Toulouse v Estac Troyes prediction
Team pages: Toulouse · Estac Troyes · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Toulouse v Estac Troyes, Ligue 1 on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:15 BST.
The match
Toulouse host Estac Troyes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Toulouse to win, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
12 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Toulouse are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Estac Troyes, every meeting checked. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Estac Troyes have lost their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 10 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Toulouse have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Nine of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Estac Troyes have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.38. Estac Troyes have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estac Troyes have conceded 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Toulouse (ninth) and Estac Troyes (17th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toulouse the stronger side, 447 rating points above Estac Troyes (Toulouse 1696, Estac Troyes 1250, after at least 121 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2023, finished Toulouse 4–1 Estac Troyes.
Team news
Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, R. Messali, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, Y. Azizi, A. Vossah, N. Sigur, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (8.2 per match over seven appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (5.6 per match over five appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 4.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.
Predicted Estac Troyes XI (4-2-3-1): P. Beach, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, A. Ouzenadji, L. Maronnier, M. Diop, A. Mille, D. Karim, I. Gomis, H. Picard, R. Ripart — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antoine Mille (4.5 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Anis Ouzenadji (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Estac Troyes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estac Troyes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antoine Mille averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 533 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Anis Ouzenadji averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stadium de Toulouse
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 3 · draws 3 · Estac Troyes 0 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Toulouse 2W 2D 1L · Estac Troyes 0W 0D 5L
Toulouse v Estac Troyes (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Toulouse for / against | Line | Estac Troyes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Toulouse
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 38.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | — |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 67.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | — |
| R. Messali n 8 | 55.5 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Vossah n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 38.5 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. Methalie n 8 | 59.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Diop n 8 | 62 | 4 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 3.8 |
| I. Diallo n 5 | 32.6 | 2.8 |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 67.9 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Niflore n 8 | 81.1 | 3.3 |
| Guillaume Restes n 8 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
Estac Troyes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Karim n 8 | 66.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | — |
| M. Detourbet n 8 | 37.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Yacouba Kone n 5 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 0 | — |
| J. Le Douaron n 8 | 48.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — |
| Noah Donkor n 8 | 42.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timothee Nkada n 8 | 43.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| J. Le Douaron n 8 | 48.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| T. Bentayeb n 8 | 46 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| R. Ripart n 8 | 57.6 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Yacouba Kone n 5 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bentayeb n 8 | 46 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Y. Titi n 8 | 54.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Timothee Nkada n 8 | 43.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| K. Diawara n 8 | 42.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Noah Donkor n 8 | 42.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Karim n 8 | 66.1 | 3.2 |
| A. Mille n 8 | 77.9 | 2.9 |
| A. Monfray n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| A. Ouzenadji n 8 | 71 | 2.5 |
| Yacouba Kone n 5 | 8.2 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Beach n 8 | 90 | 3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Toulouse v Estac Troyes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-02-01 Toulouse 4–1 Estac Troyes
- 2022-08-14 Estac Troyes 0–3 Toulouse
- 2021-02-06 Estac Troyes 1–1 Toulouse
- 2020-10-03 Toulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
- 2018-01-27 Toulouse 1–0 Estac Troyes
- 2017-09-09 Estac Troyes 0–0 Toulouse
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Toulouse v Estac Troyes?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Estac Troyes is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Estac Troyes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 3, Estac Troyes won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Toulouse and Estac Troyes?
- Recent form — Toulouse 2W 2D 1L; Estac Troyes 0W 0D 5L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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