StrasbourgLens

Strasbourg v Lens result

Full-time · Strasbourg 2–1 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Strasbourg · Lens · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Strasbourg 2–1 Lens — Strasbourg won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.63 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lens: 2.95 to 1.86 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 17 shots to 16 (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Strasbourg beat Lens 2–1 at Stade de la Meinau in Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August.

The goals

Strasbourg came from behind: Lens led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lens: Florian Thauvin (38’ pen); Strasbourg: Gessime Yassine (48’, assisted by Sebastian Nanasi; 85’, assisted by Sebastian Nanasi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gessime Yassine’s goal on 85 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Strasbourg: J. Mitchell (36’) and Gessime Yassine (83’); Lens: Franjo Ivanović (69’) and Ruben Aguilar (80’).

What it changes

Strasbourg move up from 18th to sixth (two league matches played).

Lens move down from second to third (two league matches played).

Lens have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gessime Yassine (Strasbourg) 10.8, Florian Thauvin (Lens) 8.8 and Sebastian Nanasi (Strasbourg) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Strasbourg next host Stade Brestois 29 on 21 November 2026.

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Strasbourg: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Strasbourg 2–1 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg
  • Referee: Bastein Dechepy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 1 · draws 2 · Lens 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L · Lens 4W 0D 1L

Strasbourg 2–1 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.25
Goals
against 2 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.38
Corners
against 4.63 / 6.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 6.75 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3our book
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 17.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 6.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Bastein Dechepy.

Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Jörgensen19090 min44 /9044 /9000 /90

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Omobamidele19090 min33 /9022 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
G. Doué19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Høgsberg19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
G. Antwi17979 min22.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9033.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Gessime Yassine19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9088 /9022 /9000 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gessime Yassine n 864.6
1.66/3
3.86/6
F. Thauvin
G. Doué n 890
1.56/2
1.45/3
—
A. Omobamidele n 872.8
1.25/2
0.53/0
I. Ganiou
L. Høgsberg n 882.6
0.53/1
14/2
I. Ganiou
Sebastian Nanasi n 864.5
0.32/0
0.31/1
F. Thauvin
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gessime Yassine n 864.6
3.57/4
G. Doué n 890
1.98/4
L. Høgsberg n 882.6
1.46/2
A. Omobamidele n 872.8
0.62/1
Sebastian Nanasi n 864.5
1.26/1
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gessime Yassine19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9044 /90
Sebastian Nanasi17979 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
Diogo Sousa16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /90
S. El Mourabet15959 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gessime Yassine n 864.6
1.24/2
0.32/0
G. Doué n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
A. Omobamidele n 872.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Høgsberg n 882.6
00/0
00/0
Sebastian Nanasi n 864.5
0.93/1
0.73/1
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Omobamidele n 872.8
0.21/0
00/0
G. Doué n 890
00/0
0.11/0
L. Høgsberg n 882.6
00/0
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 864.6
00/0
00/0
Sebastian Nanasi n 864.5
0.73/1
0.21/0
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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser290180 min84 /9000 /9000 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
2.34/3

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Nawrocki290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9021 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Ganiou285169 min21.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9052.7 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Sagnan19090 min66 /9022 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Aguilar14545 min48 /9000 /9000 /9048 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Antonio13939 min00 /9012.3 /9012.3 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Udol n 884.4
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
—
I. Ganiou n 883.8
0.74/1
1.15/3
L. Høgsberg
F. Thauvin n 867
0.74/0
1.74/3
Sebastian Nanasi
Saud Abdulhamid n 871.8
1.46/3
1.35/2
—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Udol n 884.4
2.37/6
I. Ganiou n 883.8
2.18/5
F. Thauvin n 867
1.24/2
Saud Abdulhamid n 871.8
1.66/3
A. Sima n 855.8
0.41/1
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin283165 min31.6 /9010.5 /9052.7 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9042.2 /90
A. Sima273146 min00 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9053.1 /9010.6 /90
F. Ivanović254107 min10.8 /9000 /9032.5 /9021.7 /9010.8 /9032.5 /90
M. Skóraś22243 min00 /9012.1 /9012.1 /9000 /9024.2 /9024.2 /90
O. Édouard11919 min00 /9000 /9014.7 /9014.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Udol n 884.4
0.83/2
0.32/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Ganiou n 883.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
F. Thauvin n 867
28/3
1.56/2
Saud Abdulhamid n 871.8
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Udol n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Ganiou n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 867
1.26/1
0.74/0
Saud Abdulhamid n 871.8
0.32/0
0.52/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StrasbourgLens
52%Possession48%
1.83Expected goals (xG)2.91
16Shots17
7Shots on target7
6Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box12
3Corners6
3Offsides3
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves5
444Passes415
86%Pass accuracy85%

