Paris FC v Paris Saint-Germain result

Full-time · Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · Sun, 17 May 2026 20:00 BST · Stade Jean Bouin

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris FC · Paris Saint-Germain

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1795 landed (95% range 74.6–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,113 of 1,477 times (75.4%), against an average rating of 70.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris FC: 2.33 to 0.86 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris FC beat Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 May. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Bradley Barcola (50’, assisted by Fabián Ruiz); Paris FC: A. Gory (76’, assisted by Pierre Lees-Melou; 90’, assisted by Luca Koleosho).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Gory’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

G. Paradis showed two yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris FC: Maxime Lopez (90+1’) and A. Gory (90+4’).

What it changes

Paris FC stay 11th after this result (34 league matches played). Paris FC have scored 47 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Paris FC have conceded 50 goals, the eighth-most of the 21 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain stay first after this result (34 league matches played). Paris Saint-Germain have scored 74 goals, the most of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 29 goals, the second-fewest of the 21 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fabián Ruiz (Paris Saint-Germain) 7.7, A. Gory (Paris FC) 7.6 and Otávio (Paris FC) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Paris FC or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1375 of 1795).

Next up

Paris FC next host Angers on 21 November 2026.

Paris Saint-Germain next travel to Nice on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris FC: Paris FC v Angers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Nice v Paris Saint-Germain, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
Referee: G. Paradis
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Paris FC 1 · draws 0 · Paris Saint-Germain 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Paris FC 3W 0D 2L · Paris Saint-Germain 3W 2D 0L

Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 7.75

Corners

against 6.63 / 4 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.09 yellows

Referee · G. Paradis

23.73 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Paris FC for / against	Line	Paris Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.25 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.75 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.13 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: G. Paradis — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trapp	21	901890 min	582.8 /90	281.3 /90	10 /90
O. Nkambadio	15	901350 min	412.7 /90	181.2 /90	10.1 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	2.9 7/6
O. Nkambadio n 8	90	3 5/3

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Mbow	34	882986 min	561.7 /90	451.4 /90	300.9 /90	1444.3 /90	290.9 /90	50.2 /90
N. Sangui	23	851964 min	291.3 /90	190.9 /90	60.3 /90	663 /90	70.3 /90	00 /90
Otávio	22	871904 min	422 /90	271.3 /90	180.9 /90	1055 /90	241.1 /90	70.3 /90
T. De Smet	18	701268 min	302.1 /90	90.6 /90	30.2 /90	634.5 /90	120.9 /90	80.6 /90
H. Traoré	16	721146 min	302.4 /90	171.3 /90	10.1 /90	544.2 /90	211.6 /90	40.3 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Mbow n 8	90	1 3/2	0.3 2/0	—
I. Kebbal n 8	60.5	0.9 4/1	2 7/3	—
A. Camara n 8	78.8	1.3 6/3	0.6 3/1	W. Zaïre-Emery
M. Simon n 8	79.5	0.7 3/2	1.4 7/3	Vitinha
M. Lopez n 8	58.4	1.2 2/2	0.2 1/0	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	90	1.1 5/2
I. Kebbal n 8	60.5	1.1 4/2
A. Camara n 8	78.8	2.9 8/7
M. Simon n 8	79.5	0.6 3/1
M. Lopez n 8	58.4	1.2 5/1
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Ikoné	23	531224 min	70.5 /90	10.1 /90	191.4 /90	110.8 /90	110.8 /90	191.4 /90
A. Gory	23	43995 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90	50.5 /90	40.4 /90
W. Geubbels	22	501107 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	252 /90	80.7 /90	90.7 /90	30.2 /90
J. Krasso	21	501059 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	211.8 /90	90.8 /90	221.9 /90	151.3 /90
L. Koleosho	17	36608 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	142.1 /90	101.5 /90	101.5 /90	71 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
I. Kebbal n 8	60.5	1.3 6/1	0.6 3/0
A. Camara n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Simon n 8	79.5	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
M. Lopez n 8	58.4	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Kebbal n 8	60.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
A. Camara n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Simon n 8	79.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Lopez n 8	58.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Chevalier	24	902160 min	431.8 /90	241 /90	10 /90
M. Safonov	24	902160 min	662.8 /90	241 /90	10 /90

