Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 · · Parc des Princes

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Marseille · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille, Ligue 1 on Sun, 07 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Paris Saint-Germain host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 7 February (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Paris Saint-Germain have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Marseille have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain (second) and Marseille (ninth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 214 rating points above Marseille (Paris Saint-Germain 1882, Marseille 1668, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Marseille. The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain.

Team news

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, Marquinhos, W. Pacho, A. Hakimi, W. Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, J. Neves, F. Ruiz, F. Torres, K. Kvaratskhelia, D. Doué — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.1 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and O. Dembélé (5.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 1314 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1379 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Marseille XI (4-2-3-1): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, P. Højbjerg, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Gouiri (4.0 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Gouiri averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 1047 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Parc des Princes
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 4 · draws 1 · Marseille 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L · Marseille 2W 0D 3L

Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5
Corners
against 3.25 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.75 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParis Saint-Germain for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
22.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
8.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
6.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Digne n 856.8
1.85/3
1.24/1
—
M. Akliouche n 866.5
1.45/2
0.73/1
—
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
1.24/0
0.92/1
—
João Neves n 847.5
0.94/0
0.52/0
—
I. Zabarnyi n 886.5
0.74/1
0.53/1
—
Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
4.38/5
2.28/2
O. Dembélé n 863.6
3.97/5
1.46/2
Ferran Torres n 857.1
3.27/4
1.86/2
A. Hakimi n 870.3
2.67/5
0.64/0
Vitinha n 868.5
2.16/5
1.14/2
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Doué n 851.8
0.73/0
0.93/1
Ferran Torres n 857.1
13/1
0.21/0
O. Dembélé n 863.6
0.42/0
0.53/0
M. Akliouche n 866.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
Marquinhos n 886.3
0.43/0
00/0
Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Fernández n 836.8
3.77/4
João Neves n 847.5
3.67/3
Senny Mayulu n 837.1
3.65/4
Beraldo n 836.4
3.46/2
D. Doué n 851.8
37/3
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890
3.67/6
Marseille
Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Moumbagna n 89.8
3.53/0
3.52/1
—
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
3.21/0
—
T. Nnadi n 854.9
2.76/5
1.46/1
—
K. Abdallah n 839.1
25/1
0.62/0
—
B. Meité n 880.9
1.86/6
1.55/3
—
Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Abdallah n 839.1
3.76/4
1.23/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 872.4
2.86/4
0.94/2
A. Gouiri n 870.3
1.84/3
12/2
A. Harit n 875.4
1.26/2
0.75/0
Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 870.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
H. Abdelli n 880.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Harit n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 888.4
00/0
0.31/1
Emerson n 878.4
00/0
0.32/0
Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 426
3.52/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
T. Weah n 888.4
2.56/6
G. Kondogbia n 852.1
2.44/4
Q. Timber n 853.9
2.15/4
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 890
3.97/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
MarseilleLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 1 draw · Marseille 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-09-20 Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2026-02-08 Paris Saint-Germain 5–0 Marseille
  • 2026-01-08 Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Marseille
  • 2025-09-22 Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-03-16 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Marseille
  • 2024-10-27 Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain
League standing · 2026/27
Paris Saint-Germain#2 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD
Marseille#9 pos9 pts7 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Paris Saint-Germain scored2
Marseille scored2
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.29
Marseille conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 4, Marseille won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille?
Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L; Marseille 2W 0D 3L.

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