Lens v Toulouse prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lens · Toulouse · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Toulouse, Ligue 1 on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lens host Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

11 of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Lens have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.13. Lens have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Lens have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Toulouse have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.00. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Toulouse have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lens (ninth) and Toulouse (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 124 rating points above Toulouse (Lens 1728, Toulouse 1604, after at least 225 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lens are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Toulouse. The most recent meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Lens 4–1 Toulouse.

Team news

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, S. Baidoo, R. Aguilar, K. Antonio, M. Cuisance, A. Haidara, M. Udol, F. Thauvin, S. Abdulhamid, T. Hazard, F. Ivanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (6.5 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and eight assists) and Ruben Aguilar (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1144 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ruben Aguilar averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 897 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, S. Koumbassa, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, N. Sigur, A. Vossah, Y. Azizi, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (7.4 per match over nine appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (4.6 per match over seven appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1126 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 3.8 shots per 90 over 496 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 4 · draws 1 · Toulouse 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Lens 2W 0D 3L · Toulouse 2W 2D 1L

Lens v Toulouse (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 2.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 3.75

Corners

against 4 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lens for / against	Line	Toulouse for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.88 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Risser	14	901260 min	473.4 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90

Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Risser n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Aguilar	13	69897 min	313.1 /90	131.3 /90	00 /90	474.7 /90	161.6 /90	10.1 /90
K. Antonio	11	74816 min	192.1 /90	161.8 /90	40.4 /90	434.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90
I. Ganiou	8	88703 min	172.2 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90	364.6 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Baidoo	7	63440 min	81.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.9 /90	20.4 /90	30.6 /90
J. Todibo	6	51308 min	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	123.5 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	1.3 7/2	1.7 5/3	—
M. Udol n 8	89.3	0.6 5/0	1 6/2	—
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	1.3 6/2	0.4 3/0	—
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	1.8 6/4	0.6 4/0	—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	0.9 4/1
M. Udol n 8	89.3	2.3 6/5
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	3 7/6
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	1.8 6/4
A. Haidara n 8	62.8	3 6/4
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Thauvin	14	821144 min	60.5 /90	80.6 /90	332.6 /90	201.6 /90	483.8 /90	171.3 /90
F. Ivanović	12	48573 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.7 /90	50.8 /90	40.6 /90	193 /90
O. Édouard	9	38344 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
A. Sima	7	76534 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90
J. Kadile	7	44311 min	00 /90	00 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	1.7 7/4	1 5/2
M. Udol n 8	89.3	1.3 5/4	0.5 3/1
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	1 5/2
M. Udol n 8	89.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Toulouse

Toulouse Goalkeeper

Toulouse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Guillaume Restes	8	88701 min	182.3 /90	81 /90	00 /90
M. Niflore	2	55109 min	32.5 /90	32.5 /90	00 /90

Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 8	87.6	2.3 4/3

Toulouse Defensive

Toulouse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. McKenzie	9	90810 min	121.3 /90	80.9 /90	40.4 /90	424.7 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90
C. Tape	9	89804 min	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	30.3 /90	323.6 /90	151.7 /90	10.1 /90
R. Messali	8	59472 min	132.5 /90	112.1 /90	20.4 /90	336.3 /90	122.3 /90	10.2 /90
R. Nicolaisen	6	89534 min	20.3 /90	71.2 /90	50.8 /90	325.4 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90
I. Diallo	4	52207 min	52.2 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	114.8 /90	31.3 /90	00 /90
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Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Cásseres n 8	90	2.1 8/6	2.3 7/5	—
M. McKenzie n 8	90	1.4 7/3	1.1 8/1	—
C. Tape n 8	89.3	1.8 6/4	0.5 4/0	—
T. Jørgensen n 8	87.8	1 4/2	1 5/1	—
J. Russell-Rowe n 8	73.1	1.1 6/1	0.5 2/1	—
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Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cásseres n 8	90	4 8/8
M. McKenzie n 8	90	1.4 6/3
C. Tape n 8	89.3	0.9 4/3
T. Jørgensen n 8	87.8	1.4 5/4
J. Russell-Rowe n 8	73.1	0.5 2/1
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Toulouse Attacking

Toulouse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Russell-Rowe	9	67604 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	152.2 /90	111.6 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90
C. Tengstedt	7	71496 min	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	213.8 /90	81.5 /90	30.5 /90	20.4 /90
S. Hidalgo	5	45224 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.4 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	31.2 /90
S. Oppong	5	31154 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.5 /90
C. Cásseres	9	90810 min	00 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90	283.1 /90	121.3 /90
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Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cásseres n 8	90	1 3/2	0.3 2/0
M. McKenzie n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Tape n 8	89.3	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
T. Jørgensen n 8	87.8	1.7 7/3	1 4/3
J. Russell-Rowe n 8	73.1	2.3 7/4	1.7 5/3
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Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Cásseres n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1
M. McKenzie n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Tape n 8	89.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Jørgensen n 8	87.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. Russell-Rowe n 8	73.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lens v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LensWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 3 conceded per game

ToulouseWDWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lens 4 · 1 draw · Toulouse 1 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-21 Lens 4–1 Toulouse
2026-04-17 Lens 3–2 Toulouse
2026-01-02 Toulouse 0–3 Lens
2025-05-10 Toulouse 1–1 Lens
2025-01-05 Lens 0–1 Toulouse
2024-01-28 Toulouse 0–2 Lens

League standing · 2026/27

Lens#9 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD

Toulouse#12 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Lens scored1.78

Toulouse scored1.33

Lens conceded1.44

Toulouse conceded1.44

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Toulouse?: In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 4, Toulouse won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Toulouse?: Recent form — Lens 2W 0D 3L; Toulouse 2W 2D 1L.

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