CF MontrealNew York City FC

CF Montreal v New York City FC result

Full-time · CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC

Major League Soccer · · Saputo Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC — CF Montreal won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

CF Montreal beat New York City FC 1–0 at Saputo Stadium in Major League Soccer on Saturday 25 April.

The goals

CF Montreal led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — CF Montreal: Prince Owusu (18’, assisted by Matthew Longstaff). Tayvon Gray (77’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Prince Owusu’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: CF Montreal 0.95, New York City FC 0.43, from 7 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ramy Touchan, USA showed nine yellow cards and one red — against 6.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — CF Montreal: Samuel Piette (63’), Olger Escobar (81’), Brayan Vera (84’), Matthew Longstaff (87’) and Dawid Bugaj (88’); New York City FC: Tayvon Gray (74’), Tayvon Gray (77’), Nicolás Fernández (81’) and Kai Trewin (90+1’).

What it changes

New York City FC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matthew Longstaff (CF Montreal) 5.4, Prince Owusu (CF Montreal) 4.2 and Victor Loturi (CF Montreal) 3.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

CF Montreal are unbeaten in the last three meetings with New York City FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium · Montreal
  • Referee: Ramy Touchan, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): CF Montreal 3 · draws 0 · New York City FC 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: CF Montreal 1W 0D 4L · New York City FC 1W 2D 2L

CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.63
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.43
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.25 / 6.14
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6 yellows
Referee · Ramy Touchan, USA
28.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCF Montreal for / againstLineNew York City FC for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.43 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
11.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.43 for · 12.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.14 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.57 for · 12.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Ramy Touchan, USA — 6 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 28.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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CF Montreal

CF Montreal Goalkeeper

CF Montreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thomas Gillier892733 min293.6 /90202.5 /9000 /90
CF Montreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thomas Gillier n 891.6
3.67/6

CF Montreal Defensive

CF Montreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Efraín Morales788616 min152.2 /90162.3 /9071 /90385.6 /90121.8 /9000 /90
Brayan Vera782571 min152.4 /90101.6 /9030.5 /90223.5 /90101.6 /9020.3 /90
Luca Petrasso692553 min81.3 /9061 /9020.3 /90162.6 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Dawid Bugaj474297 min92.7 /9072.1 /9020.6 /90216.4 /9041.2 /9000 /90
B. Hidalgo467267 min00 /9031 /9000 /9072.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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CF Montreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thomas Gillier n 891.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
Victor Loturi n 890
1.57/3
1.46/4
Aiden O'Neill
Prince Owusu n 879.9
2.57/6
1.54/3
—
Matthew Longstaff n 877.5
0.95/1
1.36/2
Aiden O'Neill
Efraín Morales n 888.9
1.88/5
0.63/2
—
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CF Montreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Victor Loturi n 890
1.67/4
Prince Owusu n 879.9
15/2
Matthew Longstaff n 877.5
1.57/3
Efraín Morales n 888.9
2.28/6
Brayan Vera n 781.6
2.46/5
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CF Montreal Attacking

CF Montreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Prince Owusu880639 min50.7 /9040.6 /90101.4 /9050.7 /90101.4 /9050.7 /90
Daniel Rios427106 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
Kwadwo Opoku23978 min11.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.3 /90
Olger Escobar23570 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
Victor Loturi890720 min10.1 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9020.3 /9040.5 /90
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CF Montreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Thomas Gillier n 891.6
00/0
00/0
Victor Loturi n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Prince Owusu n 879.9
1.45/4
0.74/1
Matthew Longstaff n 877.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
Efraín Morales n 888.9
0.65/0
0.11/0
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CF Montreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Thomas Gillier n 891.6
00/0
00/0
Victor Loturi n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Prince Owusu n 879.9
0.74/1
0.62/1
Matthew Longstaff n 877.5
0.11/0
00/0
Efraín Morales n 888.9
00/0
0.11/0
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New York City FC

New York City FC Goalkeeper

New York City FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matthew Freese992829 min303.3 /90151.6 /9000 /90
New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 892.4
36/3

