Stade Brestois 29Lens

Stade Brestois 29 v Lens result

Full-time · Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Stade Francis-Le Blé

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stade Brestois 29 · Lens · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lens — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lens: 3.61 to 0.31 in expected goals, from 25 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Stade Brestois 29 and Lens drew 3–3 at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Ligue 1 on Friday 24 April.

The goals

Stade Brestois 29 led 3–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Stade Brestois 29: D. Guindo (7’, assisted by Joris Chotard), Lucas Tousart (24’, assisted by D. Guindo) and J. Dina Ebimbe (42’, assisted by Ludovic Ajorque); Lens: Florian Thauvin (60’), Abdallah Sima (64’, assisted by Saud Abdulhamid) and A. Saint-Maximin (90’, assisted by Mamadou Sangaré).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Saint-Maximin’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

S. Frappart showed six yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stade Brestois 29: J. Dina Ebimbe (-5’), Grégoire Coudert (90+4’) and Kenny Lala (90+4’); Lens: Adrien Thomasson (55’), Mamadou Sangaré (85’) and A. Saint-Maximin (90+4’).

What it changes

Stade Brestois 29 move up from 12th to 10th (30 league matches played).

Lens stay second after this result (30 league matches played).

Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Lens are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Guindo (Stade Brestois 29) 9.9, Ludovic Ajorque (Stade Brestois 29) 9.1 and Mamadou Sangaré (Lens) 8.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lens are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Stade Brestois 29.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (347 of 505).

Next up

Stade Brestois 29 next travel to Strasbourg on 21 November 2026.

Lens next host Toulouse on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stade Brestois 29: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Francis-Le Blé · Brest
  • Referee: S. Frappart
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 1 · draws 1 · Lens 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 1W 1D 3L · Lens 3W 0D 2L

Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 7.71
Corners
against 7.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 7.29
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 1.14
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · S. Frappart
22.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStade Brestois 29 for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.71 for · 2 against n 7
Shots
9.5 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
22.43 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
2.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
7.29 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 10.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.14 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: S. Frappart — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Coudert20871741 min613.2 /90291.5 /9010.1 /90
R. Majecki1087865 min262.7 /90151.6 /9000 /90
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 890
3.27/6
R. Majecki n 885.6
2.97/4

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lala28872432 min381.4 /90250.9 /90100.4 /90792.9 /90130.5 /9030.1 /90
B. Chardonnet26882277 min311.2 /90291.1 /90381.5 /901224.8 /90261 /9040.2 /90
M. Diaz17811370 min231.5 /90211.4 /90191.2 /90674.4 /9070.5 /9040.3 /90
D. Guindo17771305 min322.2 /90201.4 /9060.4 /90553.8 /90241.7 /9040.3 /90
B. Locko16781254 min533.8 /90100.7 /9000 /90876.2 /90100.7 /9000 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lala n 881.6
0.64/0
0.32/0
M. Sarr
J. Chotard n 888.3
1.15/3
0.32/0
M. Udol
H. Magnetti n 887.6
0.32/0
1.76/4
—
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.97/5
2.57/7
—
R. Del Castillo n 887.9
0.52/1
0.94/2
—
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lala n 881.6
1.76/3
J. Chotard n 888.3
2.98/5
H. Magnetti n 887.6
3.18/7
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.16/2
R. Del Castillo n 887.9
1.87/5
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Ajorque27882373 min70.3 /9080.3 /90361.4 /90150.6 /90341.3 /90100.4 /90
R. Labeau Lascary22481048 min50.4 /9010.1 /90232 /90141.2 /90100.9 /90171.5 /90
P. Mboup1851909 min10.1 /9000 /90151.5 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90191.9 /90
Mama Baldé1253634 min20.3 /9010.1 /90192.7 /9050.7 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90
J. Chotard28862415 min20.1 /9000 /90170.6 /9070.3 /9070.3 /9040.1 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lala n 881.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 888.3
0.11/0
00/0
H. Magnetti n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.66/4
0.84/2
R. Del Castillo n 887.9
0.94/3
0.32/0
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lala n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 888.3
00/0
00/0
H. Magnetti n 887.6
00/0
0.11/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
0.64/1
0.32/0
R. Del Castillo n 887.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser32902880 min792.5 /90321 /9020.1 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
1.94/3

