Paris FC v Monaco prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade Jean Bouin

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Paris FC v Monaco, Ligue 1 on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.4% of 1690 landed (95% range 73.3–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 957 of 1,288 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Paris FC host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Paris FC or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

10 of Paris FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Paris FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Paris FC have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 0.88. Paris FC have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris FC have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monaco’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Monaco have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.50. Monaco have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monaco have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris FC (sixth) and Monaco (fourth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris FC the stronger side, 1 rating points above Monaco (Paris FC 1740, Monaco 1738, after at least 42 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Paris FC 4–1 Monaco.

Team news

Paris FC have six names on the availability list: L. Koleosho (out, Muscle Injury), N. Sangui (out, Muscle Injury), A. Camara (doubtful, Hamstring Injury), J. Ikone (doubtful, Thigh Injury), K. Trapp (doubtful, Illness) and S. Chergui (doubtful, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Paris FC XI (4-2-3-1): O. Nkambadio, D. Coppola, H. Traoré, M. Mbow, Otávio, P. Lees-Melou, M. Lopez, I. Kebbal, P. Pagis, R. Matondo, L. Sinayoko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lassine Sinayoko (7.8 per match over eight appearances, six goals and four assists) and Ilan Kebbal (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Paris FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassine Sinayoko averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 701 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. Ilan Kebbal averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 625 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Monaco have two names on the availability list: A. Fati (out, Hamstring Injury) and S. Idumbo (out, Groin Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Monaco XI (4-2-3-1): L. Hrádecký, S. Sané, Vanderson, F. Nazinho, J. Teze, L. Camara, A. Golovin, E. Diop, D. Zakaria, M. Coulibaly, P. Brunner — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Paris Josua Brunner (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Lamine Camara (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Monaco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monaco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paris Josua Brunner averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Lamine Camara averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1424 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Jean Bouin
  • Referee: Jeremy Stinat
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Paris FC 2 · draws 0 · Monaco 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris FC 2W 1D 2L · Monaco 2W 2D 1L

Paris FC v Monaco (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.88 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParis FC for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Jeremy Stinat.

Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trapp790630 min172.4 /9071 /9000 /90
O. Nkambadio19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 890
2.35/4
O. Nkambadio n 890
3.16/3

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Diego Coppola890720 min81 /9081 /9030.4 /90263.3 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Camara884672 min182.4 /9040.5 /9000 /90334.4 /9091.2 /9000 /90
S. Chergui584422 min30.6 /90112.3 /9030.6 /9071.5 /90112.3 /9020.4 /90
H. Traoré581403 min81.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90163.6 /9061.3 /9030.7 /90
Otávio472287 min61.9 /9072.2 /9041.3 /90134.1 /9072.2 /9020.6 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Diego Coppola n 890
0.95/1
0.11/0
—
P. Lees-Melou n 888.5
15/3
1.46/4
—
L. Sinayoko n 887.6
1.36/3
1.56/5
—
A. Camara n 884
1.25/2
0.54/0
—
M. Lopez n 881.5
0.74/1
0.63/1
—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 890
14/3
P. Lees-Melou n 888.5
3.37/5
L. Sinayoko n 887.6
1.46/3
A. Camara n 884
2.46/5
M. Lopez n 881.5
1.97/4
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Sinayoko888701 min60.8 /9040.5 /90172.2 /90121.5 /90162.1 /9060.8 /90
M. Simon344131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /90
P. Lees-Melou889708 min00 /9000 /9050.6 /9000 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
M. Lopez882652 min20.3 /9010.1 /9050.7 /9030.4 /9071 /9010.1 /90
I. Kebbal878625 min10.1 /9010.1 /90111.6 /9060.9 /90152.2 /90111.6 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Lees-Melou n 888.5
0.64/1
00/0
L. Sinayoko n 887.6
2.27/5
1.56/4
A. Camara n 884
0.53/1
0.32/0
M. Lopez n 881.5
0.74/1
0.42/1
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Coppola n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Lees-Melou n 888.5
00/0
00/0
L. Sinayoko n 887.6
0.83/2
0.53/1
A. Camara n 884
00/0
00/0
M. Lopez n 881.5
0.31/1
0.11/0
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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Hrádecký12901080 min373.1 /90100.8 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
36/3

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Sadibou Sané12901080 min141.2 /9070.6 /90110.9 /90272.3 /90110.9 /9000 /90
Vanderson1181887 min323.2 /90181.8 /9070.7 /90525.3 /90181.8 /9020.2 /90
Flávio Nazinho1083831 min171.8 /90181.9 /9020.2 /90323.5 /90151.6 /9030.3 /90
E. Dier890720 min91.1 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90324 /9070.9 /9000 /90
J. Teze660358 min102.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90194.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sadibou Sané n 890
15/3
0.42/1
—
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Camara n 886.1
1.37/2
3.88/7
—
D. Zakaria n 858.9
1.56/1
00/0
—
Vanderson n 883.4
1.67/3
0.75/0
—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sadibou Sané n 890
1.35/2
L. Camara n 886.1
2.67/5
D. Zakaria n 858.9
1.75/3
Vanderson n 883.4
3.47/7
A. Golovin n 881
1.76/4
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paris Josua Brunner1083830 min80.9 /9010.1 /90323.5 /90182 /9080.9 /9060.7 /90
M. Detourbet844350 min00 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9092.3 /90
M. Abline754381 min10.2 /9010.2 /90133.1 /9040.9 /9061.4 /9092.1 /90
Ansu Fati541205 min20.9 /9000 /9052.2 /9041.8 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
M. Biereth441165 min21.1 /9000 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sadibou Sané n 890
0.11/0
00/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Camara n 886.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Zakaria n 858.9
1.15/1
0.63/0
Vanderson n 883.4
0.51/1
0.31/1
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Camara n 886.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Zakaria n 858.9
00/0
00/0
Vanderson n 883.4
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris FC v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris FCDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
MonacoDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Paris FC 2 · 0 draws · Monaco 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-10 Paris FC 4–1 Monaco
  • 2025-11-01 Monaco 0–1 Paris FC
League standing · 2026/27
Paris FC#6 pos14 pts8 pl+4 GD
Monaco#4 pos15 pts8 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Paris FC scored1.63
Monaco scored1.38
Paris FC conceded1.13
Monaco conceded0.88

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Paris FC v Monaco?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Monaco is Home or Draw (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Monaco?
In their last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 2, Monaco won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris FC and Monaco?
Recent form — Paris FC 2W 1D 2L; Monaco 2W 2D 1L.

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