Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC

Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC result

Full-time · Atlanta United FC 2–3 Orlando City SC

Major League Soccer · · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atlanta United FC · Orlando City SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atlanta United FC 2–3 Orlando City SC — Orlando City SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Orlando City SC won 3–2 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 10 September. Orlando City SC have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Orlando City SC: an own goal by David Brekalo (7’), Antoine Griezmann (26’, assisted by Joran Gerbet; 77’, assisted by Justin Ellis), Iván Angulo (58’, assisted by Martín Ojeda) and an own goal by Tyrese Spicer (90’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Atlanta United FC 0.99, Orlando City SC 2.63, from 14 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Armando Villarrea, USA showed three yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atlanta United FC: Tomás Jacob (67’); Orlando City SC: David Brekalo (42’) and Justin Ellis (88’).

What it changes

Atlanta United FC have scored 27 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 23 games, ranked per game). Atlanta United FC have conceded 41 goals, the seventh-most of the 15 clubs.

Orlando City SC have scored 40 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 23 games, ranked per game). Orlando City SC have conceded 54 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Orlando City SC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antoine Griezmann (Orlando City SC) 11.5, Joran Gerbet (Orlando City SC) 6.6 and Iván Angulo (Orlando City SC) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atlanta United FC 2–3 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta
  • Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atlanta United FC 2 · draws 1 · Orlando City SC 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atlanta United FC 3W 1D 1L · Orlando City SC 2W 2D 1L

Atlanta United FC 2–3 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 2 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.29
Corners
against 6.75 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.71 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 2
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.36 yellows
Referee · Armando Villarrea, USA
24.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtlanta United FC for / againstLineOrlando City SC for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
11.63 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.57 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.14 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.43 for · 11.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.71 against n 7

Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.64 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos23912099 min582.5 /90371.6 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
2.76/5

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Elías Báez20891783 min402 /90201 /9050.3 /90894.5 /90170.9 /9060.3 /90
Tomás Jacob20881756 min422.2 /90261.3 /9050.3 /90985 /90241.2 /9060.3 /90
Enea Mihaj15851279 min221.5 /90181.3 /9070.5 /90503.5 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
Stian Gregersen1468954 min161.5 /90161.5 /9060.6 /90484.5 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90
Matthew Edwards1157623 min142 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90253.6 /90121.7 /9030.4 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
00/0
0.43/0
—
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.5
0.63/2
16/2
—
Tristan Muyumba n 882.6
0.85/1
0.74/1
Iván Angulo
Cooper Sanchez n 878.6
2.17/5
0.43/0
—
Elías Báez n 891.4
1.15/4
0.73/2
Robin Jansson
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.5
0.54/0
Tristan Muyumba n 882.6
2.27/5
Cooper Sanchez n 878.6
2.16/5
Elías Báez n 891.4
1.88/4
Tomás Jacob n 889.6
1.47/3
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Almirón17861457 min40.2 /9040.2 /90301.9 /90181.1 /90392.4 /90261.6 /90
Fafà Picault1451720 min30.4 /9010.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /9091.1 /9070.9 /90
Emmanuel Latte Lath1371925 min20.2 /9020.2 /90171.7 /9040.4 /9070.7 /9050.5 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze1155610 min20.3 /9000 /90162.4 /90111.6 /90121.8 /9071 /90
Sergio Santos22447 min00 /9000 /9035.7 /9011.9 /9000 /9023.8 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.5
15/3
0.42/1
Tristan Muyumba n 882.6
1.47/3
0.75/0
Cooper Sanchez n 878.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Elías Báez n 891.4
0.94/2
0.42/1
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.5
00/0
0.54/0
Tristan Muyumba n 882.6
0.43/0
00/0
Cooper Sanchez n 878.6
00/0
00/0
Elías Báez n 891.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC Goalkeeper

Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Maxime Crépeau24882120 min974.1 /90512.2 /9000 /90
Javier Otero281161 min42.2 /9063.4 /9000 /90
Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maxime Crépeau n 893.3
3.37/3

