Charlotte v Chicago Fire result

Full-time · Charlotte 0–1 Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer · · Bank of America Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Charlotte 0–1 Chicago Fire — Chicago Fire won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chicago Fire won 1–0 at Bank of America Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Chicago Fire: J. Gómez (58’, assisted by J. Elliott). T. Ream (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Gómez’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Charlotte 1.19, Chicago Fire 1.11, from 11 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) 5.4, A. Saint-Maximin (Charlotte) 4.8 and J. Cohen (Chicago Fire) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Charlotte or Chicago Fire (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Charlotte next travel to Portland Timbers on 25 October 2026.

Chicago Fire next travel to Atlanta United FC on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Charlotte: Portland Timbers v Charlotte, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Chicago Fire: Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Charlotte 0–1 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Referee: Chris Penso, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Charlotte 3 · draws 0 · Chicago Fire 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charlotte 3W 2D 0L · Chicago Fire 0W 3D 2L

Charlotte 0–1 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 10 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 9 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCharlotte for / againstLineChicago Fire for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5our book
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 9 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 21.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Chris Penso, USA.

Charlotte
Charlotte — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Goodwin n 830.5
3.35/2
1.13/0
—
D. Diani n 874.5
2.76/6
0.62/1
P. Zinckernagel
R. Aloko n 833.6
2.34/3
25/1
—
B. Bronico n 848.1
1.95/2
0.93/1
—
L. de la Torre n 830.8
1.52/1
0.41/0
P. Zinckernagel
Charlotte — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Abada n 861.4
2.77/6
2.27/4
A. Goodwin n 830.5
2.63/2
0.72/0
Tyger Smalls n 817.5
2.64/0
2.64/0
A. Saint-Maximin n 869.9
2.46/5
1.36/2
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 866.5
26/4
1.25/2
Charlotte — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tyger Smalls n 817.5
1.32/0
0.61/0
R. Aloko n 833.6
0.31/0
0.72/0
L. Abada n 861.4
0.74/0
0.21/0
Idan Toklomati Jorno n 866.5
0.74/0
00/0
A. Westwood n 885.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
Charlotte — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Aloko n 833.6
4.36/3
Tyger Smalls n 817.5
3.24/1
L. de la Torre n 830.8
2.64/2
H. Toffolo n 868.4
25/4
D. Diani n 874.5
1.85/3
Charlotte — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Kahlina n 890.8
4.68/8
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Radojevic n 845.9
2.56/3
26/2
—
A. Mekvabishvili n 864.5
2.35/5
0.21/0
—
R. Lod n 850.6
2.26/3
1.65/2
—
Leonardo Barroso n 858.1
1.95/4
0.21/0
—
P. Zinckernagel n 884.3
1.57/3
1.35/3
L. de la Torre
Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jonathan Bamba n 840
24/3
1.43/2
M. Haile-Selassie n 860
1.94/4
1.74/4
P. Zinckernagel n 884.3
1.56/4
0.95/2
R. Lewandowski n 883
1.45/4
0.84/2
P. Dithejane n 846.6
1.43/3
0.72/1
Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Poreba n 322.7
00/0
1.31/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 860
0.94/1
00/0
R. Lewandowski n 883
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Gutman n 882.9
00/0
0.43/0
P. Dithejane n 846.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leonardo Barroso n 858.1
3.38/3
M. Pineda n 831
2.23/1
V. Radojevic n 845.9
25/2
A. Mekvabishvili n 864.5
1.95/5
J. Dean n 868.9
1.66/3
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 891.5
3.16/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CharlotteChicago Fire
41%Possession59%
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.11
11Shots18
2Shots on target8
8Shots off target4
1Blocked shots6
8Shots inside the box8
4Corners6
3Offsides0
14Fouls15
6Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
8Saves2
347Passes526
83%Pass accuracy88%

Charlotte player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Westwood90000001Y6.9
Pep Biel90001010Y6
H. Kessler9000000207.2
T. Ream90000000RY6.9
A. Saint-Maximin90003141Y7.9
K. Kahlina9000000007.7
Will Cleary8100000206.5
H. Toffolo8100100006.3
L. de la Torre7000100106.2
D. Diani70002021Y6.7
A. Goodwin4900000006.7
Tyger Smalls sub4100211106.9
B. Bronico sub2000001006.6
D. Schnegg sub2000000006.7
N. Byrne sub900001006.9
N. Richmond sub900000006.5

Chicago Fire player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Zinckernagel9000322407.3
D. D'Avilla9000000006.9
J. Dean9000000107.7
J. Elliott9000101307.3
M. Haile-Selassie9000225106.3
J. Cohen9000000008.2
J. Gómez9000322106
Jonathan Bamba8000320106.7
M. Mbokazi8000001207.3
S. Oregel75000022Y7.3
Leonardo Barroso7500000307.2
A. Gutman sub1500000006.9
M. Pineda sub1500000006.9
D. Poreba sub10000020Y6.6
S. Rogers sub1000000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Charlotte v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharlotteWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Chicago FireDDDLL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Charlotte 3 · 0 draws · Chicago Fire 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-02 Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte
  • 2025-06-29 Chicago Fire 3–2 Charlotte
  • 2025-05-17 Charlotte 1–4 Chicago Fire
  • 2024-10-02 Charlotte 4–3 Chicago Fire
  • 2024-05-16 Chicago Fire 0–1 Charlotte
  • 2023-10-08 Chicago Fire 0–2 Charlotte
League standing · 2026
Charlotte#5 pos47 pts30 pl+8 GD
Chicago Fire#4 pos48 pts29 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Charlotte scored1.77
Chicago Fire scored1.79
Charlotte conceded1.5
Chicago Fire conceded1.48

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Charlotte v Chicago Fire?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlotte v Chicago Fire was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte and Chicago Fire?
In their last 6 meetings, Charlotte won 3, Chicago Fire won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlotte and Chicago Fire?
Recent form — Charlotte 3W 2D 0L; Chicago Fire 0W 3D 2L.

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