Strasbourg v Lyon prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg vs Lyon, Ligue 1 on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Strasbourg host Lyon in Ligue 1 on Saturday 23 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Strasbourg have scored in six consecutive matches. Strasbourg are winless in their last four matches.

Form and the table

10 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Strasbourg have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.00. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Lyon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Lyon have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Lyon have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lyon have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Strasbourg (12th) and Lyon (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 183 rating points above Strasbourg (Lyon 1775, Strasbourg 1592, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Strasbourg 3–1 Lyon.

Team news

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, I. Doukouré, P. Diop, D. Sousa, G. Reyna, G. Yassine, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (6.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and J. Mitchell (3.6 per match over six appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 797 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. J. Mitchell averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1168 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lyon XI (4-3-3): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, F. Bacher, Abner, M. Niakhaté, C. Tolisso, M. Bidstrup, T. Morton, K. Boudache, E. Nuamah, P. Šulc — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.6 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 945 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade de la Meinau
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 2 · draws 1 · Lyon 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L · Lyon 3W 1D 1L

Strasbourg v Lyon (Ligue 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineLyon for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Dário Essugo n 836.5
2.23/2
2.85/3
—
J. Ortega n 748
2.14/4
0.52/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.97/5
2.77/6
—
Diogo Sousa n 868.8
1.86/4
0.52/1
—
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
2.75/2
1.73/1
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
24/1
0.41/0
Diego Moreira n 857.3
1.86/2
0.83/1
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.76/5
0.95/1
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
0.71/1
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
Diego Moreira n 857.3
0.62/1
00/0
J. Ortega n 748
0.31/0
0.31/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
Dário Essugo n 836.5
3.15/3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
2.83/2
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
2.57/5
J. Mitchell n 889.3
2.17/6
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
48/7
Lyon
Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Niakhaté n 884.9
1.97/3
0.54/0
—
R. Kluivert n 878.5
1.96/3
0.32/0
—
N. Tagliafico n 863.8
1.96/2
2.15/3
—
N. Nartey n 838.1
1.83/2
0.93/0
—
M. Ouédraogo n 855.4
1.65/3
1.44/3
—
Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Loïs Openda n 858.8
2.94/4
1.74/3
Ernest Nuamah n 873.1
2.36/4
1.14/1
K. Boudache n 832.6
2.15/1
0.71/1
Keito Nakamura n 850.4
1.64/3
0.72/1
M. Fofana n 841
1.64/1
1.12/1
Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Keito Nakamura n 850.4
0.21/0
0.72/1
Ernest Nuamah n 873.1
0.63/1
0.21/0
N. Nartey n 838.1
0.62/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 869
0.21/0
0.32/0
Zachary Athekame n 880.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Merah n 853.1
4.97/6
M. Bidstrup n 849.5
4.16/5
R. Kluivert n 878.5
2.37/5
Zachary Athekame n 880.9
2.25/4
Keito Nakamura n 850.4
25/2
Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Greif n 890
3.57/5
R. Descamps n 890
2.56/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
LyonDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 2 · 1 draw · Lyon 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-22 Strasbourg 3–1 Lyon
  • 2025-10-26 Lyon 2–1 Strasbourg
  • 2025-03-28 Strasbourg 4–2 Lyon
  • 2024-08-30 Lyon 4–3 Strasbourg
  • 2024-05-19 Lyon 2–1 Strasbourg
  • 2024-02-27 Lyon 0–0 Strasbourg
League standing · 2026/27
Strasbourg#12 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD
Lyon#5 pos11 pts6 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.71
Lyon scored1.83
Strasbourg conceded2.14
Lyon conceded0.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Lyon?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 2, Lyon won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Lyon?
Recent form — Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L; Lyon 3W 1D 1L.

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