Nice v Toulouse result

Full-time · Nice 0–1 Toulouse

Ligue 1 · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 20:05 BST · Allianz Riviera

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nice · Toulouse · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nice 0–1 Toulouse — Toulouse won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away offsides over 0.5.

Free pick

Away offsides over 0.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nice: 1.01 to 0.57 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Toulouse won 1–0 at Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1 on Saturday 16 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Toulouse: Djibril Sidibé (89’, assisted by S. Hidalgo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Djibril Sidibé’s goal on 89 minutes.

Discipline

T. Leonard showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nice: Bernard Nguene (78’) and Hicham Boudaoui (90+4’); Toulouse: Jaydee Canvot (46’), Dayann Methalie (51’) and Mário Sauer (65’).

What it changes

Nice are 15th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Nice have scored 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Nice have conceded 58 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Toulouse are second (shared) after this result (one league match played). Toulouse have scored 45 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Toulouse have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nice have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Nice have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Djibril Sidibé (Toulouse) 6.0, Y. Gboho (Toulouse) 5.7 and Kojo Peprah Oppong (Nice) 4.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Toulouse are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nice.

Next up

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Toulouse next travel to Lens on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Toulouse: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Nice 0–1 Toulouse · Ligue 1
Venue: Allianz Riviera · Nice
Referee: T. Leonard
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nice 1 · draws 4 · Toulouse 1 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Nice 2W 0D 3L · Toulouse 2W 2D 1L

Nice 0–1 Toulouse (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.38

Corners

against 4.75 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.63 yellows

Referee · T. Leonard

23.25 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nice for / against	Line	Toulouse for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.63 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: T. Leonard — 3.63 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Diouf	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Mendy	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	31.5 /90	94.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90
Abdulay Bah	2	90180 min	42 /90	31.5 /90	52.5 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90
K. Peprah Oppong	2	68135 min	10.7 /90	42.7 /90	10.7 /90	74.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
Dante	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90
M. Bard	2	90180 min	21 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	94.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Mendy n 8	57.1	2.4 5/4	1 4/1	—
M. Bard n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1.3 5/3	—
T. Moffi n 8	52.5	1.9 6/3	0.9 4/0	—
J. Clauss n 8	87.3	0.9 6/1	0.8 4/2	—
T. Louchet n 8	48.6	0.9 3/1	0.9 4/0	—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Mendy n 8	57.1	2.2 5/4
M. Bard n 8	90	1.5 7/2
T. Moffi n 8	52.5	0.4 2/0
J. Clauss n 8	87.3	1 5/3
T. Louchet n 8	48.6	1.6 5/2
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Moffi	2	86171 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90
B. Bouanani	2	76152 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90
I. Jansson	2	76152 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90
J. Boga	1	1818 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	15 /90
M. Bard	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bard n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.4 3/0
A. Mendy n 8	57.1	0.8 4/0	0 0/0
T. Moffi n 8	52.5	1.7 5/3	1.1 4/1
J. Clauss n 8	87.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
T. Louchet n 8	48.6	0.7 1/1	0.7 1/1
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Bard n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Mendy n 8	57.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Moffi n 8	52.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
J. Clauss n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
T. Louchet n 8	48.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nice		Toulouse
57%	Possession	43%
0.79	Expected goals (xG)	0.61
13	Shots	10
2	Shots on target	2
5	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	2
4	Shots inside the box	7
9	Corners	4
12	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
472	Passes	362
85%	Pass accuracy	85%

Nice Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Y. Diouf	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Mendy	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
Abdulay Bah	90	0	0	1	2	0	8.2
J. Clauss	90	2	0	1	1	0	6.6
H. Boudaoui	90	1	1	1	0	Y	6.3
M. Bard	90	2	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Peprah Oppong	89	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
T. Louchet	76	0	0	1	3	0	7
B. Bouanani	76	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
I. Jansson	76	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Moffi	76	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
S. Diop sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Abdul Samed sub	14	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Boga sub	14	1	1	0	2	0	6.9
Bernard Nguene sub	14	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
B. Brahimi sub	8	0	0	1	0	0	6.6

Toulouse Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Guillaume Restes	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
D. Sidibé	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8.2
C. Cresswell	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.7
M. McKenzie	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.9
A. Dønnum	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.2
J. Canvot	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Y. Gboho	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.7
D. Methalie	82	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.3
F. Magri	76	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Sauer	68	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7
N. Edjouma	68	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	6.9
W. Kamanzi sub	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
A. Vossah sub	22	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
S. Hidalgo sub	14	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
R. Nicolaisen sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nice v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NiceWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

ToulouseLDWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nice 1 · 4 draws · Toulouse 1 · 1.67 goals/game

2025-02-02 Toulouse 1–1 Nice
2024-08-25 Nice 1–1 Toulouse
2024-03-03 Toulouse 2–1 Nice
2023-11-26 Nice 1–0 Toulouse
2023-05-21 Nice 0–0 Toulouse
2022-08-07 Toulouse 1–1 Nice

League standing · 2025/26

Nice#16 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD

Toulouse#10 pos44 pts33 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Nice scored1.09

Toulouse scored1.42

Nice conceded1.76

Toulouse conceded1.39

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nice 1.01 xG from 13 shots, Toulouse 0.57 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nice (attacking right)Toulouse (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Nice	13	0	1.01
Toulouse	10	1	0.57

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Nice 0.03, Toulouse 0.24. At full time, Nice led on xG, 1.01 to 0.57. The widest gap was 0.46 xG to Nice, in the 61st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Nice 1.01 xGToulouse 0.57 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nice v Toulouse?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nice v Toulouse was Away offsides over 0.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Toulouse?: In their last 6 meetings, Nice won 1, Toulouse won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nice and Toulouse?: Recent form — Nice 2W 0D 3L; Toulouse 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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