Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami result

Full-time · Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami

Major League Soccer · · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atlanta United FC · Inter Miami · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami — Inter Miami won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami won 3–1 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atlanta United FC out-shot Inter Miami 20 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.27 xG to 1.80 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Inter Miami led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter Miami: G. Berterame (45’, assisted by L. Suarez) and L. Messi (56’, assisted by G. Berterame; 60’, assisted by L. Suarez); Atlanta United FC: Fafà Picault (89’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Berterame’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

Allen Chapman, USA showed five yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atlanta United FC: Tomás Jacob (44’), M. Amaro (54’) and B. Embolo (71’); Inter Miami: M. Falcon (89’) and L. Messi (90+6’).

What it changes

Atlanta United FC have scored 43 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Atlanta United FC have conceded 57 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Inter Miami have scored 77 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Inter Miami have conceded 56 goals, the 13th-most of the 30 clubs.

Inter Miami have won their last three matches in all competitions. Atlanta United FC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Messi (Inter Miami) 10.2, G. Berterame (Inter Miami) 7.9 and Fafà Picault (Atlanta United FC) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Inter Miami are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Atlanta United FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atlanta United FC or Inter Miami (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Atlanta United FC next travel to New York Red Bulls on 7 November 2026.

Inter Miami next host Charlotte on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atlanta United FC: New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Inter Miami: Inter Miami v Charlotte, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, Georgia
  • Referee: Allen Chapman, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atlanta United FC 2 · draws 1 · Inter Miami 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atlanta United FC 2W 2D 1L · Inter Miami 2W 2D 1L

Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.06 yellows
Referee · Allen Chapman, USA
17.94 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtlanta United FC for / againstLineInter Miami for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.75our book
2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
15 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Allen Chapman, USA — 3.06 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 17.94 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos29912650 min692.3 /90451.5 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
1.85/3

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Elías Báez26902333 min471.8 /90271 /9070.3 /901044 /90200.8 /9060.2 /90
Tomás Jacob25852113 min492.1 /90281.2 /9050.2 /901084.6 /90281.2 /9080.3 /90
Enea Mihaj18861555 min261.5 /90221.3 /9080.5 /90633.6 /90191.1 /9030.2 /90
Matthew Edwards1560905 min212.1 /90161.6 /9030.3 /90404 /90151.5 /9030.3 /90
Stian Gregersen1468954 min161.5 /90161.5 /9060.6 /90484.5 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
00/0
0.53/1
—
Aleksey Miranchuk n 882.1
0.83/2
15/2
G. Berterame
Tristan Muyumba n 873.8
1.56/1
0.53/0
R. de Paul
Elías Báez n 891.3
0.95/2
0.22/0
—
Tomás Jacob n 875.4
0.73/1
0.62/1
—
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 882.1
0.74/1
Tristan Muyumba n 873.8
1.87/4
Elías Báez n 891.3
1.45/4
Tomás Jacob n 875.4
1.65/4
Cooper Sanchez n 860.8
1.55/2
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Almirón22861888 min60.3 /9040.2 /90422 /90221 /90522.5 /90311.5 /90
Fafà Picault1549737 min30.4 /9010.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /9091.1 /9081 /90
Emmanuel Latte Lath1371925 min20.2 /9020.2 /90171.7 /9040.4 /9070.7 /9050.5 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze1155610 min20.3 /9000 /90162.4 /90111.6 /90121.8 /9071 /90
B. Embolo788613 min20.3 /9010.1 /90152.2 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9071 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 882.1
1.25/3
0.32/0
Tristan Muyumba n 873.8
0.93/3
0.63/1
Elías Báez n 891.3
0.64/1
0.22/0
Tomás Jacob n 875.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
Tristan Muyumba n 873.8
00/0
0.21/0
Elías Báez n 891.3
00/0
0.22/0
Tomás Jacob n 875.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Inter Miami

Inter Miami Goalkeeper

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. St.Clair25902257 min682.7 /90401.6 /9020.1 /90
R. Rios895756 min313.7 /90151.8 /9000 /90
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. St.Clair n 890
2.35/3
R. Rios n 894.5
3.78/7

