StrasbourgToulouse

Strasbourg v Toulouse result

Full-time · Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Strasbourg · Toulouse · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse — Toulouse won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,113 of 1,477 times (75.4%), against an average rating of 70.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Toulouse: 1.68 to 0.41 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Toulouse won 2–1 at Stade de la Meinau in Ligue 1 on Sunday 3 May.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Strasbourg: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (27’, assisted by Ismaël Doukouré); Toulouse: Dayann Methalie (43’, assisted by C. Cásseres) and Emersonn (84’, assisted by C. Cásseres).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Emersonn’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

G. Angoula showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Strasbourg: Yaya Diémé (20’); Toulouse: Dayann Methalie (56’), Alexis Vossah (75’) and Aron Dønnum (90+7’).

What it changes

Strasbourg stay eighth after this result (31 league matches played).

Toulouse stay 10th after this result (32 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Cásseres (Toulouse) 9.1, Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (Strasbourg) 7.4 and S. Hidalgo (Toulouse) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Strasbourg or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.7% of the time in the last 90 days (1355 of 1766).

Next up

Strasbourg next host Stade Brestois 29 on 21 November 2026.

Toulouse next travel to Lens on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Strasbourg: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Toulouse: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg
  • Referee: G. Angoula
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 3 · draws 1 · Toulouse 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 2W 0D 3L · Toulouse 0W 1D 4L

Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.5
Corners
against 7.13 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 7.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · G. Angoula
24.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineToulouse for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 7.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: G. Angoula — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Penders47894189 min1403 /90541.2 /9010 /90
K. Johnsson270140 min21.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Penders n 890
3.96/5

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Doukouré38823124 min371.1 /90351 /90220.6 /901273.7 /90290.8 /9060.2 /90
L. Høgsberg33812688 min341.1 /90220.7 /90260.9 /90923.1 /90270.9 /9040.1 /90
B. Chilwell33772557 min381.3 /90311.1 /90110.4 /90993.5 /90260.9 /9040.1 /90
A. Omobamidele31712195 min150.6 /90291.2 /90180.7 /90723 /90200.8 /9070.3 /90
G. Doué30822459 min542 /90341.2 /9080.3 /901646 /90542 /9070.3 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Penders n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
V. Barco n 874.6
1.15/2
2.77/4
—
S. El Mourabet n 868.1
1.55/4
0.53/0
—
J. Panichelli n 874.1
1.76/4
2.35/5
—
I. Doukouré n 886.9
0.64/1
0.64/1
R. Nicolaisen
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Barco n 874.6
2.76/4
S. El Mourabet n 868.1
2.36/6
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.63/1
I. Doukouré n 886.9
1.36/4
A. Ouattara n 864.3
1.14/1
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Panichelli39752938 min200.6 /9040.1 /90822.5 /90471.4 /90351.1 /90170.5 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw28521450 min10.1 /9040.2 /90150.9 /9050.3 /90181.1 /90422.6 /90
E. Emegha1655887 min80.8 /9020.2 /90252.5 /90151.5 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90
D. Fofana538189 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
D. Bakwa534169 min10.5 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9073.7 /90105.3 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Barco n 874.6
0.95/1
0.63/1
S. El Mourabet n 868.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. Panichelli n 874.1
2.66/4
1.76/4
I. Doukouré n 886.9
0.42/1
00/0
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Barco n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
S. El Mourabet n 868.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.95/1
00/0
I. Doukouré n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Toulouse

Toulouse Goalkeeper

Toulouse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guillaume Restes31892760 min792.6 /90431.4 /9000 /90
K. Haug475300 min92.7 /9061.8 /9000 /90
Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
3.97/5
K. Haug n 883.6
23/1

Toulouse Defensive

Toulouse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Nicolaisen31832560 min240.8 /90461.6 /90150.5 /901214.3 /90301.1 /9040.1 /90
C. Cresswell28872443 min230.8 /90250.9 /90281 /901676.2 /90301.1 /9070.3 /90
M. McKenzie28862396 min421.6 /90261 /90110.4 /90993.7 /90301.1 /9050.2 /90
W. Kamanzi1850902 min212.1 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90424.2 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
S. Koumbassa883663 min131.8 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90223 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
Y. Gboho n 879.1
0.43/0
2.36/4
—
C. Cásseres n 886
28/4
1.26/3
—
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.42/1
0.85/1
I. Doukouré
D. Sidibé n 872.3
1.65/4
0.83/2
—
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Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 879.1
1.47/3
C. Cásseres n 886
2.27/5
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.83/2
D. Sidibé n 872.3
2.26/4
A. Dønnum n 883
1.86/2
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Toulouse Attacking

