Toulouse v Rennes prediction
Team pages: Toulouse · Rennes · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Rennes, Ligue 1 on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Toulouse host Rennes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Rennes have scored 15 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 10 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Toulouse have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Rennes have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.29. Rennes have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Toulouse (11th) and Rennes (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rennes the stronger side, 15 rating points above Toulouse (Rennes 1711, Toulouse 1696, after at least 253 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Rennes 1–0 Toulouse.
Team news
Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, R. Messali, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, Y. Azizi, A. Vossah, N. Sigur, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (8.2 per match over seven appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (5.6 per match over five appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 4.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.
Predicted Rennes XI (4-1-4-1): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, P. Frankowski, A. Rouault, M. Nagida, V. Rongier, A. Thomasson, M. Camara, S. Szymański, L. Blas, E. Lepaul — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Adrien Thomasson (4.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrien Thomasson averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 575 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stadium de Toulouse
- Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 3 · draws 2 · Rennes 1 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Toulouse 2W 2D 1L · Rennes 2W 1D 2L
Toulouse v Rennes (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Toulouse for / against | Line | Rennes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Toulouse
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| R. Messali n 8 | 55.5 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Vossah n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Julián Vignolo n 8 | 33.9 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. Methalie n 8 | 59.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Diop n 8 | 62 | 4 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 3.8 |
| I. Diallo n 5 | 32.6 | 2.8 |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Niflore n 8 | 81.1 | 3.3 |
| Guillaume Restes n 8 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
Rennes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cissé n 8 | 26.1 | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 56.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Q. Merlin n 8 | 73.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 67.3 | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| L. Blas n 8 | 50.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 19.6 | 2.3 | 0 |
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 59.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dia n 8 | 25.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 67.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 30.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 72.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Nagida n 8 | 56.4 | 3.4 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 56.9 | 3.2 |
| V. Rongier n 8 | 70.4 | 2.7 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 72.4 | 2.2 |
| A. Thomasson n 8 | 71.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| N. Lemaitre n 8 | 83.5 | 2.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Toulouse v Rennes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-28 Rennes 1–0 Toulouse
- 2025-10-29 Toulouse 2–2 Rennes
- 2025-05-03 Toulouse 2–1 Rennes
- 2024-11-10 Rennes 0–2 Toulouse
- 2024-04-13 Rennes 1–2 Toulouse
- 2023-12-17 Toulouse 0–0 Rennes
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Rennes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 3, Rennes won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Toulouse and Rennes?
- Recent form — Toulouse 2W 2D 1L; Rennes 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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