New York City FC Defensive

New York City FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kevin O'Toole992829 min151.6 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90293.1 /9060.7 /9000 /90
Tayvon Gray988792 min202.3 /90121.4 /9010.1 /90455.1 /90121.4 /9020.2 /90
Kai Trewin982740 min151.8 /90161.9 /9040.5 /90323.9 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
Thiago Martins890720 min40.5 /9050.6 /9091.1 /90172.1 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Raul Gustavo769483 min91.7 /9071.3 /9030.6 /90305.6 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
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New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
0.54/0
0.54/0
—
Matthew Freese n 892.4
00/0
0.22/0
—
Nicolás Fernández n 889.5
1.98/5
2.68/6
—
Tayvon Gray n 889
1.46/3
1.47/3
—
Aiden O'Neill n 889.5
1.35/1
1.37/3
Matthew Longstaff
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New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
1.87/4
Nicolás Fernández n 889.5
2.18/4
Tayvon Gray n 889
2.16/4
Aiden O'Neill n 889.5
3.18/6
Maxi Moralez n 883.1
0.85/1
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New York City FC Attacking

New York City FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Nicolás Fernández990806 min80.9 /9000 /90232.6 /90182 /90141.6 /90131.5 /90
Talles Magno623139 min21.3 /9000 /9042.6 /9031.9 /9010.6 /9053.2 /90
Seymour Garfield-Reid12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Arnau Farnos11717 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90210.6 /90
Aiden O'Neill988790 min00 /9010.1 /9020.2 /9010.1 /9040.5 /9040.5 /90
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New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
0.22/0
0.22/0
Matthew Freese n 892.4
0.11/0
00/0
Nicolás Fernández n 889.5
2.58/7
2.17/6
Tayvon Gray n 889
0.85/1
0.53/1
Aiden O'Neill n 889.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 892.4
00/0
00/0
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
00/0
00/0
Nicolás Fernández n 889.5
0.95/2
00/0
Tayvon Gray n 889
0.11/0
0.11/0
Aiden O'Neill n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CF MontrealNew York City FC
36%Possession64%
0.95Expected goals (xG)0.43
7Shots5
4Shots on target2
1Shots off target2
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box3
3Corners1
0Offsides3
18Fouls15
5Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
2Saves3
347Passes627
80%Pass accuracy88%

CF Montreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thomas Gillier9000000007
Dawid Bugaj90000004Y6.6
Brayan Vera90001100Y6.9
Luca Petrasso9000001106.9
Victor Loturi9000100106.9
Matthew Longstaff90010043Y8.2
Iván Jaime9000110006.3
Jalen Neal8700000307
Prince Owusu7510110007.6
Samuel Piette70000000Y6.6
Noah Streit4500110006.5
Olger Escobar sub45000011Y6.5
Fabian Herbers sub2000000106.6
Daniel Rios sub1500000006.7
Efraín Morales sub1000000006.6

New York City FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matthew Freese9000000006.6
Thiago Martins9000001006.9
Kai Trewin90000001Y6.9
Kevin O'Toole9000000006.3
Aiden O'Neill9000100106.9
Nicolás Fernández90001102Y7.3
Maxi Moralez8200100206.3
Tayvon Gray77000002RY6.5
Keaton Parks6500000106.6
Agustin Ojeda6500003006
Arnau Farnos6500000106.7
Raul Gustavo sub2500000007
Talles Magno sub2500110306.6
Seymour Garfield-Reid sub2500001106.3
A. Perea sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind CF Montreal v New York City FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CF MontrealLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
New York City FCDLWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
CF Montreal 3 · 0 draws · New York City FC 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-06-28 CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC
  • 2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 CF Montreal
  • 2024-10-20 CF Montreal 2–0 New York City FC
  • 2024-07-03 New York City FC 2–0 CF Montreal
  • 2023-08-30 New York City FC 2–0 CF Montreal
  • 2023-07-01 CF Montreal 0–1 New York City FC
League standing · 2026
CF Montreal#15 pos26 pts34 pl-32 GD
New York City FC#11 pos42 pts34 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
CF Montreal scored1.09
New York City FC scored1.44
CF Montreal conceded2.03
New York City FC conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for CF Montreal v New York City FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for CF Montreal v New York City FC was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between CF Montreal and New York City FC?
In their last 6 meetings, CF Montreal won 3, New York City FC won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of CF Montreal and New York City FC?
Recent form — CF Montreal 1W 0D 4L; New York City FC 1W 2D 2L.

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