Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg

Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg result

Full-time · Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · · Stade Francis-Le Blé

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg — Strasbourg won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home corners total under 4.5.

Free pick
Home corners total under 4.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Stade Brestois 29: 2.65 to 1.69 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 76th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Strasbourg won 2–1 at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Ligue 1 on Wednesday 13 May. Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Strasbourg led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Strasbourg: Valentín Barco (9’, assisted by Sebastian Nanasi) and Sebastian Nanasi (20’, assisted by J. Enciso); Stade Brestois 29: Ludovic Ajorque (13’, assisted by Kenny Lala).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sebastian Nanasi’s goal on 20 minutes.

Discipline

B. Millot showed one yellow card — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Strasbourg: Yaya Diémé (85’).

What it changes

Stade Brestois 29 stay 12th after this result (33 league matches played). Stade Brestois 29 have scored 42 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Stade Brestois 29 have conceded 54 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Strasbourg stay eighth after this result (33 league matches played). Strasbourg have scored 53 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Strasbourg have conceded 43 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sebastian Nanasi (Strasbourg) 10.1, Ludovic Ajorque (Stade Brestois 29) 8.7 and Valentín Barco (Strasbourg) 8.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stade Brestois 29 are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Strasbourg, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stade Brestois 29 corners total under 4.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Stade Brestois 29 next host Lyon on 8 November 2026.

Strasbourg next host Stade Brestois 29 on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Strasbourg: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Francis-Le Blé · Brest
  • Referee: B. Millot
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 4 · draws 2 · Strasbourg 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 0W 2D 3L · Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L

Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
2.5 / 4
Corners
against 7 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · B. Millot
26.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStade Brestois 29 for / againstLineStrasbourg for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 7 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
8.25 for · 16.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: B. Millot — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 26.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Coudert23872011 min743.3 /90371.7 /9010 /90
R. Majecki1087865 min262.7 /90151.6 /9000 /90
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 890
3.17/6
R. Majecki n 885.6
2.97/4

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lala30872612 min381.3 /90281 /90100.3 /90792.7 /90150.5 /9040.1 /90
B. Chardonnet28882457 min331.2 /90311.1 /90401.5 /901274.7 /90271 /9050.2 /90
D. Guindo19781483 min332 /90281.7 /9080.5 /90623.8 /90261.6 /9040.2 /90
M. Diaz18811460 min241.5 /90221.4 /90221.4 /90684.2 /9070.4 /9040.2 /90
B. Locko16781254 min533.8 /90100.7 /9000 /90876.2 /90100.7 /9000 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Chotard n 887.4
14/3
0.11/0
S. El Mourabet
H. Magnetti n 885.1
0.43/0
1.25/3
V. Barco
L. Ajorque n 889.9
2.58/7
1.45/5
—
K. Lala n 881.6
0.75/0
0.32/0
A. Ouattara
R. Del Castillo n 886.1
0.52/1
1.85/4
—
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Chotard n 887.4
1.98/5
H. Magnetti n 885.1
2.27/6
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.55/3
K. Lala n 881.6
1.44/3
R. Del Castillo n 886.1
1.66/4
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Ajorque30882643 min70.2 /9090.3 /90371.3 /90150.5 /90371.3 /90110.4 /90
R. Labeau Lascary24471131 min50.4 /9010.1 /90241.9 /90141.1 /90110.9 /90191.5 /90
P. Mboup1851909 min10.1 /9000 /90151.5 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90191.9 /90
Mama Baldé1448676 min20.3 /9010.1 /90192.5 /9050.7 /9060.8 /9081.1 /90
J. Chotard31862678 min20.1 /9010 /90180.6 /9080.3 /90100.3 /9040.1 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Chotard n 887.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
H. Magnetti n 885.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
15/2
0.32/0
K. Lala n 881.6
0.11/0
00/0
R. Del Castillo n 886.1
0.83/3
0.32/0
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Chotard n 887.4
00/0
0.11/0
H. Magnetti n 885.1
00/0
00/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
K. Lala n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
R. Del Castillo n 886.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Penders50894459 min1543.1 /90581.2 /9010 /90
K. Johnsson270140 min21.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Penders n 890
46/6

