Montpellier v Metz prediction

Ligue 2 · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT · Stade de la Mosson

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 00:52 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Montpellier · Metz · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Montpellier v Metz, Ligue 2 on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Montpellier host Metz in Ligue 2 on Friday 6 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Montpellier or Metz (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Montpellier have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games).

Montpellier have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Metz have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Montpellier are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Montpellier’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Montpellier’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Montpellier have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.71. Montpellier have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games).

Nine of Metz’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Metz’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Metz have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. Metz have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Metz have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Montpellier (second) and Metz (10th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Montpellier the stronger side, 326 rating points above Metz (Montpellier 1809, Metz 1483, after at least 45 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Montpellier are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Metz, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 11 January 2026, finished Metz 0–4 Montpellier.

Team news

Predicted Montpellier XI (4-2-3-1): S. Ngapandouetnbu, J. Laporte, Y. Mouanga, N. El Hannach, Y. Zouaoui, N. Pays, F. Tardieu, T. Chennahi, D. Meddah, L. Megnan-Pave, M. Camara — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Pays (5.4 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and two assists) and T. Sainte-Luce (5.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Montpellier’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Montpellier (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Pays averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 977 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. T. Sainte-Luce averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 789 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Metz XI (4-2-3-1): J. Fischer, C. Devenish, B. Sarr, J. Ruiz, U. Mboula, J. Deminguet, T. Savanier, G. Abuashvili, I. Mohamed, B. Munongo, P. Fall — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Savanier (5.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) and Pape Moussa Fall (5.1 per match over 10 appearances, eight goals) have been Metz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Metz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Savanier averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 592 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. Pape Moussa Fall averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 842 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT · Ligue 2 · Stade de la Mosson
Referee: Eddy Rosier
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Montpellier 4 · draws 2 · Metz 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Montpellier 4W 1D 0L · Metz 1W 2D 2L

Montpellier v Metz (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.75

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Montpellier for / against	Line	Metz for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.5 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.63 for · 17.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.13 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Eddy Rosier.

Montpellier

Montpellier Goalkeeper

Montpellier — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Ngapandouetnbu	11	90990 min	474.3 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90

Montpellier — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montpellier before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Ngapandouetnbu n 8	90	4.6 8/5

Montpellier Defensive

Montpellier — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Laporte	11	90990 min	141.3 /90	111 /90	60.5 /90	514.6 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
T. Sainte-Luce	9	88789 min	252.9 /90	192.2 /90	40.5 /90	556.3 /90	131.5 /90	10.1 /90
Y. Mouanga	9	81729 min	50.6 /90	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	253.1 /90	111.4 /90	30.4 /90
Naoufel El Hannach	7	80558 min	61 /90	111.8 /90	00 /90	304.8 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
Y. Zouaoui	4	73290 min	10.3 /90	82.5 /90	00 /90	134 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
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Montpellier — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montpellier before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Laporte n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.1 5/3	—
S. Ngapandouetnbu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
N. Pays n 8	88.4	1 4/3	2.4 8/5	—
D. Meddah n 8	72.4	1.7 7/3	2.5 7/4	—
T. Sainte-Luce n 8	87.4	1.5 7/4	0.9 5/2	—
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Montpellier — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montpellier before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Laporte n 8	90	1.8 5/4
N. Pays n 8	88.4	1.4 5/4
D. Meddah n 8	72.4	1.4 6/2
T. Sainte-Luce n 8	87.4	2.8 7/7
F. Tardieu n 8	83.1	2 7/5
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Montpellier Attacking

Montpellier — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lacine Megnan-Pave	8	73580 min	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	172.6 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90	10.2 /90
M. Camara	7	88613 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.8 /90	101.5 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90
Daryll Benlahlou	7	33233 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	62.3 /90	20.8 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90
Y. Issoufou	4	26103 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	32.6 /90	10.9 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90
J. Hatchi	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Montpellier — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montpellier before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Laporte n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
S. Ngapandouetnbu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Pays n 8	88.4	1.7 6/4	0.9 4/3
D. Meddah n 8	72.4	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
T. Sainte-Luce n 8	87.4	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
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Montpellier — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montpellier before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Laporte n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Ngapandouetnbu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Pays n 8	88.4	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
D. Meddah n 8	72.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Sainte-Luce n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Metz

Metz Goalkeeper

Metz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Fischer	10	90900 min	353.5 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
P. Sy	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Metz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Fischer n 8	90	3.4 8/5
P. Sy n 8	90	3.8 6/5

Metz Defensive

Metz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Devenish	11	89979 min	111 /90	252.3 /90	20.2 /90	322.9 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
F. Miguel	10	72718 min	70.9 /90	111.4 /90	20.3 /90	394.9 /90	162 /90	20.3 /90
B. Sarr	9	84758 min	80.9 /90	70.8 /90	40.5 /90	293.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
J. Ruiz	8	84668 min	121.6 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	324.3 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90
U. Mboula	5	75377 min	20.5 /90	122.9 /90	30.7 /90	143.3 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Devenish n 8	88.6	0.8 5/1	1 5/2	—
J. Deminguet n 8	83.4	1.6 5/4	1.5 6/3	—
J. Fischer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Pape Moussa Fall n 8	89.8	1.4 7/4	2.5 8/6	—
Giorgi Abuashvili n 8	76.6	1 5/2	0.9 4/1	—
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Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Devenish n 8	88.6	0.6 4/1
J. Deminguet n 8	83.4	1.8 8/3
Pape Moussa Fall n 8	89.8	0.3 1/1
Giorgi Abuashvili n 8	76.6	0.7 5/0
F. Miguel n 8	67.3	0.8 5/0
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Metz Attacking

Metz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pape Moussa Fall	10	84842 min	80.9 /90	00 /90	262.8 /90	151.6 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90
N. Mbala	7	55382 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.9 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90
Ibou Sané	5	32158 min	00 /90	00 /90	63.4 /90	21.1 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90
A. Mbodj	3	62187 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90
M. Bokele Mputu	1	2424 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.8 /90	311.3 /90
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Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Devenish n 8	88.6	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Deminguet n 8	83.4	1.8 5/4	0.5 3/1
J. Fischer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pape Moussa Fall n 8	89.8	2.6 7/6	1.5 5/5
Giorgi Abuashvili n 8	76.6	2.9 8/7	1 5/1
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Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Devenish n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Deminguet n 8	83.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
J. Fischer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pape Moussa Fall n 8	89.8	0.9 4/2	0 0/0
Giorgi Abuashvili n 8	76.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Montpellier v Metz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MontpellierDWWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

MetzDLWDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Montpellier 4 · 2 draws · Metz 0 · 3 goals/game

2026-01-11 Metz 0–4 Montpellier
2024-02-18 Montpellier 3–0 Metz
2023-12-17 Metz 0–1 Montpellier
2022-05-01 Montpellier 2–2 Metz
2021-12-01 Metz 1–3 Montpellier
2021-02-03 Metz 1–1 Montpellier

League standing · 2026/27

Montpellier#2 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD

Metz#10 pos14 pts11 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Montpellier scored1.45

Metz scored1.55

Montpellier conceded0.55

Metz conceded1.55

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Montpellier v Metz?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Montpellier v Metz is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and Metz?: In their last 6 meetings, Montpellier won 4, Metz won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Montpellier and Metz?: Recent form — Montpellier 4W 1D 0L; Metz 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 00:52 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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