Paris FC v Monaco result
The model’s pre-match pick
Paris FC 4–1 Monaco — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said Paris FC: 3.03 to 1.77 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 19, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Paris FC beat Monaco 4–1 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Friday 10 April. Monaco have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Paris FC led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: J. Ikoné (4’, assisted by Moses Simon; 21’, assisted by C. Immobile), C. Immobile (8’, assisted by Marshall Munetsi) and Luca Koleosho (71’); Monaco: Folarin Balogun (36’, assisted by Aladji Bamba).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Ikoné’s goal on 4 minutes.
Discipline
E. Wattellier showed one yellow card — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris FC: Adama Camara (59’).
What it changes
Paris FC move up from 13th to 12th (29 league matches played). Paris FC have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Paris FC have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.
Monaco stay fifth after this result (29 league matches played). Monaco have scored 56 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Monaco have conceded 48 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.
With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 29, across nine matches. Paris FC are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Ikoné (Paris FC) 12.3, Aladji Bamba (Monaco) 11.0 and C. Immobile (Paris FC) 7.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Paris FC or Monaco (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Paris FC next host Angers on 21 November 2026.
Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Paris FC: Paris FC v Angers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Paris FC 4–1 Monaco · Ligue 1
- Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
- Referee: E. Wattellier
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Paris FC 1 · draws 0 · Monaco 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Paris FC 2W 3D 0L · Monaco 5W 0D 0L
Paris FC 4–1 Monaco (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Paris FC for / against | Line | Monaco for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.75 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.75 for · 17.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.88 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: E. Wattellier — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 18.2 fouls over 10 matches.
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Paris FC
Paris FC Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp | 17 | 901530 min | 472.8 /90 | 241.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| O. Nkambadio | 14 | 901260 min | 372.6 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| O. Nkambadio n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Paris FC Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mbow | 30 | 882626 min | 531.8 /90 | 381.3 /90 | 240.8 /90 | 1324.5 /90 | 210.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| Otávio | 21 | 861814 min | 391.9 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 160.8 /90 | 974.8 /90 | 231.1 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| N. Sangui | 19 | 841604 min | 211.2 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 512.9 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. De Smet | 17 | 691180 min | 292.2 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 624.7 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 80.6 /90 |
| S. Chergui | 12 | 81974 min | 161.5 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 413.8 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mbow n 8 | 80.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | T. Kehrer |
| A. Camara n 8 | 81.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | T. Kehrer |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 65.3 | 1 | 2.1 | — |
| M. Simon n 8 | 68 | 0.2 | 1 | F. Balogun |
| M. Lopez n 8 | 73.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | F. Balogun |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Mbow n 8 | 80.8 | 2.2 |
| A. Camara n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 65.3 | 1.9 |
| M. Simon n 8 | 68 | 0.5 |
| M. Lopez n 8 | 73.4 | 0.8 |
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Paris FC Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Krasso | 21 | 501059 min | 10.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 211.8 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 221.9 /90 | 151.3 /90 |
| J. Ikoné | 20 | 50992 min | 50.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 141.3 /90 |
| W. Geubbels | 20 | 49971 min | 30.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 222 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| A. Gory | 19 | 42792 min | 20.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| L. Koleosho | 12 | 30359 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 41 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 61.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mbow n 8 | 80.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| A. Camara n 8 | 81.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 65.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| M. Simon n 8 | 68 | 1 | 0.7 |
| M. Lopez n 8 | 73.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mbow n 8 | 80.8 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Camara n 8 | 81.1 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 65.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| M. Simon n 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Lopez n 8 | 73.4 | 0 | 0 |
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Monaco
Monaco Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Köhn | 28 | 902508 min | 873.1 /90 | 481.7 /90 | 10 /90 |
| L. Hrádecký | 13 | 891159 min | 413.2 /90 | 151.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Köhn n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
| L. Hrádecký n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Monaco Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Teze | 37 | 772867 min | 762.4 /90 | 311 /90 | 120.4 /90 | 1424.5 /90 | 391.2 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| T. Kehrer | 33 | 872863 min | 692.2 /90 | 421.3 /90 | 321 /90 | 1795.6 /90 | 290.9 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| Caio Henrique | 32 | 782506 min | 441.6 /90 | 260.9 /90 | 110.4 /90 | 983.5 /90 | 160.6 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| Vanderson | 22 | 581278 min | 453.2 /90 | 322.3 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 835.8 /90 | 282 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| K. Ouattara | 19 | 701330 min | 372.5 /90 | 201.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 815.5 /90 | 271.8 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 73.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | — |
| J. Teze n 8 | 79.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | — |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 79.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | M. Lopez |
| T. Kehrer n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 | A. Camara |
| Caio Henrique n 8 | 66.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 73.1 | 2 |
| J. Teze n 8 | 79.5 | 3.3 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 79.4 | 0 |
| T. Kehrer n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| Caio Henrique n 8 | 66.1 | 1.5 |
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Monaco Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Balogun | 37 | 742733 min | 160.5 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 802.6 /90 | 431.4 /90 | 250.8 /90 | 160.5 /90 |
| M. Biereth | 25 | 521294 min | 50.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Ansu Fati | 22 | 42920 min | 90.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 262.5 /90 | 191.9 /90 | 161.6 /90 | 141.4 /90 |
| G. Ilenikhena | 11 | 34372 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 122.9 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| Paris Josua Brunner | 3 | 3089 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 73.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| J. Teze n 8 | 79.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 79.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| T. Kehrer n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Caio Henrique n 8 | 66.1 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 73.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| J. Teze n 8 | 79.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| F. Balogun n 8 | 79.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| T. Kehrer n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Caio Henrique n 8 | 66.1 | 0 | 0.2 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Paris FC | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 34% | Possession | 66% |
| 2.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.31 |
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 17 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 330 | Passes | 616 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
Paris FC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Diego Coppola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Mbow | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Sangui | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. Lees-Melou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Munetsi | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Simon | 87 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Immobile | 75 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| A. Camara | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7.2 |
| J. Ikoné | 65 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9.2 |
| M. Lopez | 65 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Matondo sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Traoré sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Koleosho sub | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Gory sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| W. Geubbels sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Monaco Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Zakaria | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Wout Felix Lina Faes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Bamba | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 7.9 |
| S. Adingra | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Balogun | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Ansu Fati | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Kehrer | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Coulibaly | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Teze | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Camara | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Mawissa Elebi sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Diatta sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Akliouche sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Pogba sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Biereth sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Paris FC v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-01 Monaco 0–1 Paris FC
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Paris FC 3.03 xG from 12 shots, Monaco 1.77 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 3.03 |
| Monaco | 19 | 1 | 1.77 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Paris FC led on xG, 2.05 to 1.37. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 3.03 to 1.77. The widest gap was 1.54 xG to Paris FC, in the 20th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Monaco?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Monaco was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Monaco?
- In their last 1 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Monaco won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Paris FC and Monaco?
- Recent form — Paris FC 2W 3D 0L; Monaco 5W 0D 0L.
Today’s Boards
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