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Doukouré41823375 min381 /90371 /90230.6 /901413.8 /90330.9 /9070.2 /90
L. Høgsberg35822867 min381.2 /90250.8 /90290.9 /90993.1 /90270.8 /9040.1 /90
B. Chilwell34772602 min381.3 /90331.1 /90120.4 /901003.5 /90281 /9050.2 /90
A. Omobamidele33702304 min150.6 /90311.2 /90190.7 /90742.9 /90220.9 /9070.3 /90
G. Doué32822639 min582 /90351.2 /9080.3 /901816.2 /90551.9 /9070.2 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Penders n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
S. El Mourabet n 871.4
0.93/3
0.93/1
J. Chotard
I. Doukouré n 884.5
0.95/1
0.95/2
—
V. Barco n 882.8
15/2
2.67/5
H. Magnetti
A. Ouattara n 866.9
0.53/0
0.53/0
K. Lala
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. El Mourabet n 871.4
37/7
I. Doukouré n 884.5
0.95/2
V. Barco n 882.8
2.77/5
A. Ouattara n 866.9
0.74/0
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.63/1
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Panichelli39752938 min200.6 /9040.1 /90822.5 /90471.4 /90351.1 /90170.5 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw31531653 min20.1 /9040.2 /90201.1 /9090.5 /90191 /90442.4 /90
E. Emegha1655887 min80.8 /9020.2 /90252.5 /90151.5 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90
D. Fofana538189 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
D. Bakwa534169 min10.5 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9073.7 /90105.3 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
S. El Mourabet n 871.4
0.32/0
00/0
I. Doukouré n 884.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
V. Barco n 882.8
0.74/1
0.42/1
A. Ouattara n 866.9
1.34/3
0.73/1
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
S. El Mourabet n 871.4
00/0
00/0
I. Doukouré n 884.5
00/0
0.11/0
V. Barco n 882.8
0.11/0
00/0
A. Ouattara n 866.9
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
48%Possession52%
3.06Expected goals (xG)2.02
21Shots10
6Shots on target5
7Shots off target2
8Blocked shots3
16Shots inside the box7
5Corners4
2Offsides4
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves5
468Passes524
83%Pass accuracy85%

Stade Brestois 29 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Coudert9000000007.3
K. Lala9001001006.6
R. Le Guen9000000307
M. Diaz9000210307.7
D. Guindo9000102106.2
L. Ajorque9010523207.9
H. Magnetti8400112307
J. Chotard8300001106.9
R. Del Castillo7800101007.2
K. Doumbia7700211305.9
J. Dina Ebimbe6400112406.7
R. Labeau Lascary sub2600001006.9
H. Makalou sub1300000106.9
P. Mboup sub1200001006.9
L. Tousart sub1200000006.6
Mama Baldé sub1100000006.3

Strasbourg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Penders9000000007.9
G. Doué9000000106.7
A. Omobamidele9000000006.3
L. Høgsberg9000000107.3
A. Ouattara9000110106.9
S. El Mourabet9000000407.2
Sebastian Nanasi9011114107.7
J. Enciso9001112007.2
V. Barco8910320206.9
M. Godo8200004006.3
Diego Moreira7200100207
S. Amo-Ameyaw sub1800000106.3
Yaya Diémé sub8000000Y6.5
Tyrese Noubissie sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stade Brestois 29LDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
StrasbourgWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stade Brestois 29 4 · 2 draws · Strasbourg 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-30 Strasbourg 1–2 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-02-23 Strasbourg 0–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-11-30 Stade Brestois 29 3–1 Strasbourg
  • 2024-02-24 Strasbourg 0–3 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2023-12-07 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Strasbourg
  • 2023-03-05 Strasbourg 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
League standing · 2025/26
Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD
Strasbourg#8 pos53 pts34 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26
Strasbourg scored1.71
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62
Strasbourg conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Stade Brestois 29 2.65 xG from 21 shots, Strasbourg 1.69 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Michel Diaz 76' · 0.54 xGLudovic Ajorque 86' · 0.43 xGLudovic Ajorque 35' · 0.31 xGLudovic Ajorque 41' · 0.10 xGValentín Barco 78' · 0.09 xGKamory Doumbia 21' · 0.09 xGRaphaël Le Guen 30' · 0.09 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 16' · 0.09 xGValentín Barco 5' · 0.09 xGLudovic Ajorque 1' · 0.08 xGRemy Labeau Lascary 68' · 0.08 xGEric Junior Dina Ebimbe 41' · 0.08 xGHamidou Makalou 81' · 0.08 xGLudovic Ajorque 29' · 0.08 xGDiego Moreira 60' · 0.07 xGMama Baldé 87' · 0.07 xGKamory Doumbia 34' · 0.07 xGJulio Enciso 51' · 0.07 xGEric Junior Dina Ebimbe 7' · 0.06 xGHugo Magnetti 69' · 0.05 xGHugo Magnetti 40' · 0.03 xGSamuel Amo-Ameyaw 79' · 0.03 xGDaouda Guindo 70' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 22' · 0.02 xGMichel Diaz 44' · 0.02 xGDaouda Guindo 91' · 0.02 xGRomain Del Castillo 65' · 0.02 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 59' · 0.01 xGValentín Barco 8' · 0.72 xG · goalSebastian Nanasi 19' · 0.50 xG · goalLudovic Ajorque 12' · 0.32 xG · goal
Stade Brestois 29 (attacking right)Strasbourg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Stade Brestois 292112.65
Strasbourg1021.69

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Stade Brestois 29 1.33, Strasbourg 1.42. At full time, Stade Brestois 29 led on xG, 2.65 to 1.69. The widest gap was 0.96 xG to Stade Brestois 29, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Strasbourg 8 minGoal - Stade Brestois 29 12 minGoal - Strasbourg 19 min
Stade Brestois 29 2.65 xGStrasbourg 1.69 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg was Home corners total under 4.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Strasbourg?
In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 4, Strasbourg won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Strasbourg?
Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 0W 2D 3L; Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L.

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