Strasbourg v Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Marseille, Ligue 1 on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Strasbourg host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Saturday 20 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Strasbourg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Strasbourg are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Strasbourg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Strasbourg have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.00. Strasbourg have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Strasbourg have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Marseille have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Strasbourg (14th) and Marseille (ninth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Marseille the stronger side, 76 rating points above Strasbourg (Marseille 1668, Strasbourg 1592, after at least 326 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Marseille are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Strasbourg. The most recent meeting, on 21 August 2026, finished Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg.

Team news

Predicted Strasbourg XI (4-3-3): F. Jörgensen, G. Antwi, J. Mitchell, Oso, I. Doukouré, P. Diop, D. Sousa, G. Reyna, G. Yassine, J. Ortega, S. Nanasi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gessime Yassine (6.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) and J. Mitchell (3.6 per match over six appearances) have been Strasbourg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Strasbourg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gessime Yassine averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 797 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. J. Mitchell averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1168 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Marseille XI (4-2-3-1): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, P. Højbjerg, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Harit (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 687 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade de la Meinau
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 1 · draws 3 · Marseille 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L · Marseille 2W 0D 3L

Strasbourg v Marseille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 5
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Dário Essugo n 836.5
2.23/2
2.85/3
—
J. Ortega n 748
2.14/4
0.52/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.97/5
2.77/6
—
Diogo Sousa n 868.8
1.86/4
0.52/1
—
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
2.75/2
1.73/1
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
24/1
0.41/0
Diego Moreira n 860.9
1.87/2
0.73/1
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
1.76/5
0.95/1
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Moreira n 860.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 832.8
0.71/1
00/0
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Ortega n 748
0.31/0
0.31/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 862
47/7
Dário Essugo n 836.5
3.15/3
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 828.5
2.83/2
Gessime Yassine n 877.9
2.57/5
J. Mitchell n 889.3
2.17/6
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 890
48/7
Marseille
Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Moumbagna n 89.8
3.53/0
3.52/1
—
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
3.21/0
—
T. Nnadi n 855
2.76/5
1.46/1
—
K. Abdallah n 839.1
25/1
0.62/0
—
B. Meité n 880.9
1.86/6
1.55/3
—
Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Abdallah n 839.1
3.76/4
1.23/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 872.4
2.86/4
0.94/2
A. Gouiri n 870.3
1.84/3
12/2
A. Harit n 875.5
1.26/2
0.75/0
Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 870.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
H. Abdelli n 880.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Harit n 875.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 888.4
00/0
0.31/1
Emerson n 878.4
00/0
0.32/0
Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 426
3.52/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
T. Weah n 888.4
2.56/6
G. Kondogbia n 852.1
2.44/4
Q. Timber n 854
2.15/4
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 890
3.97/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
MarseilleLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 1 · 3 draws · Marseille 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-21 Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg
  • 2026-02-14 Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg
  • 2025-09-26 Strasbourg 1–2 Marseille
  • 2025-01-19 Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg
  • 2024-09-29 Strasbourg 1–0 Marseille
  • 2024-01-12 Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg
League standing · 2026/27
Strasbourg#14 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD
Marseille#9 pos9 pts7 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.71
Marseille scored2
Strasbourg conceded2.14
Marseille conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, Marseille won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Marseille?
Recent form — Strasbourg 1W 1D 3L; Marseille 2W 0D 3L.

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