Orlando City SC Defensive

Orlando City SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Griffin Dorsey22811774 min442.2 /90170.9 /90100.5 /90854.3 /90191 /9010.1 /90
Robin Jansson19881670 min60.3 /90120.6 /90140.8 /90211.1 /9090.5 /9030.2 /90
David Brekalo18891597 min251.4 /9090.5 /90201.1 /90613.4 /90201.1 /9040.2 /90
Adrián Marín17701182 min251.9 /90120.9 /9090.7 /90453.4 /90181.4 /9030.2 /90
Iago Silva14811127 min50.4 /90171.4 /90151.2 /90362.9 /90141.1 /9040.3 /90
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Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Iván Angulo n 893.3
15/1
1.68/4
Tristan Muyumba
Maxime Crépeau n 893.3
00/0
0.43/0
—
Griffin Dorsey n 881.9
1.46/3
0.73/2
—
Tyrese Spicer n 847.1
1.24/1
0.72/1
—
Robin Jansson n 893.3
0.65/0
0.65/0
Elías Báez
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Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Iván Angulo n 893.3
2.45/5
Griffin Dorsey n 881.9
2.68/6
Tyrese Spicer n 847.1
1.42/1
Robin Jansson n 893.3
0.11/0
Braian Ojeda n 887.1
1.77/4
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Orlando City SC Attacking

Orlando City SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tyrese Spicer2043866 min60.6 /9030.3 /90252.6 /90131.4 /90141.5 /90131.4 /90
Justin Ellis18671204 min10.1 /9060.4 /90191.4 /90120.9 /90312.3 /90322.4 /90
Marco Pasalic1558875 min30.3 /9000 /90101 /9060.6 /9080.8 /90171.7 /90
Tiago Souza1458811 min00 /9010.1 /9070.8 /9010.1 /9040.4 /9060.7 /90
Duncan McGuire1144488 min20.4 /9000 /9071.3 /9071.3 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90
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Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Iván Angulo n 893.3
0.43/0
0.22/0
Maxime Crépeau n 893.3
00/0
00/0
Griffin Dorsey n 881.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
Tyrese Spicer n 847.1
2.95/3
1.75/1
Robin Jansson n 893.3
00/0
00/0
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Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Iván Angulo n 893.3
00/0
00/0
Maxime Crépeau n 893.3
00/0
00/0
Griffin Dorsey n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
Tyrese Spicer n 847.1
14/0
0.52/0
Robin Jansson n 893.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC
40%Possession60%
0.99Expected goals (xG)2.63
14Shots14
2Shots on target7
9Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box11
7Corners5
6Offsides3
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
425Passes658
87%Pass accuracy88%

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000007.2
Tomás Jacob90001012Y5.3
J. Alonso9000000006.3
Elías Báez9000112206.5
M. Almirón9000102006.9
M. Amaro9000102307
P. Diaz7800001107
Aleksey Miranchuk7800000106.9
B. Embolo7800210106.7
Tristan Muyumba6400000206.7
Ajani Fortune4500001006.5
Adrian Gill sub4500000206.2
Luke Brennan sub2600201106.6
Sergio Santos sub1200200006.3
Fafà Picault sub1200000006.3
Enea Mihaj sub1200100006.6

Orlando City SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Maxime Crépeau9000000006.3
Robin Jansson9000002006.6
Justin Ellis90010023Y7.2
Eduard Atuesta9000000006.5
Iván Angulo9010112107.2
Antoine Griezmann9020331109.2
David Brekalo79000000Y6.2
Joran Gerbet7401001207.7
Martín Ojeda7401422107.2
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves7100000106.5
Griffin Dorsey4500101006
Zakaria Taifi sub4500100106.6
Tyrese Spicer sub1900110106.2
Wilder Cartagena sub1600000207.2
Marco Pasalic sub1600000006.3
Iago Silva sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atlanta United FCWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Orlando City SCDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atlanta United FC 2 · 1 draw · Orlando City SC 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-19 Orlando City SC 4–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2026-05-16 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-05-28 Atlanta United FC 3–2 Orlando City SC
  • 2025-04-26 Orlando City SC 3–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-11-24 Orlando City SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-10-20 Orlando City SC 1–2 Atlanta United FC
League standing · 2026
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts34 pl-17 GD
Orlando City SC#8 pos46 pts34 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Atlanta United FC scored1.26
Orlando City SC scored1.85
Atlanta United FC conceded1.76
Orlando City SC conceded2.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC?
In their last 6 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Orlando City SC won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC?
Recent form — Atlanta United FC 3W 1D 1L; Orlando City SC 2W 2D 1L.

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