Rennes v Lyon prediction
Team pages: Rennes · Lyon · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes vs Lyon, Ligue 1 on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Rennes host Lyon in Ligue 1 on Saturday 6 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
13 of Rennes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Rennes have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.13. Rennes have scored 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rennes have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
11 of Lyon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Lyon have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Lyon have scored 11 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lyon have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Rennes (fourth) and Lyon (fifth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 23 rating points above Rennes (Lyon 1775, Rennes 1751, after at least 326 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Lyon 4–0 Rennes.
Team news
Predicted Rennes XI (4-3-3): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, P. Frankowski, M. Nagida, A. Rouault, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, E. Lepaul, M. Tamari, I. Soumaré — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrien Thomasson (4.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and Mahamadou Nagida (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrien Thomasson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 530 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Mahamadou Nagida averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 484 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Lyon XI (4-3-3): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, F. Bacher, Abner, M. Niakhaté, C. Tolisso, M. Bidstrup, T. Morton, K. Boudache, E. Nuamah, P. Šulc — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.6 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 945 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Roazhon Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 3 · draws 0 · Lyon 3 · 4.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Rennes 3W 1D 1L · Lyon 3W 1D 1L
TACTIX runs Rennes v Lyon (Ligue 1) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rennes for / against | Line | Lyon for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.75 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 18.75 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Rennes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 77.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| D. Cissé n 8 | 20.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 59.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| Q. Merlin n 8 | 73.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| M. Camara n 8 | 82.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 65.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| L. Blas n 8 | 47.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 60.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 19.6 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dia n 8 | 34.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 60.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Nagida n 8 | 60.5 | 3.9 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 59.1 | 2.9 |
| V. Rongier n 8 | 76 | 2.5 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 70.8 | 2.2 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 77.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| N. Lemaitre n 8 | 83.5 | 2.8 |
Lyon
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Niakhaté n 8 | 84.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 78.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | — |
| N. Tagliafico n 8 | 63.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 38.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Ouédraogo n 8 | 55.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loïs Openda n 8 | 58.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| K. Boudache n 8 | 32.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| M. Fofana n 8 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 38.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| A. Maitland-Niles n 8 | 69 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Merah n 8 | 53.1 | 4.9 |
| M. Bidstrup n 8 | 49.5 | 4.1 |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 78.5 | 2.3 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 2.2 |
| Keito Nakamura n 8 | 50.4 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Greif n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| R. Descamps n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Rennes v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-19 Lyon 4–0 Rennes
- 2026-05-03 Lyon 4–2 Rennes
- 2025-09-14 Rennes 3–1 Lyon
- 2025-04-26 Lyon 4–1 Rennes
- 2024-08-18 Rennes 3–0 Lyon
- 2024-01-26 Lyon 2–3 Rennes
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Lyon?
- In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 3, Lyon won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rennes and Lyon?
- Recent form — Rennes 3W 1D 1L; Lyon 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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