Inter Miami Defensive

Inter Miami — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Micael24882119 min371.6 /90301.3 /90210.9 /90893.8 /90321.4 /9060.3 /90
I. Fray24731740 min361.9 /90211.1 /90130.7 /90954.9 /90251.3 /9070.4 /90
F. Mura24621492 min171 /90120.7 /9020.1 /90291.7 /90100.6 /9000 /90
N. Allen21631315 min302.1 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90513.5 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
G. Lujan20791589 min291.6 /90171 /9090.5 /90724.1 /90241.4 /9050.3 /90
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Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Segovia n 860
2.16/3
0.93/1
—
L. Messi n 890
0.64/1
1.35/4
—
R. de Paul n 888.5
0.53/1
1.98/6
Tristan Muyumba
Yannick Bright n 883.8
2.38/5
27/6
—
G. Berterame n 887.8
1.87/5
15/3
Aleksey Miranchuk
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Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Segovia n 860
1.75/2
L. Messi n 890
00/0
R. de Paul n 888.5
0.95/2
Yannick Bright n 883.8
3.67/7
G. Berterame n 887.8
1.25/3
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Inter Miami Attacking

Inter Miami — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Messi29892569 min260.9 /90130.5 /901174.1 /90732.6 /90802.8 /90551.9 /90
G. Berterame27812193 min80.3 /9060.2 /90482 /90251 /90291.2 /90130.5 /90
L. Suarez22791727 min140.7 /9040.2 /90392 /90271.4 /90331.7 /90120.6 /90
Mateo Silvetti1461856 min20.2 /9030.3 /90192 /90111.2 /90131.4 /9060.6 /90
Daniel Pinter1249591 min20.3 /9000 /9081.2 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
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Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Segovia n 860
0.21/0
00/0
L. Messi n 890
4.98/8
3.28/6
R. de Paul n 888.5
0.85/1
0.53/1
Yannick Bright n 883.8
00/0
00/0
G. Berterame n 887.8
1.88/5
0.64/1
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Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Segovia n 860
00/0
0.42/0
L. Messi n 890
15/2
0.54/0
R. de Paul n 888.5
0.11/0
0.54/0
Yannick Bright n 883.8
00/0
00/0
G. Berterame n 887.8
0.11/0
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
45%Possession55%
2.27Expected goals (xG)1.80
20Shots7
3Shots on target5
10Shots off target1
7Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box5
5Corners2
0Offsides3
8Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
432Passes565
88%Pass accuracy89%

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000006.2
Aleksey Miranchuk9000102407.7
Tomás Jacob90001021Y6.3
B. Embolo90002011Y7.2
P. Diaz9000100206.7
M. Amaro90001111Y7
J. Alonso9000000206.3
M. Almirón8200212006.3
Elías Báez8200102105.6
Giuliano Galoppo8100101106.9
Tristan Muyumba6100100006.2
S. Alzate sub2900000107
Cooper Sanchez sub900001006.9
Fafà Picault sub810110007.3
Matthew Edwards sub800100006.9

Inter Miami Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Suarez9002003007.5
Reguilón9000001006.3
Micael9000000006.5
L. Messi90204400Y10
G. Lujan9000000306.9
R. de Paul9000000006.9
D. Ayala9000000107.2
D. St.Clair9000000007.2
Matías Galarza8100000207
G. Berterame8111211007.7
Casemiro7500000008.2
M. Falcon sub15000000Y5.6
F. Mura sub900000106.5
T. Segovia sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atlanta United FCDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Inter MiamiDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atlanta United FC 2 · 1 draw · Inter Miami 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-10-11 Inter Miami 4–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-03-16 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Inter Miami
  • 2024-11-10 Inter Miami 2–3 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-11-02 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Inter Miami
  • 2024-10-26 Inter Miami 2–1 Atlanta United FC
League standing · 2026
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts33 pl-14 GD
Inter Miami#2 pos59 pts33 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
Atlanta United FC scored1.3
Inter Miami scored2.33
Atlanta United FC conceded1.73
Inter Miami conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami was Home or Away (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami?
In their last 6 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Inter Miami won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami?
Recent form — Atlanta United FC 2W 2D 1L; Inter Miami 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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