Paris Saint-Germain v Lyon prediction
Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Lyon · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon, Ligue 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Paris Saint-Germain host Lyon in Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 19:45 UK).
The key numbers
Paris Saint-Germain have scored in nine consecutive matches. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last six matches. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
10 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Paris Saint-Germain have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00. Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
11 of Lyon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Lyon have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Lyon have scored 11 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lyon have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Paris Saint-Germain (first) and Lyon (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 107 rating points above Lyon (Paris Saint-Germain 1882, Lyon 1775, after at least 326 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Lyon.
Team news
Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, Marquinhos, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, W. Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, J. Neves, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, K. Kvaratskhelia, D. Doué — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, O. Dembélé (5.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and six assists) and Désiré Doué (5.8 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1379 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Désiré Doué averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 1314 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Lyon XI (4-3-3): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, F. Bacher, Abner, M. Niakhaté, C. Tolisso, M. Bidstrup, T. Morton, K. Boudache, E. Nuamah, P. Šulc — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.6 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 945 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Parc des Princes
- Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 5 · draws 0 · Lyon 1 · 4.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L · Lyon 3W 1D 1L
As of 30 July 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Paris Saint-Germain for / against | Line | Lyon for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 22.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 8.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 6.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Paris Saint-Germain
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Digne n 8 | 56.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 66.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Senny Mayulu n 8 | 37.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | — |
| João Neves n 8 | 47.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | — |
| I. Zabarnyi n 8 | 86.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Doué n 8 | 51.8 | 4.1 | 2 |
| O. Dembélé n 8 | 63.6 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| Ferran Torres n 8 | 57.1 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| A. Hakimi n 8 | 70.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Doué n 8 | 51.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Ferran Torres n 8 | 57.1 | 1 | 0 |
| O. Dembélé n 8 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 66.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Marquinhos n 8 | 86.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Fernández n 8 | 36.8 | 3.7 |
| João Neves n 8 | 47.5 | 3.6 |
| Senny Mayulu n 8 | 37.1 | 3.6 |
| Beraldo n 8 | 36.4 | 3.4 |
| D. Doué n 8 | 51.8 | 3.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Lyon
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Niakhaté n 8 | 84.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 78.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | — |
| N. Tagliafico n 8 | 63.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 38.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Ouédraogo n 8 | 55.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loïs Openda n 8 | 58.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| K. Boudache n 8 | 32.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| M. Fofana n 8 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 38.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| A. Maitland-Niles n 8 | 69 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Merah n 8 | 53.1 | 4.9 |
| M. Bidstrup n 8 | 49.5 | 4.1 |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 78.5 | 2.3 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 2.2 |
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Greif n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| R. Descamps n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-19 Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Lyon
- 2025-11-09 Lyon 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2025-02-23 Lyon 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2024-12-15 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Lyon
- 2024-05-25 Lyon 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2024-04-21 Paris Saint-Germain 4–1 Lyon
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon?
- In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 5, Lyon won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon?
- Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L; Lyon 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.