Toulouse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Gboho31842617 min90.3 /9020.1 /90321.1 /90160.6 /90592 /90742.5 /90
Emersonn28611718 min60.3 /9030.2 /90432.3 /90201 /90170.9 /90110.6 /90
S. Hidalgo20601194 min40.3 /9040.3 /90231.7 /9090.7 /90110.8 /90100.8 /90
F. Magri17741264 min50.4 /9010.1 /90251.8 /90120.9 /90141 /90100.7 /90
J. Russell-Rowe938343 min10.3 /9000 /9071.8 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
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Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
Y. Gboho n 879.1
1.35/3
0.42/1
C. Cásseres n 886
0.53/1
0.32/0
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Sidibé n 872.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
Y. Gboho n 879.1
0.31/1
00/0
C. Cásseres n 886
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Sidibé n 872.3
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StrasbourgToulouse
54%Possession46%
0.41Expected goals (xG)1.36
9Shots16
4Shots on target6
1Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box7
8Corners3
2Offsides3
7Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves3
471Passes403
88%Pass accuracy87%

Strasbourg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Penders9000000005.9
M. Oyedele9000000707
L. Høgsberg9000000307.2
S. Amo-Ameyaw9010221207.9
Rafael Luís9000001206.3
Gessime Yassine9000100106.2
Sebastian Nanasi8200000206.9
Yaya Diémé72001100Y6.2
I. Doukouré7101001007.2
M. Amougou6300111306.2
A. Ouattara4500000006.5
S. El Mourabet sub4500000407.5
Diego Moreira sub2700002006.6
A. Omobamidele sub1900000006.5
J. Enciso sub1800000006.5
E. Emegha sub800000006.3

Toulouse Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guillaume Restes9000000006.9
M. McKenzie9000002106.9
C. Cresswell9000101006.6
R. Nicolaisen9000000307.2
A. Dønnum90000022Y7
C. Cásseres9002003407.9
A. Vossah82000010Y6.7
Y. Gboho8200211207.2
S. Hidalgo7800211706.9
D. Methalie77101103Y7.7
J. Russell-Rowe6300221106.5
Emersonn sub2710311007.2
W. Kamanzi sub1300000106.6
D. Sidibé sub1200000006.6
M. Sauer sub800100006.7
Y. Azizi sub800101006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ToulouseLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.2 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 3 · 1 draw · Toulouse 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-12-06 Toulouse 1–0 Strasbourg
  • 2025-03-16 Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse
  • 2025-01-12 Toulouse 1–2 Strasbourg
  • 2024-04-07 Toulouse 0–0 Strasbourg
  • 2023-08-27 Strasbourg 2–0 Toulouse
  • 2023-01-29 Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse
League standing · 2025/26
Strasbourg#8 pos53 pts34 pl+11 GD
Toulouse#10 pos44 pts33 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.71
Toulouse scored1.42
Strasbourg conceded1.38
Toulouse conceded1.39

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Strasbourg 0.41 xG from 9 shots, Toulouse 1.68 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Charlie Cresswell 48' · 0.45 xGWarren Kamanzi 86' · 0.11 xGSamuel Amo-Ameyaw 45' · 0.10 xGEmersonn 63' · 0.10 xGGessime Yassine 90' · 0.06 xGJacen Russell-Rowe 47' · 0.06 xGIlyas Azizi 88' · 0.06 xGSantiago Hidalgo 4' · 0.05 xGYaya Diémé 67' · 0.05 xGRafael Luís 97' · 0.05 xGSamuel Amo-Ameyaw 21' · 0.04 xGJacen Russell-Rowe 8' · 0.03 xGYann Gboho 30' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 72' · 0.03 xGAron Dønnum 57' · 0.03 xGMário Sauer 94' · 0.03 xGEmersonn 64' · 0.02 xGYann Gboho 46' · 0.02 xGMathis Amougou 45' · 0.02 xGSantiago Hidalgo 14' · 0.02 xGCristian Cásseres Jr. 32' · 0.02 xGSebastian Nanasi 25' · 0.01 xGEmersonn 83' · 0.39 xG · goalDayann Methalie 42' · 0.27 xG · goalSamuel Amo-Ameyaw 26' · 0.05 xG · goal
Strasbourg (attacking right)Toulouse (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Strasbourg910.41
Toulouse1621.68

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Strasbourg 0.22, Toulouse 0.43. At full time, Toulouse led on xG, 1.68 to 0.41. The widest gap was 1.35 xG to Toulouse, in the 88th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Strasbourg 26 minGoal - Toulouse 42 minGoal - Toulouse 83 min
Strasbourg 0.41 xGToulouse 1.68 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Strasbourg v Toulouse?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Toulouse was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Toulouse?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 3, Toulouse won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Toulouse?
Recent form — Strasbourg 2W 0D 3L; Toulouse 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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