This Matchweek

AustinNashville SC

Austin v Nashville SC result

Full-time · Austin 1–4 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · · Q2 Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Austin · Nashville SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Austin 1–4 Nashville SC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 1454 landed (95% range 65.9–70.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC won 4–1 at Q2 Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October.

Nashville SC have conceded 25 goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games).

The goals

Nashville SC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: R. Baker-Whiting (30’), E. Saad (67’), S. Mohammed (88’) and H. Mukhtar (90+1’, assisted by S. Mohammed); Austin: Brandon Vázquez (76’, assisted by F. Torres).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Baker-Whiting’s goal on 30 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Austin 1.11, Nashville SC 4.94, from 11 shots to 25 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ismail Elfath, USA showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Austin: Guilherme Biro (37’); Nashville SC: S. Mohammed (78’) and B. Schwake (83’).

What it changes

Austin have scored 42 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Austin have conceded 63 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Nashville SC have scored 69 goals, the third-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games).

Austin are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Nashville SC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Baker-Whiting (Nashville SC) 9.0, H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) 8.9 and E. Saad (Nashville SC) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Nashville SC, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (993 of 1454).

Next up

Austin next host Portland Timbers on 8 November 2026.

Nashville SC next travel to FC Cincinnati on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Austin: Austin v Portland Timbers, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nashville SC: FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Austin 1–4 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium · Austin, Texas
  • Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Austin 1 · draws 1 · Nashville SC 3 · 2.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Austin 1W 4D 0L · Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L

Austin 1–4 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · Ismail Elfath, USA
22.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAustin for / againstLineNashville SC for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
10.38 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Austin

Austin Goalkeeper

Austin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Stuver28912544 min1254.4 /90451.6 /9000 /90
D. Las290180 min94.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Austin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Stuver n 890.9
4.18/6

Austin Defensive

Austin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Svatok26792054 min210.9 /90281.2 /90180.8 /90582.5 /90180.8 /9050.2 /90
Guilherme Biro25791974 min341.6 /90301.4 /90160.7 /901135.2 /90281.3 /9060.3 /90
B. Hines-Ike23721660 min150.8 /9080.4 /90211.1 /90532.9 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Desler17671134 min231.8 /90231.8 /90121 /90594.7 /90151.2 /9030.2 /90
J. Bell16721144 min191.5 /90181.4 /90120.9 /90413.2 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
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Austin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Gallagher n 875.4
0.62/2
13/3
—
F. Torres n 872.4
0.83/2
1.66/2
—
B. Stuver n 890.9
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Rosales n 867.9
1.76/2
2.26/4
—
O. Svatok n 863
0.93/2
0.53/0
—
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Austin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Gallagher n 875.4
0.11/0
F. Torres n 872.4
1.25/3
J. Rosales n 867.9
1.35/1
O. Svatok n 863
1.34/3
Guilherme Biro n 882.5
1.68/3
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Austin Attacking

Austin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Torres29792281 min40.2 /9070.3 /90301.2 /90170.7 /90592.3 /9070.3 /90
C. Ramirez23541238 min90.7 /9030.2 /90241.7 /90151.1 /90120.9 /9000 /90
M. Uzuni22861889 min90.4 /9010 /90401.9 /90211 /90170.8 /90170.8 /90
Brandon Vázquez1659939 min10.1 /9010.1 /90242.3 /90111.1 /9050.5 /9080.8 /90
J. Nelson1344570 min20.3 /9000 /9060.9 /9020.3 /9060.9 /90142.2 /90
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Austin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Gallagher n 875.4
0.63/1
0.42/1
F. Torres n 872.4
1.66/4
0.95/1
B. Stuver n 890.9
00/0
00/0
J. Rosales n 867.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
O. Svatok n 863
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Austin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Gallagher n 875.4
00/0
0.11/0
F. Torres n 872.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
B. Stuver n 890.9
00/0
00/0
J. Rosales n 867.9
00/0
0.53/0
O. Svatok n 863
0.21/0
00/0
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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake35903153 min972.8 /90220.6 /9010 /90
X. Valdez294188 min31.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
J. Willis19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.8
2.44/4

