FC CincinnatiNashville SC

FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · · TQL Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Nashville SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC won 2–0 at TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Saturday 7 November. Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: S. Surridge (61’, assisted by A. Najar; 86’, assisted by P. Yazbek).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Cincinnati 1.20, Nashville SC 1.58, from 14 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo (31’), Evander (41’), Samuel Gidi (45+3’), Kyle Smith (65’) and Pavel Bucha (88’); Nashville SC: A. Muyl (90’) and M. Woledzi (90+6’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati have scored 67 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FC Cincinnati have conceded 75 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Nashville SC have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded 25 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Surridge (Nashville SC) 9.8, P. Yazbek (Nashville SC) 8.5 and A. Najar (Nashville SC) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: TQL Stadium · Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Referee: Tori Penso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Cincinnati 2 · draws 2 · Nashville SC 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Cincinnati 3W 1D 1L · Nashville SC 3W 2D 0L

FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Cincinnati for / againstLineNashville SC for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
2.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Tori Penso.

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Roman Celentano31912830 min953 /90632 /9010 /90
Evan Louro894753 min273.2 /90111.3 /9000 /90
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 890.9
1.95/1
Evan Louro n 894.1
3.27/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kyle Smith27621684 min331.8 /90150.8 /9060.3 /90643.4 /90130.7 /9010.1 /90
M. Robinson24791898 min251.2 /90200.9 /90211 /90994.7 /90170.8 /9010 /90
Nick Hagglund22721583 min160.9 /90120.7 /90150.9 /90804.5 /90211.2 /9020.1 /90
T. Hadebe20611218 min171.3 /90141 /9090.7 /90564.1 /90141 /9050.4 /90
Matt Miazga17711207 min120.9 /9090.7 /90131 /90382.8 /90131 /9070.5 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tom Barlow n 867.4
28/3
0.73/1
—
Pavel Bucha n 881.6
0.64/0
0.31/1
M. Corcoran
Kévin Denkey n 888.5
1.17/1
1.46/4
—
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
1.15/1
0.62/2
M. Woledzi
Evander n 876.6
0.32/0
1.64/2
H. Mukhtar
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 867.4
0.74/0
Pavel Bucha n 881.6
1.15/2
Kévin Denkey n 888.5
0.64/1
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
1.35/3
Evander n 876.6
14/3
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tom Barlow36531921 min120.6 /9030.1 /90482.2 /90311.5 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90
Kévin Denkey35822871 min210.7 /9050.2 /90632 /90361.1 /90371.2 /90240.8 /90
Evander34822787 min150.5 /90130.4 /90923 /90441.4 /90963.1 /90501.6 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem28651816 min90.4 /9020.1 /90391.9 /90150.7 /90231.1 /90201 /90
Ayoub Jabbari1742707 min40.5 /9010.1 /90182.3 /90111.4 /9050.6 /9060.8 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 867.4
3.56/4
1.86/3
Pavel Bucha n 881.6
1.27/1
0.42/1
Kévin Denkey n 888.5
2.46/5
13/3
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
14/1
0.32/0
Evander n 876.6
2.87/5
0.63/1
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 867.4
0.74/0
0.32/0
Pavel Bucha n 881.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Kévin Denkey n 888.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
Samuel Gidi n 869.4
0.21/0
00/0
Evander n 876.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake41903693 min1132.8 /90220.5 /9010 /90
X. Valdez294188 min31.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
J. Willis19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.8
2.45/3

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi39903513 min541.4 /90441.1 /90190.5 /901554 /90250.6 /9010 /90
A. Najar38702666 min291 /90371.2 /9060.2 /901143.8 /90291 /9050.2 /90
J. Palacios34882976 min571.7 /90381.1 /90190.6 /901835.5 /90250.8 /9060.2 /90
R. Baker-Whiting31732248 min441.8 /90200.8 /9070.3 /901104.4 /90220.9 /9020.1 /90
D. Lovitz30682032 min421.9 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90853.8 /90321.4 /9070.3 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Mukhtar n 881.1
0.43/0
1.46/3
Evander
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.53/1
0.43/0
Samuel Gidi
A. Najar n 874.8
0.84/1
0.53/0
—
M. Corcoran n 882
1.14/3
0.42/1
Pavel Bucha
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 881.1
15/2
M. Woledzi n 890.8
16/2
A. Najar n 874.8
0.64/0
M. Corcoran n 882
3.28/5
C. Espinoza n 882.9
1.27/2
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Surridge32782508 min200.7 /9010 /90782.8 /90471.7 /90150.5 /90120.4 /90
W. Madrigal24621481 min50.3 /9020.1 /90251.5 /90100.6 /90150.9 /90110.7 /90
A. Qasem24581389 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161 /90100.6 /9060.4 /90151 /90
Woobens Pacius860478 min20.4 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90
H. Mukhtar42803351 min170.5 /9070.2 /90872.3 /90451.2 /90561.5 /90330.9 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 881.1
3.98/8
2.17/4
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.53/1
00/0
A. Najar n 874.8
1.27/1
0.32/0
M. Corcoran n 882
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 881.1
0.85/1
0.11/0
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
00/0
00/0
A. Najar n 874.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Corcoran n 882
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC CincinnatiNashville SC
49%Possession51%
1.20Expected goals (xG)1.58
14Shots14
5Shots on target5
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box11
6Corners2
2Offsides2
13Fouls6
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves5
449Passes475

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Roman Celentano9000000006.2
Kévin Denkey9000103006.4
Bryan Ramirez9000111206.3
Evander90004021Y5.9
Pavel Bucha90001101Y6
Samuel Gidi90002110Y6.7
O. Nwobodo87001013Y6
Kyle Smith81000012Y5.2
D. Douděra6600101106.4
Tom Barlow6600220106.1
M. Robinson4500001106.6
T. Hadebe4500000306.1
Kenji Mboma Dem2400000006.2
Ender Echenique2400101006.5
Ayoub Jabbari900000106.3
José Martínez300001105.9

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Surridge9020530008.6
P. Yazbek9001001607.7
R. Baker-Whiting9000001207.2
J. Maher9000101107.5
M. Woledzi90000000Y7.1
B. Schwake9000000007.7
H. Mukhtar8900511106.4
E. Saad8300110106.4
A. Najar8301102307.3
C. Espinoza7400004006.8
M. Corcoran7400101306.6
B. Acosta1600000306.7
S. Mohammed1600000006.5
J. Bauer700000206.7
A. Muyl7000002Y6.4
W. Madrigal100001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC CincinnatiLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Nashville SCWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Cincinnati 2 · 2 draws · Nashville SC 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-08-30 Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati
  • 2025-09-13 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC
  • 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC
  • 2023-08-05 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC
League standing · 2026
FC Cincinnati#9 pos46 pts34 pl-8 GD
Nashville SC#1 pos77 pts34 pl+46 GD
Goals per game
FC Cincinnati scored1.97
Nashville SC scored2.09
FC Cincinnati conceded2.21
Nashville SC conceded0.74

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 2, Nashville SC won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC?
Recent form — FC Cincinnati 3W 1D 1L; Nashville SC 3W 2D 0L.

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