Rennes v Lille prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Roazhon Park

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rennes · Lille · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Rennes v Lille, Ligue 1 on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.62 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rennes host Lille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Lille have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Rennes have six wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 0.88. Rennes have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Rennes have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Five of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Lille’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Lille have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.86. Lille have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Rennes (fifth) and Lille (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lille the stronger side, 118 rating points above Rennes (Lille 1779, Rennes 1660, after at least 329 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Rennes 1–2 Lille.

Team news

Predicted Rennes XI (4-3-3): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, A. Rouault, M. Nagida, B. Reynolds, M. Camara, V. Rongier, S. Szymański, M. Tamari, B. Dia, E. Lepaul — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Mahamadou Nagida (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Mahamadou Nagida averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 870 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lille XI (4-2-3-1): B. Özer, N. Ngoy, A. Ribeiro, T. Nianzou, R. Perraud, B. André, N. Mukau, N. Bentaleb, D. Bakwa, M. Kjærgaard, H. Haraldsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soriba Diaoune (4.4 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Santos (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Lille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soriba Diaoune averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 342 minutes, with a shot in three of the last six appearances. Tiago Santos averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 562 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Roazhon Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 1 · draws 2 · Lille 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Rennes 1W 2D 2L · Lille 1W 3D 1L

Rennes v Lille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.88

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.75 / 4.25

Corners

against 4.13 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.63 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rennes for / against	Line	Lille for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Rennes

Rennes Goalkeeper

Rennes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Samba	11	90990 min	353.2 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
N. Lemaitre	2	90180 min	63 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Samba n 8	90	3.1 7/6

Rennes Defensive

Rennes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Cresswell	13	901170 min	171.3 /90	80.6 /90	110.8 /90	866.6 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
M. Nagida	12	72858 min	272.8 /90	222.3 /90	20.2 /90	646.7 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
A. Rouault	9	90810 min	222.4 /90	111.2 /90	60.7 /90	455 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
Przemysław Frankowski	9	74666 min	172.3 /90	111.5 /90	10.1 /90	364.9 /90	152 /90	20.3 /90
Bryan Reynolds	8	66524 min	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	30.5 /90	274.6 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90
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Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0	—
V. Rongier n 8	71.3	1.9 8/3	0.6 3/1	—
Mousa Tamari n 8	64.6	0.2 1/0	1.4 4/3	—
M. Camara n 8	75.1	0.9 4/2	0.7 4/1	—
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	1.1 3/2	2 8/4	—
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Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.8 6/4
V. Rongier n 8	71.3	3 7/6
Mousa Tamari n 8	64.6	0.9 5/0
M. Camara n 8	75.1	1.6 5/3
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	2 5/4
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Rennes Attacking

Rennes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mousa Tamari	13	65844 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	202.1 /90	91 /90	141.5 /90	212.2 /90
Esteban Lepaul	9	80719 min	70.9 /90	00 /90	364.5 /90	192.4 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
L. Blas	8	51409 min	00 /90	00 /90	153.3 /90	61.3 /90	71.5 /90	61.3 /90
I. Soumaré	7	56393 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
B. Dia	6	63378 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	41 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90
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Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.3 5/3	0.4 3/0
V. Rongier n 8	71.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 3/0
Mousa Tamari n 8	64.6	2.6 6/5	1 4/2
M. Camara n 8	75.1	0.7 5/0	0.4 3/0
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	2 4/3	1.1 3/2
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Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
V. Rongier n 8	71.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mousa Tamari n 8	64.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Camara n 8	75.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Özer	12	901080 min	393.3 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
Orlando Gill	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Özer n 8	90	3 6/5

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Ngoy	12	901080 min	100.8 /90	121 /90	40.3 /90	383.2 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
Alexsandro Ribeiro	11	90990 min	181.6 /90	141.3 /90	100.9 /90	504.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
R. Perraud	11	77852 min	192 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	424.4 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Tiago Santos	7	80562 min	132.1 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90	386.1 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
M. Goffi	6	70422 min	112.3 /90	81.7 /90	00 /90	214.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.7 4/1	2.4 7/6	—
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.8 5/1	—
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.7 6/2	0.5 2/1	—
N. Mukau n 8	78	0.9 5/1	1 4/3	—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.6 3/1
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.9 5/1
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.2 5/2
N. Mukau n 8	78	2 6/3
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	90	1.6 6/5
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Bakwa	11	57632 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	131.9 /90	50.7 /90	101.4 /90	81.1 /90
O. Giroud	10	47466 min	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	91.7 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
A. Ueda	6	64382 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	112.6 /90	81.9 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90
G. Perrin	6	35208 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90
S. Diaoune	5	67334 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	92.4 /90	41.1 /90	61.6 /90	113 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	1.2 7/1	0.5 3/0
N. Mukau n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Mukau n 8	78	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rennes v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RennesLDWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

LilleDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rennes 1 · 2 draws · Lille 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-03-15 Rennes 1–2 Lille
2026-01-03 Lille 0–2 Rennes
2025-02-16 Rennes 0–2 Lille
2024-11-24 Lille 1–0 Rennes
2024-03-10 Lille 2–2 Rennes
2023-09-16 Rennes 2–2 Lille

League standing · 2026/27

Rennes#5 pos16 pts9 pl+1 GD

Lille#2 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Rennes scored2.22

Lille scored1.33

Rennes conceded2.11

Lille conceded0.67

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Rennes v Lille?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Lille is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Lille?: In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 1, Lille won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rennes and Lille?: Recent form — Rennes 1W 2D 2L; Lille 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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