Paris FC v Rennes result

Full-time · Paris FC 4–3 Rennes

Ligue 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:15 BST · Stade Jean Bouin

Updated 20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris FC · Rennes

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris FC 4–3 Rennes — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.67 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Paris FC 3.10, Rennes 3.01 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris FC beat Rennes 4–3 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

Paris FC led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: Maxime Lopez (14’, assisted by Lassine Sinayoko; 45’, assisted by Lassine Sinayoko) and Lassine Sinayoko (76’, 90’ pen); Rennes: Esteban Lepaul (29’ pen, 74’ pen, 88’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lassine Sinayoko’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Paris FC: Hamari Traoré (-5’), Samir Chergui (42’) and Ilan Kebbal (67’); Rennes: Przemysław Frankowski (23’), D. Cissé (32’), Anthony Rouault (36’) and Adrien Thomasson (36’).

What it changes

Paris FC move up from fourth to second (seven league matches played).

Rennes move down from third to fifth (seven league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lassine Sinayoko (Paris FC) 18.9, Esteban Lepaul (Rennes) 17.1 and Maxime Lopez (Paris FC) 11.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Paris FC next travel to Lens on 24 October 2026.

Rennes next travel to Juventus on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris FC: Lens v Paris FC, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rennes: Juventus v Rennes, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Paris FC 4–3 Rennes · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
Referee: Bastein Dechepy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Paris FC 0 · draws 0 · Rennes 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Paris FC 3W 1D 1L · Rennes 3W 1D 1L

Paris FC 4–3 Rennes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.63 / 6.75

Corners

against 4 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.88

Cards

against 0.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Paris FC for / against	Line	Rennes for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.88 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.75 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Bastein Dechepy.

Paris FC

Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Zabi n 8	29.8	3 6/1	1.5 2/1	—
M. Munetsi n 8	64	1.9 7/2	0.5 2/1	—
R. Matondo n 8	42.6	1.8 5/2	1.6 3/2	—
S. Chergui n 8	67	1.7 6/3	0.2 1/0	Przemysław Frankowski
W. Geubbels n 8	64.3	1.6 5/3	0.2 1/0	—

Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Geubbels n 8	64.3	3.2 7/5	1.6 6/2
A. Gory n 8	56.6	2.8 7/5	1.4 4/2
L. Sinayoko n 8	87.6	2.4 8/6	1.8 7/4
O. Sissoko n 8	43.6	2.3 5/2	1 3/1
M. Munetsi n 8	64	1.9 5/3	0.9 4/1

Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Marchetti n 8	12.4	0.9 1/0	0.9 1/0
L. Sinayoko n 8	87.6	0.9 4/2	0.1 1/0
A. Gory n 8	56.6	0.8 3/1	0 0/0
E. Zabi n 8	29.8	0 0/0	0.8 2/0
P. Pagis n 8	68.6	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1

Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. De Smet n 8	59.1	3.4 8/4
Otávio n 8	68.1	3.3 5/5
P. Lees-Melou n 8	87.6	3.2 7/6
A. Camara n 8	77.4	2.9 6/4
M. Munetsi n 8	64	2.6 7/5

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	2.1 5/4

Rennes

Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Thomasson n 8	77.5	2.8 8/5	1.7 7/4	—
D. Cissé n 8	20.5	2.7 4/1	1.1 2/0	—
Przemysław Frankowski n 8	59.8	1.9 3/3	0.6 3/0	S. Chergui
Q. Merlin n 8	73.9	1.7 6/4	0.6 3/1	—
M. Camara n 8	82.5	1.5 4/2	1.4 6/3	—

Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Esteban Lepaul n 8	65.8	4.4 7/7	1.7 6/3
L. Blas n 8	47.1	3.3 7/4	1.2 4/1
A. Nordin n 8	30.9	3.3 6/2	1.5 4/0
Eliezer Mayenda n 8	19.6	2.3 3/1	0 0/0
I. Soumaré n 8	60.6	2.2 7/3	1.1 5/1

Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Dia n 8	34.1	0.7 1/1	0.3 1/0
A. Nordin n 8	30.9	0 0/0	0.7 2/0
A. Thomasson n 8	77.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
S. Szymański n 8	70.8	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
I. Soumaré n 8	60.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Nagida n 8	60.5	3.9 6/5
Przemysław Frankowski n 8	59.8	2.8 6/4
V. Rongier n 8	76	2.5 8/5
S. Szymański n 8	70.8	2.2 7/3
A. Thomasson n 8	77.5	2 7/5

Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Samba n 8	90	2.9 6/5
N. Lemaitre n 8	83.5	2.8 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris FC		Rennes
52%	Possession	48%
3.62	Expected goals (xG)	3.35
19	Shots	12
9	Shots on target	7
3	Shots off target	1
7	Blocked shots	4
14	Shots inside the box	7
3	Corners	4
1	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	16
3	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	4
521	Passes	464
85%	Pass accuracy	83%

Paris FC player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Camara	90	0	0	1	1	3	2	0	7.5
Diego Coppola	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
P. Lees-Melou	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
M. Lopez	90	2	0	2	2	0	4	0	8.6
L. Sinayoko	90	2	2	4	2	4	2	0	9.6
K. Trapp	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
S. Chergui	86	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.6
L. Koleosho	86	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.3
H. Traoré	79	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.3
I. Kebbal	79	0	0	1	1	4	1	Y	7.9
P. Pagis	70	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	7.7
R. Matondo sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Mbemba sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Mbow sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Otávio sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Simon sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Rennes player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Cresswell	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Esteban Lepaul	90	3	3	3	3	0	0	8.7
Bryan Reynolds	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.9
A. Rouault	90	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.2
S. Szymański	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
B. Samba	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
I. Soumaré	79	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
D. Cissé	62	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
A. Thomasson	45	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
L. Blas	45	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Przemysław Frankowski	45	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.5
M. Nagida sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
V. Rongier sub	45	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Mousa Tamari sub	45	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.7
M. Camara sub	28	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
B. Dia sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Paris FC v Rennes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Paris FCWWDWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

RennesWDLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Paris FC 0 · 0 draws · Rennes 2 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-10 Rennes 2–1 Paris FC
2025-11-07 Paris FC 0–1 Rennes

League standing · 2026/27

Paris FC#3 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD

Rennes#6 pos13 pts7 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Paris FC scored1.71

Rennes scored2.14

Paris FC conceded1

Rennes conceded2

Shot map and expected goals

Paris FC 3.10 xG from 19 shots, Rennes 3.01 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paris FC (attacking right)Rennes (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Paris FC	19	4	3.10
Rennes	12	3	3.01

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Rennes?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Rennes was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Rennes?: In their last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 0, Rennes won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris FC and Rennes?: Recent form — Paris FC 3W 1D 1L; Rennes 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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