Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Stade Francis-Le Blé

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stade Brestois 29 · Lyon · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon, Ligue 1 on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.87 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stade Brestois 29 host Lyon in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Stade Brestois 29 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Stade Brestois 29 have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.71. Stade Brestois 29 have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Stade Brestois 29 have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Lyon have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.25. Lyon have scored 15 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Lyon have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Stade Brestois 29 (10th) and Lyon (third) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 119 rating points above Stade Brestois 29 (Lyon 1766, Stade Brestois 29 1647, after at least 253 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lyon are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Stade Brestois 29. The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2026, finished Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29.

Team news

Predicted Stade Brestois 29 XI (4-2-3-1): E. Selvik, B. Locko, G. Lloris, K. Lala, L. Tousart, J. Chotard, H. Magnetti, K. Doumbia, P. Mboup, M. Baldé, L. Ajorque — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kamory Doumbia (4.6 per match over nine appearances, four goals and one assist) and Ludovic Ajorque (4.6 per match over nine appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Stade Brestois 29’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stade Brestois 29 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kamory Doumbia averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 724 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Ludovic Ajorque averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 802 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Lyon XI (4-3-3): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, Abner, F. Bacher, M. Niakhaté, C. Tolisso, T. Tessmann, M. Bidstrup, K. Nakamura, K. Boudache, E. Nuamah — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.7 per match over 17 appearances, four goals and five assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1247 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1305 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 2 · draws 1 · Lyon 3 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L · Lyon 2W 1D 2L

Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.5

Corners

against 5.25 / 6.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Stade Brestois 29 for / against	Line	Lyon for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Selvik	9	90810 min	212.3 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Locko	9	90808 min	192.1 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90	505.6 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90
K. Lala	9	82742 min	121.5 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	263.2 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
G. Lloris	8	88701 min	81 /90	101.3 /90	30.4 /90	314 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
L. Tousart	6	78465 min	40.8 /90	112.1 /90	00 /90	203.9 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
R. Le Guen	5	90450 min	51 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	275.4 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Selvik n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
B. Locko n 8	89.8	1 6/2	1.4 6/3	—
L. Ajorque n 8	89	2.9 8/7	1.4 6/4	—
J. Chotard n 8	85.4	0.8 3/3	0.8 4/2	—
K. Lala n 8	81.5	0.6 4/0	1.1 6/1	—
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Locko n 8	89.8	2.1 6/4
L. Ajorque n 8	89	1 4/1
J. Chotard n 8	85.4	1.2 6/3
K. Lala n 8	81.5	1.5 7/4
K. Doumbia n 8	79.4	1.3 5/3
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Ajorque	9	89802 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	212.4 /90	80.9 /90	101.1 /90	50.6 /90
N. Edjouma	2	2243 min	00 /90	00 /90	24.2 /90	12.1 /90	12.1 /90	00 /90
G. Versini	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Chotard	9	86773 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	202.3 /90	10.1 /90
K. Doumbia	9	80724 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	141.7 /90	70.9 /90	91.1 /90	81 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Selvik n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Locko n 8	89.8	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
L. Ajorque n 8	89	1.8 6/4	0.8 6/0
J. Chotard n 8	85.4	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
K. Lala n 8	81.5	0.8 3/2	0.4 2/1
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Selvik n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Locko n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ajorque n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Chotard n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
K. Lala n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lyon

Lyon Goalkeeper

Lyon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Greif	14	901264 min	493.5 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90
R. Descamps	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Greif n 8	90	4 8/6
R. Descamps n 8	90	2.6 6/4

Lyon Defensive

Lyon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Abner	13	891152 min	100.8 /90	90.7 /90	20.2 /90	211.6 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
F. Bacher	13	771001 min	121.1 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90	373.3 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
Zachary Athekame	12	851018 min	322.8 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90	554.9 /90	121.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Niakhaté	12	83994 min	90.8 /90	141.3 /90	60.5 /90	343.1 /90	201.8 /90	30.3 /90
R. Kluivert	9	89799 min	182 /90	91 /90	40.5 /90	424.7 /90	151.7 /90	00 /90
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Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	1.2 5/2	2.8 8/4	—
D. Greif n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 2/1	—
T. Morton n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1	1.3 4/3	—
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	0.7 3/0	2.8 5/4	—
Abner n 8	88.9	1.4 5/4	0.4 2/1	—
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Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	1.1 5/1
T. Morton n 8	78.8	1.3 5/4
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	0.9 4/0
Abner n 8	88.9	0.6 3/2
F. Bacher n 8	75	1.2 5/2
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Lyon Attacking

Lyon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Boudache	14	46647 min	00 /90	00 /90	162.2 /90	50.7 /90	91.3 /90	91.3 /90
Ernest Nuamah	13	66856 min	60.6 /90	10.1 /90	222.3 /90	121.3 /90	121.3 /90	202.1 /90
Loïs Openda	10	82823 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	232.5 /90	131.4 /90	101.1 /90	101.1 /90
Keito Nakamura	7	67472 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	91.7 /90	40.8 /90	193.6 /90	81.5 /90
M. Fofana	6	56335 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	113 /90	102.7 /90	41.1 /90	51.3 /90
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Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	1.7 5/3	1.2 4/3
D. Greif n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Morton n 8	78.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	2 6/3	0.7 2/1
Abner n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
D. Greif n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Morton n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Abner n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Stade Brestois 29LWDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

LyonWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Stade Brestois 29 2 · 1 draw · Lyon 3 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-01-18 Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
2025-11-02 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Lyon
2025-03-02 Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
2025-01-11 Stade Brestois 29 2–1 Lyon
2024-04-14 Lyon 4–3 Stade Brestois 29
2023-09-23 Stade Brestois 29 1–0 Lyon

League standing · 2026/27

Stade Brestois 29#10 pos12 pts9 pl+4 GD

Lyon#3 pos17 pts9 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Stade Brestois 29 scored1.78

Lyon scored1.67

Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.33

Lyon conceded0.78

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.87 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon?: In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 2, Lyon won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon?: Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L; Lyon 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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