Paris FC v Nice result
The model’s pre-match pick
Paris FC 3–0 Nice — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
What xG said
xG said Paris FC: 3.02 to 0.59 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 15 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 50th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Paris FC beat Nice 3–0 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Sunday 30 August.
The goals
Paris FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: Lassine Sinayoko (21’ pen), Samir Chergui (51’, assisted by Ilan Kebbal) and Vincent Marchetti (89’, assisted by E. Zabi).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lassine Sinayoko’s goal on 21 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Nice: Youssouf Ndayishimiye (18’).
What it changes
Paris FC move up from sixth to first (two league matches played).
Nice move down from fifth to 17th (two league matches played).
Paris FC’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 2, across nine matches. Paris FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pierre Lees-Melou (Paris FC) 8.3, Lassine Sinayoko (Paris FC) 8.1 and Ilan Kebbal (Paris FC) 6.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Paris FC to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Paris FC next travel to Auxerre on 7 November 2026.
Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Paris FC: Auxerre v Paris FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Paris FC 3–0 Nice · Ligue 1
- Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
- Referee: Jeremy Stinat
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Paris FC 1 · draws 1 · Nice 0 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Paris FC 2W 1D 2L · Nice 1W 3D 1L
Paris FC 3–0 Nice (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Paris FC for / against | Line | Nice for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.88 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.63 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.25 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Paris FC
Paris FC Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Paris FC Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Camara | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 66 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Diego Coppola | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Mbow | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Otávio | 1 | 9090 min | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 66 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 |
| I. Kebbal | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio n 8 | 87.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | Y. Ndayishimiye |
| M. Mbow n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.1 | — |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 52.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | — |
| P. Lees-Melou n 8 | 88.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | M. Bard |
| A. Camara n 8 | 84.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | Y. Ndayishimiye |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Otávio n 8 | 87.3 | 3.2 |
| A. Camara n 8 | 84.4 | 3.1 |
| P. Lees-Melou n 8 | 88.5 | 2.7 |
| Diego Coppola n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 52.8 | 0.9 |
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Paris FC Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sinayoko | 1 | 7979 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 11.1 /90 |
| M. Simon | 1 | 4545 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 24 /90 | 12 /90 |
| I. Kebbal | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 22 /90 |
| P. Lees-Melou | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 |
| P. Pagis | 1 | 8181 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 52.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| P. Lees-Melou n 8 | 88.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Otávio n 8 | 87.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| M. Mbow n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Diego Coppola n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Lees-Melou n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| I. Kebbal n 8 | 52.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Diego Coppola n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Otávio n 8 | 87.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Trapp n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Nice
Nice Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Nice Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mendy | 1 | 9090 min | 44 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 88 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Xavier Mandza | 1 | 8888 min | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Coulibaly | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| E. Pereira | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 55 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pereira n 4 | 79 | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| A. Mendy n 8 | 90 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Ndayishimiye n 8 | 86.4 | 1 | 0.3 | A. Camara |
| M. Bard n 8 | 78 | 0.9 | 1.4 | P. Lees-Melou |
| D. Coulibaly n 5 | 70.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Mendy n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| M. Bard n 8 | 78 | 1.7 |
| E. Pereira n 4 | 79 | 1.4 |
| D. Coulibaly n 5 | 70.4 | 1.3 |
| Y. Ndayishimiye n 8 | 86.4 | 0.9 |
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Nice Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diop | 1 | 8181 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 44.4 /90 | 33.3 /90 |
| Z. Diallo | 1 | 6060 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Coulibaly | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Bard | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Clauss | 1 | 8181 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 11.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Ndayishimiye n 8 | 86.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| A. Mendy n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| E. Pereira n 4 | 79 | 0.3 | 0 |
| D. Coulibaly n 5 | 70.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| M. Bard n 8 | 78 | 0.1 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Ndayishimiye n 8 | 86.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| D. Coulibaly n 5 | 70.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Y. Diouf n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Mendy n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Pereira n 4 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Paris FC | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Possession | 55% |
| 2.38 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.78 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 584 | Passes | 691 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
Paris FC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Camara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Diego Coppola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| S. Chergui | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. Lopez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| P. Lees-Melou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8.5 |
| L. Sinayoko | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Otávio | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| I. Kebbal | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Pagis | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Simon | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Matondo sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| E. Zabi sub | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| H. Traoré sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| V. Marchetti sub | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
Nice Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| Xavier Mandza | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Coulibaly | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Hein | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Diop | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Clauss | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Bard | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Witsel | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Nathan N'Goumou | 63 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Wahi sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Mendy sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 |
| I. Jansson sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| H. Koutoune sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Morana sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Paris FC v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-01 Paris FC 1–0 Nice
- 2025-09-28 Nice 1–1 Paris FC
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Paris FC 3.02 xG from 15 shots, Nice 0.59 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 15 | 3 | 3.02 |
| Nice | 15 | 0 | 0.59 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Paris FC led on xG, 0.84 to 0.23, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 3.02 to 0.59, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.43 xG to Paris FC, in the 93rd minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Nice?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Nice was Home win (best price 2.10 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Nice?
- In their last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Nice won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Paris FC and Nice?
- Recent form — Paris FC 2W 1D 2L; Nice 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s Boards
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