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Sarr32902880 min642 /90672.1 /90230.7 /901384.3 /90200.6 /9020.1 /90
I. Ganiou22891950 min351.6 /90211 /90110.5 /901095 /90231.1 /9040.2 /90
S. Baidoo21851789 min301.5 /90241.2 /90211.1 /90834.2 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
J. Gradit990808 min171.9 /90161.8 /9091 /90434.8 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
N. Čelik775528 min183.1 /9081.4 /9040.7 /90254.3 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Udol n 890
0.95/2
0.54/0
J. Chotard
M. Sarr n 890
0.31/1
0.54/0
K. Lala
R. Risser n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Thomasson n 881.1
0.74/1
1.45/3
—
F. Thauvin n 871.9
0.53/0
1.35/2
—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
1.85/4
M. Sarr n 890
1.97/4
A. Thomasson n 881.1
3.58/7
F. Thauvin n 871.9
1.45/4
M. Sangaré n 877
1.86/4
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin30772324 min100.4 /9060.2 /90542.1 /90271 /90732.8 /90471.8 /90
W. Saïd28671876 min100.5 /9020.1 /90472.3 /90251.2 /90251.2 /90321.5 /90
O. Édouard28631763 min130.7 /9030.2 /90482.5 /90291.5 /90201 /90201 /90
R. Fofana2141866 min60.6 /9000 /90282.9 /90121.2 /9060.6 /90121.2 /90
M. Guilavogui1639627 min10.1 /9000 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
2.67/6
1.37/2
M. Sarr n 890
13/3
0.32/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Thomasson n 881.1
1.24/2
0.72/1
F. Thauvin n 871.9
2.87/4
1.66/3
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Sarr n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Thomasson n 881.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
F. Thauvin n 871.9
0.64/0
0.52/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stade Brestois 29Lens
36%Possession64%
0.25Expected goals (xG)2.76
6Shots25
3Shots on target7
1Shots off target13
2Blocked shots5
4Shots inside the box17
0Corners6
1Offsides3
7Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves0
338Passes594
75%Pass accuracy86%

Stade Brestois 29 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Coudert90000000Y6.3
K. Lala90000000Y5.9
B. Chardonnet9000000206.9
S. Coulibaly9000000006
J. Chotard9001001107
H. Magnetti9000001006.3
L. Ajorque9001102507.2
R. Del Castillo8900000106.7
D. Guindo8811112008.3
L. Tousart8010110107.2
J. Dina Ebimbe67101100Y7
Mama Baldé sub2300000107
M. Diaz sub1000000006.3
L. Zogbe sub900000006.2
P. Mboup sub800001107

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Risser9000000005.9
I. Ganiou9000101206
M. Sarr9000000006.6
M. Sangaré90013133Y7.2
A. Thomasson90003034Y6.6
M. Udol9000001207
A. Sima6410620006.6
A. Masuaku5300000105.3
W. Saïd5300000006.5
R. Aguilar5200004107.2
F. Sotoca5200003006.3
Saud Abdulhamid sub3801102207.7
F. Thauvin sub3810112007.7
S. Baidoo sub3700000206.9
A. Saint-Maximin sub37102130Y8.7
O. Édouard sub2600320006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stade Brestois 29WLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
LensLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stade Brestois 29 1 · 1 draw · Lens 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-29 Lens 3–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-04-20 Stade Brestois 29 1–3 Lens
  • 2024-08-25 Lens 2–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-03-09 Lens 1–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2023-08-13 Stade Brestois 29 3–2 Lens
  • 2023-02-05 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lens
League standing · 2025/26
Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD
Lens#2 pos70 pts34 pl+31 GD
Goals per game
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26
Lens scored1.94
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62
Lens conceded1.03

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Stade Brestois 29 0.31 xG from 6 shots, Lens 3.61 from 25. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Saud Abdulhamid 95' · 0.66 xGAbdallah Sima 56' · 0.63 xGOdsonne Edouard 95' · 0.41 xGAdrien Thomasson 47' · 0.34 xGAbdallah Sima 56' · 0.14 xGOdsonne Edouard 91' · 0.12 xGAbdallah Sima 37' · 0.11 xGAdrien Thomasson 20' · 0.10 xGAbdallah Sima 16' · 0.10 xGMamadou Sangaré 4' · 0.09 xGAbdallah Sima 3' · 0.09 xGLudovic Ajorque 89' · 0.07 xGOdsonne Edouard 86' · 0.07 xGAbdallah Sima 59' · 0.07 xGFlorian Thauvin 59' · 0.06 xGAbdallah Sima 26' · 0.05 xGAdrien Thomasson 70' · 0.05 xGLudovic Ajorque 53' · 0.04 xGJoris Chotard 90' · 0.03 xGMamadou Sangaré 75' · 0.03 xGMamadou Sangaré 77' · 0.02 xGPierre Ganiou 39' · 0.02 xGMamadou Sangaré 35' · 0.02 xGAllan Saint-Maximin 79' · 0.01 xGMamadou Sangaré 27' · 0.01 xGAbdallah Sima 63' · 0.35 xG · goalEric Junior Dina Ebimbe 41' · 0.11 xG · goalLucas Tousart 23' · 0.05 xG · goalFlorian Thauvin 59' · 0.04 xG · goalDaouda Guindo 7' · 0.02 xG · goalAllan Saint-Maximin 93' · 0.01 xG · goal
Stade Brestois 29 (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Stade Brestois 29630.31
Lens2533.61

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lens led on xG, 0.59 to 0.18. At full time, Lens led on xG, 3.61 to 0.31. The widest gap was 3.30 xG to Lens, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.61.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Stade Brestois 29 7 minGoal - Stade Brestois 29 23 minGoal - Stade Brestois 29 41 minGoal - Lens 59 minGoal - Lens 63 minGoal - Lens 93 min
Stade Brestois 29 0.31 xGLens 3.61 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lens was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 1, Lens won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Lens?
Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 1W 1D 3L; Lens 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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