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 8	90	3.6 6/5
L. Chevalier n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Pacho	44	863771 min	811.9 /90	451.1 /90	250.6 /90	1664 /90	180.4 /90	00 /90
Nuno Mendes	42	723012 min	662 /90	351 /90	80.2 /90	2146.4 /90	290.9 /90	50.1 /90
A. Hakimi	36	812911 min	451.4 /90	220.7 /90	30.1 /90	1083.3 /90	250.8 /90	50.2 /90
I. Zabarnyi	33	812664 min	361.2 /90	190.6 /90	160.5 /90	913.1 /90	200.7 /90	70.2 /90
Marquinhos	32	812579 min	301 /90	180.6 /90	140.5 /90	1103.8 /90	220.8 /90	20.1 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	63.8	1.1 5/1	0.5 3/0	A. Camara
Vitinha n 8	69.6	0.6 3/1	0.6 2/2	M. Simon
B. Barcola n 8	51.1	0.9 3/1	0.4 1/1	—
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	68.9	0.5 2/1	2 5/3	—
W. Pacho n 8	90	0.4 1/1	0.5 3/1	—
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	63.8	1.6 6/2
Vitinha n 8	69.6	1.5 7/2
B. Barcola n 8	51.1	1.8 5/2
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	68.9	1.1 5/2
W. Pacho n 8	90	1.5 4/2
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Barcola	50	603018 min	120.4 /90	70.2 /90	742.2 /90	441.3 /90	772.3 /90	611.8 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia	48	622979 min	190.6 /90	100.3 /90	932.8 /90	541.6 /90	631.9 /90	882.7 /90
D. Doué	43	622664 min	140.5 /90	80.3 /90	702.4 /90	381.3 /90	672.3 /90	762.6 /90
O. Dembélé	38	542046 min	200.9 /90	110.5 /90	703.1 /90	371.6 /90	733.2 /90	321.4 /90
Gonçalo Ramos	34	471604 min	100.6 /90	10.1 /90	633.5 /90	362 /90	171 /90	201.1 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	63.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Vitinha n 8	69.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
B. Barcola n 8	51.1	1.1 5/0	0.9 4/0
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	68.9	2.8 7/6	2.3 7/6
W. Pacho n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	63.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	69.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Barcola n 8	51.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	68.9	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
W. Pacho n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris FC		Paris Saint-Germain
37%	Possession	63%
2.20	Expected goals (xG)	0.61
17	Shots	9
9	Shots on target	2
5	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	3
15	Shots inside the box	6
3	Corners	3
7	Offsides	2
8	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	7
395	Passes	682
85%	Pass accuracy	90%

Paris FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Trapp	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Camara	90	0	0	1	1	1	5	0	6.9
S. Chergui	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Diego Coppola	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
P. Lees-Melou	90	0	1	1	0	3	2	0	7.2
Otávio	84	0	0	0	0	1	8	0	7.3
R. Matondo	77	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
W. Geubbels	68	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.5
J. Ikoné	67	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.6
M. Simon	67	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.6
M. Munetsi	67	0	0	3	1	1	1	0	7.2
I. Kebbal sub	23	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	6.7
M. Lopez sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
A. Gory sub	23	2	0	3	3	1	0	Y	8.6
L. Koleosho sub	22	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7.9
V. Marchetti sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
H. Traoré sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Safonov	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5
I. Zabarnyi	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	7.2
Marquinhos	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Beraldo	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
Fabián Ruiz	90	0	1	1	0	1	3	7.3
Vitinha	68	0	0	2	0	0	0	6.9
W. Zaïre-Emery	58	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.9
B. Barcola	58	1	0	2	2	0	0	7
K. Kvaratskhelia	58	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Dimitri Lucea	45	0	0	0	0	0	4	6.9
O. Dembélé	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Gonçalo Ramos sub	63	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
Pedro Fernández sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	1	6.5
Senny Mayulu sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.5
Lee Kang-In sub	32	0	0	0	0	2	1	6.6
I. Mbaye sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
João Neves sub	22	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris FC v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Paris FCWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Paris Saint-GermainWDDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Paris FC 1 · 0 draws · Paris Saint-Germain 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-01-12 Paris Saint-Germain 0–1 Paris FC
2026-01-04 Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 Paris FC

League standing · 2025/26

Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD

Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos76 pts34 pl+45 GD

Goals per game

Paris FC scored1.38

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.18

Paris FC conceded1.47

Paris Saint-Germain conceded0.85

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris FC 2.33 xG from 17 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 0.86 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paris FC (attacking right)Paris Saint-Germain (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Paris FC	17	2	2.33
Paris Saint-Germain	9	1	0.86

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris FC led on xG, 0.86 to 0.12. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 2.33 to 0.86. The widest gap was 1.47 xG to Paris FC, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Paris FC 2.33 xGParis Saint-Germain 0.86 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Paris Saint-Germain?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Paris Saint-Germain was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain?: In their last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain?: Recent form — Paris FC 3W 0D 2L; Paris Saint-Germain 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.