62371 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
Eliezer Mayenda	5	30150 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90
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Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.4 5/4	0.3 2/0
V. Rongier n 8	72.4	1.6 6/3	0.8 4/1
Mousa Tamari n 8	59.5	1.7 5/3	0.9 4/1
B. Samba n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Camara n 8	80.8	1 6/1	0.4 3/0
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Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
V. Rongier n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mousa Tamari n 8	59.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
B. Samba n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Camara n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nice v Rennes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NiceLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

RennesWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nice 3 · 0 draws · Rennes 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-03-08 Nice 0–4 Rennes
2025-10-26 Rennes 1–2 Nice
2025-05-10 Rennes 2–0 Nice
2025-01-03 Nice 3–2 Rennes
2024-01-13 Rennes 2–0 Nice
2023-11-05 Nice 2–0 Rennes

League standing · 2026/27

Nice#10 pos11 pts8 pl-2 GD

Rennes#2 pos16 pts8 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Nice scored1

Rennes scored2.25

Nice conceded1.25

Rennes conceded1.75

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Nice v Rennes?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nice v Rennes is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Rennes?: In their last 6 meetings, Nice won 3, Rennes won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nice and Rennes?: Recent form — Nice 3W 0D 2L; Rennes 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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