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi33902973 min471.4 /90361.1 /90180.5 /901263.8 /90210.6 /9010 /90
A. Najar32702237 min271.1 /90271.1 /9060.2 /90994 /90251 /9050.2 /90
J. Palacios28872436 min491.8 /90321.2 /90190.7 /901545.7 /90220.8 /9050.2 /90
D. Lovitz27691866 min401.9 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90803.9 /90301.4 /9070.3 /90
R. Baker-Whiting25711780 min381.9 /90170.9 /9060.3 /90874.4 /90201 /9020.1 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Mukhtar n 890
0.96/1
1.57/3
—
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.52/2
0.65/0
—
M. Corcoran n 870.9
1.35/3
00/0
—
A. Najar n 871.3
1.15/2
1.13/2
—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 890
0.11/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.96/1
M. Corcoran n 870.9
48/6
A. Najar n 871.3
1.46/3
C. Espinoza n 877.6
0.96/0
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Surridge26782033 min170.8 /9010 /90562.5 /90341.5 /90110.5 /90110.5 /90
A. Qasem23581331 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.1 /90100.7 /9060.4 /90151 /90
W. Madrigal22631378 min50.3 /9020.1 /90241.6 /90100.7 /90151 /90110.7 /90
Woobens Pacius860478 min20.4 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90
H. Mukhtar36802883 min140.4 /9060.2 /90682.1 /90331 /90461.4 /90270.8 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 890
2.68/7
16/2
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.42/1
0.22/0
M. Corcoran n 870.9
1.16/1
0.53/0
A. Najar n 871.3
0.94/2
0.21/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.11/0
00/0
M. Corcoran n 870.9
00/0
00/0
A. Najar n 871.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AustinNashville SC
42%Possession58%
1.11Expected goals (xG)4.94
11Shots25
5Shots on target11
4Shots off target10
2Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box22
4Corners6
0Offsides3
5Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves4
378Passes510

Austin Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gallagher9000110005.8
Guilherme Biro90000011Y5.7
F. Torres9001103007
Ervin Torres9000201006
Ilie Sánchez9000000005.8
Brandon Vázquez9010530007.6
B. Stuver9000001006.8
M. Desler6900000005.6
Jorge Alastuey6100001106.4
M. Uzuni6000111106.4
J. Bell4500000005.7
B. Hines-Ike4500000106.1
C. Ramirez3000000006.3
B. Sabovic2900101006
P. Płacheta2100000205.4

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Mukhtar9010545108.6
J. Palacios9000100007.2
M. Woledzi9000000107
R. Baker-Whiting9010213408.4
S. Surridge9000612106.8
B. Schwake90000000Y6.5
M. Corcoran8900000106.8
C. Espinoza8900315207.2
A. Najar7600111007
P. Yazbek7600100206.6
E. Saad6910422008.2
S. Mohammed21112111Y7.5
D. Lovitz1400000006.2
E. Tagseth1400000006.4
B. Acosta100000000
J. Bauer100000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Austin v Nashville SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AustinDDWDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Nashville SCDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Austin 1 · 1 draw · Nashville SC 3 · 2.2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-02 Austin 1–2 Nashville SC
  • 2024-08-25 Nashville SC 0–2 Austin
  • 2022-09-18 Austin 1–1 Nashville SC
  • 2022-09-04 Nashville SC 3–0 Austin
  • 2021-05-24 Nashville SC 1–0 Austin
League standing · 2026
Austin#14 pos34 pts33 pl-21 GD
Nashville SC#1 pos74 pts33 pl+44 GD
Goals per game
Austin scored1.27
Nashville SC scored2.09
Austin conceded1.91
Nashville SC conceded0.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Austin v Nashville SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Austin v Nashville SC was Draw or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Austin and Nashville SC?
In their last 5 meetings, Austin won 1, Nashville SC won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Austin and Nashville SC?
Recent form — Austin 1W 4D 0L; Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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