Strasbourg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Antwi9000000106.7
F. Jörgensen9000000008.5
Diogo Sousa9000001006.2
A. Omobamidele9000100206.2
J. Mitchell90001000Y5.9
P. Diop9000201307.3
Gessime Yassine89203211Y9.9
Sebastian Nanasi8902214107.9
J. Ortega8300221006.9
L. Høgsberg8300000206.6
G. Reyna7600113007.2
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly sub1500000007
S. Mara sub1500000106.6
S. Amo-Ameyaw sub1400110006.7
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé sub800000006.3
Mateo Del Blanco sub800000206.9

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Udol9000302106.9
Yassine Titraoui9000000607.2
F. Thauvin9010115107.6
S. Sagnan9000000306.3
I. Ganiou9000110206.3
R. Risser9000000007.3
M. Skóraś8900101106.9
A. Sima8900211106.5
F. Ivanović73001101Y6.3
M. Cuisance7200110206.5
M. Nawrocki6200000106.7
R. Aguilar sub28000010Y6.3
A. Bulatović sub1800211106.7
T. Hazard sub1700000006.5
F. Sotoca sub900110006.7
Mezian Mesloub sub900001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
LensLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 1 · 2 draws · Lens 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-27 Strasbourg 1–1 Lens
  • 2025-11-22 Lens 1–0 Strasbourg
  • 2025-02-16 Lens 0–2 Strasbourg
  • 2024-10-06 Strasbourg 2–2 Lens
  • 2024-02-10 Lens 3–1 Strasbourg
  • 2023-09-29 Strasbourg 0–1 Lens
League standing · 2026/27
Strasbourg#13 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Lens#9 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.8
Lens scored1.78
Strasbourg conceded2.2
Lens conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Strasbourg 1.86 xG from 16 shots, Lens 2.95 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Matthieu Udol 25' · 0.67 xGMichaël Cuisance 20' · 0.38 xGJeyland Mitchell 45' · 0.36 xGAbdallah Sima 23' · 0.33 xGSebastian Nanasi 55' · 0.31 xGFlorian Sotoca 97' · 0.25 xGAbdallah Sima 52' · 0.13 xGPierre Ganiou 88' · 0.10 xGFlorian Sotoca 93' · 0.09 xGPape Diop 1' · 0.08 xGGiovanni Reyna 33' · 0.07 xGJacobo Ortega 40' · 0.07 xGMatthieu Udol 42' · 0.06 xGAndrew Omobamidele 13' · 0.05 xGGessime Yassine 41' · 0.05 xGFranjo Ivanovic 17' · 0.04 xGPape Diop 14' · 0.04 xGJacobo Ortega 73' · 0.03 xGSamuel Amo-Ameyaw 82' · 0.03 xGAndrija Bulatovic 94' · 0.03 xGSebastian Nanasi 28' · 0.03 xGGiovanni Reyna 1' · 0.02 xGYacine Titraoui 93' · 0.02 xGMichal Skóras 20' · 0.02 xGAndrija Bulatovic 94' · 0.02 xGAndrija Bulatovic 88' · 0.02 xGJacobo Ortega 60' · 0.02 xGPape Diop 86' · 0.02 xGMatthieu Udol 66' · 0.02 xGMatthieu Udol 88' · 0.01 xGFlorian Thauvin 37' · 0.76 xG · goalGessime Yassine 84' · 0.58 xG · goalGessime Yassine 47' · 0.07 xG · goal
Strasbourg (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Strasbourg1621.86
Lens1712.95

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lens led on xG, 2.26 to 0.79, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, Lens led on xG, 2.95 to 1.86, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.89 xG to Lens, in the 37th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lens 37 minGoal - Strasbourg 47 minGoal - Strasbourg 84 min
Strasbourg 1.86 xGLens 2.95 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Strasbourg v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Lens was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.63 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, Lens won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Lens?
Recent form — Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L; Lens 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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