Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 result

Full-time · Toulouse 2–0 Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 16:15 BST · Stadium de Toulouse

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toulouse · Stade Brestois 29 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toulouse 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 — Toulouse won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1559 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Toulouse: 1.32 to 0.75 in expected goals, from 6 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 64th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Toulouse beat Stade Brestois 29 2–0 at Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Sunday 24 August. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Toulouse: F. Magri (52’, 65’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Magri’s goal on 52 minutes.

Discipline

B. Millot showed one yellow card — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet (63’).

What it changes

Toulouse stay second after this result (two league matches played).

Stade Brestois 29 move down from fifth to 14th (two league matches played).

Toulouse have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Magri (Toulouse) 11.5, Dayann Methalie (Toulouse) 6.1 and Pierre Lees-Melou (Stade Brestois 29) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Toulouse or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1174 of 1559).

Next up

Toulouse next host Estac Troyes on 24 October 2026.

Stade Brestois 29 next host Nice on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toulouse: Toulouse v Estac Troyes, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29 v Nice, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Toulouse 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Venue: Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse
Referee: B. Millot
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 0 · draws 2 · Stade Brestois 29 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Toulouse 3W 2D 0L · Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L

Toulouse 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4

Corners

against 4 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.63

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.43 yellows

Referee · B. Millot

1.29 home / 2.14 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Toulouse for / against	Line	Stade Brestois 29 for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: B. Millot — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 26.14 fouls over 7 matches (1.29 to the home side, 2.14 to the away side).

Home 1.29Away 2.14

Toulouse

Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Hidalgo n 8	28.5	3.6 4/4	4.3 4/4	—
G. Suazo n 8	79.6	2 7/5	1.1 4/3	—
J. King n 8	60.4	1.9 5/2	1.7 5/3	—
W. Kamanzi n 8	34.9	1.9 5/1	1.9 4/2	—
N. Edjouma n 8	24.3	1.9 3/1	1.9 3/1	—

Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. King n 8	60.4	2.8 6/5	1.3 6/1
Z. Aboukhlal n 8	54.4	2.1 6/2	1 5/0
F. Magri n 8	82.1	1.9 8/4	1 5/2
S. Hidalgo n 8	28.5	1.6 3/1	0.4 1/0
S. Babicka n 8	44.8	1.5 3/1	0.5 2/0

Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Hidalgo n 8	28.5	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
J. King n 8	60.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
W. Kamanzi n 8	34.9	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Y. Gboho n 8	75.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
N. Edjouma n 8	24.3	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Hidalgo n 8	28.5	3.2 4/3
A. Dønnum n 8	89.3	2.4 8/6
D. Sidibé n 8	85.9	2.4 8/6
C. Cásseres n 8	88.5	1.8 6/3
G. Suazo n 8	79.6	1.8 6/4

Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 8	90	2.4 5/3

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Mama Baldé n 8	31.4	3.2 5/2	1.4 2/1	—
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.8	2.4 7/7	2.5 8/7	—
L. Ajorque n 8	82.1	2.1 7/5	1.1 5/3	—
H. Magnetti n 8	73.1	1.5 7/2	0.8 3/2	—
A. Sima n 8	47.9	1.4 4/2	1.4 4/2	—

Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Mama Baldé n 8	31.4	2.5 4/3	0.7 2/0
A. Sima n 8	47.9	2.1 5/3	1.6 5/2
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	82.5	1.9 6/4	1 5/2
K. Doumbia n 8	47.3	1.7 4/2	0.7 2/1
L. Ajorque n 8	82.1	1.6 6/5	1 6/1

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Sima n 8	47.9	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
K. Doumbia n 8	47.3	0.7 2/1	0 0/0
R. Del Castillo n 8	37.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
L. Ajorque n 8	82.1	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0.4 2/1

Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Zogbe n 8	52.5	4.7 6/4
Mama Baldé n 8	31.4	3.6 4/3
J. Martin n 8	9.9	3.4 3/0
A. N'Diaye n 8	85	3.3 7/7
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.8	3.2 7/7

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Majecki n 8	90	3.4 7/6
G. Coudert n 8	79.8	3.1 7/3
M. Bizot n 8	90	2.4 5/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Toulouse		Stade Brestois 29
47%	Possession	53%
1.28	Expected goals (xG)	0.97
6	Shots	16
3	Shots on target	2
3	Shots off target	6
0	Blocked shots	8
6	Shots inside the box	10
3	Corners	9
3	Offsides	2
14	Fouls	10
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
387	Passes	417
81%	Pass accuracy	82%

Toulouse player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Guillaume Restes	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
J. Canvot	90	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
C. Cresswell	90	0	1	0	0	0	7.3
M. McKenzie	90	0	0	0	0	1	7.6
C. Cásseres	90	0	0	0	3	3	7.3
A. Dønnum	90	0	1	0	0	2	6.2
D. Methalie	83	0	0	0	0	5	7.3
F. Magri	83	2	3	3	0	0	9.3
Y. Gboho	71	0	0	0	1	2	6.6
D. Sidibé	70	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
M. Sauer	60	0	0	0	0	2	7
W. Kamanzi sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
R. Nicolaisen sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
N. Edjouma sub	19	0	0	0	0	1	6.5
M. Saka sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Hidalgo sub	8	0	1	0	0	0	6.6

Stade Brestois 29 player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Majecki	90	0	0	0	0	0	6
K. Lala	90	0	0	2	1	0	7.3
J. Le Cardinal	90	1	1	1	2	0	7
B. Locko	90	1	0	0	2	0	6
P. Lees-Melou	90	1	0	1	5	0	7.2
L. Ajorque	90	3	0	2	0	0	6.7
Mama Baldé	84	2	1	1	2	0	6.5
K. Doumbia	79	0	0	2	2	0	6.3
B. Chardonnet	72	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
H. Magnetti	72	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
R. Del Castillo	72	0	0	0	5	0	6.3
H. Makalou sub	18	0	0	3	0	0	6.6
M. Diaz sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Chotard sub	18	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
Serigne Diop sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Camblan sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ToulouseDWDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Stade Brestois 29LWWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Toulouse 0 · 2 draws · Stade Brestois 29 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2025-03-30 Toulouse 2–4 Stade Brestois 29
2024-09-22 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Toulouse
2024-05-19 Toulouse 0–3 Stade Brestois 29
2023-10-08 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Toulouse
2023-04-02 Stade Brestois 29 3–1 Toulouse
2023-01-15 Toulouse 1–1 Stade Brestois 29

League standing · 2025/26

Toulouse#10 pos44 pts33 pl+1 GD

Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Toulouse scored1.42

Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26

Toulouse conceded1.39

Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62

Shot map and expected goals

Toulouse 1.32 xG from 6 shots, Stade Brestois 29 0.75 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Toulouse (attacking right)Stade Brestois 29 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Toulouse	6	2	1.32
Stade Brestois 29	16	0	0.75

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Stade Brestois 29?: In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 0, Stade Brestois 29 won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Stade Brestois 29?: Recent form — Toulouse 3W 2D 0L; Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L.

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