Chicago FireAtlanta United FC

Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · · Soldier Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chicago Fire · Atlanta United FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC — Chicago Fire won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 194 of 283 times (68.6%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chicago Fire beat Atlanta United FC 1–0 at Soldier Field in Major League Soccer on Sunday 12 April.

Atlanta United FC have scored 14 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Chicago Fire led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie (13’, assisted by Jonathan Bamba).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Haile-Selassie’s goal on 13 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Chicago Fire 2.34, Atlanta United FC 1.68, from 18 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Drew Fischer, Canada showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chicago Fire: P. Zinckernagel (8’) and Leonardo Barroso (48’); Atlanta United FC: Tomás Jacob (3’).

What it changes

Chicago Fire have scored 27 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Chicago Fire have conceded 16 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC have conceded 23 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Chicago Fire have won their last three matches in all competitions. Atlanta United FC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire) 7.4, C. Brady (Chicago Fire) 5.5 and Tristan Muyumba (Atlanta United FC) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Chicago Fire are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Atlanta United FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chicago Fire to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Soldier Field · Chicago
  • Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Fire 1 · draws 3 · Atlanta United FC 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chicago Fire 3W 1D 1L · Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L

Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.57 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.29 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.57 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.24 yellows
Referee · Drew Fischer, Canada
25.35 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChicago Fire for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 10.14 against n 7
19.5standard
10 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 11.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.25 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
2.71 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada — 4.24 yellow cards a game, 0.12 red cards, 25.35 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Brady690540 min152.5 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 890
2.36/3

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mbokazi690538 min81.3 /9061 /9030.5 /90254.2 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Leonardo Barroso680477 min61.1 /9030.6 /9000 /90142.6 /9061.1 /9000 /90
J. Waterman566328 min41.1 /9051.4 /9030.8 /90113 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
J. Elliott477307 min30.9 /9030.9 /9030.9 /9082.3 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
J. Dean273145 min53.1 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90138.1 /9031.9 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Saletros n 690
1.86/3
00/0
—
C. Brady n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Mbokazi n 689.7
0.32/0
1.24/3
Enea Mihaj
P. Zinckernagel n 882.3
2.17/4
2.57/5
—
Leonardo Barroso n 871.5
1.66/3
0.21/0
Elías Báez
See more players · Pro
Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saletros n 690
1.34/2
M. Mbokazi n 689.7
1.35/3
P. Zinckernagel n 882.3
1.97/4
Leonardo Barroso n 871.5
1.45/2
M. Haile-Selassie n 864
0.73/1
See more players · Pro

Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Cuypers490360 min41 /9000 /90123 /9071.8 /9041 /9051.3 /90
C. Mueller15555 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
A. Saletros690540 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.2 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
P. Zinckernagel680478 min10.2 /9000 /9061.1 /9030.6 /9030.6 /9081.5 /90
M. Haile-Selassie673435 min00 /9000 /9051 /9020.4 /90112.3 /9071.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Saletros n 690
0.32/0
0.21/0
C. Brady n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mbokazi n 689.7
0.72/1
0.52/1
P. Zinckernagel n 882.3
16/1
0.53/1
Leonardo Barroso n 871.5
0.53/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Saletros n 690
00/0
00/0
C. Brady n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mbokazi n 689.7
00/0
00/0
P. Zinckernagel n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Leonardo Barroso n 871.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos691548 min111.8 /90111.8 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 691.3
1.83/2

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Elías Báez691546 min132.1 /9091.5 /9000 /90294.8 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90
Enea Mihaj691544 min101.7 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90213.5 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
Tomás Jacob687521 min183.1 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90376.4 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
Juan Berrocal393278 min41.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90134.2 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
Stian Gregersen390270 min62 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90175.7 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 691.3
00/0
0.52/1
—
Elías Báez n 691
0.84/1
0.74/0
Leonardo Barroso
M. Almirón n 890.8
0.54/0
2.17/5
—
Enea Mihaj n 890.5
1.56/4
0.11/0
M. Mbokazi
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 888.4
0.85/1
15/3
—
See more players · Pro
Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Elías Báez n 691
2.14/4
M. Almirón n 890.8
1.97/5
Enea Mihaj n 890.5
1.25/3
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 888.4
0.65/0
Tomás Jacob n 686.8
3.16/4
See more players · Pro

Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Almirón691546 min00 /9020.3 /90101.6 /9050.8 /90101.6 /9081.3 /90
Emmanuel Latte Lath688527 min10.2 /9020.3 /90111.9 /9030.5 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze441165 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
Fafà Picault12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /90
Aleksey Miranchuk667401 min40.9 /9000 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 691.3
00/0
00/0
M. Almirón n 890.8
1.57/4
0.95/2
Elías Báez n 691
0.32/0
0.21/0
Enea Mihaj n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 888.4
2.27/6
0.64/1
See more players · Pro
Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 691.3
00/0
00/0
M. Almirón n 890.8
0.11/0
0.21/1
Elías Báez n 691
00/0
0.21/0
Enea Mihaj n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 888.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chicago FireAtlanta United FC
45%Possession55%
2.34Expected goals (xG)1.68
18Shots20
3Shots on target6
8Shots off target5
7Blocked shots9
13Shots inside the box11
6Corners11
2Offsides2
12Fouls5
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
459Passes554
82%Pass accuracy88%

Chicago Fire Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brady9000000008.2
J. Elliott9000200007
M. Mbokazi9000000108.6
A. Gutman9000202107.3
A. Saletros9000003207.3
R. Lod9000203106.3
M. Haile-Selassie9010211008.2
P. Zinckernagel89000023Y7.2
Jonathan Bamba8901322107.2
Leonardo Barroso68000011Y7.2
D. D'Avilla6800000106.7
M. Pineda sub2200000006.9
J. Dean sub2200000106.7
P. Dithejane sub800000006.9
Jason Shokalook sub800000006.3

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000007.5
Tomás Jacob90001011Y6.9
Stian Gregersen9000110107.7
Enea Mihaj9000111206.9
Tristan Muyumba9000100506.9
M. Almirón9000003007.3
Matías Galarza8800104307.2
Elías Báez7800221207
Saba Lobzhanidze7800112006.5
Emmanuel Latte Lath7800201006.9
Cooper Sanchez6600000006.6
S. Alzate sub2400000006.6
Cayman Togashi sub1200110006.2
Pedro Amador sub1200000107.3
Luke Brennan sub1200001006.2
Ajani Fortune sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chicago FireWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chicago Fire 1 · 3 draws · Atlanta United FC 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-07-16 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-05-10 Chicago Fire 2–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-04-28 Chicago Fire 0–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-03-31 Atlanta United FC 3–0 Chicago Fire
  • 2023-05-21 Chicago Fire 3–3 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-04-23 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Chicago Fire
League standing · 2026
Chicago Fire#4 pos55 pts34 pl+10 GD
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Chicago Fire scored1.88
Atlanta United FC scored1.26
Chicago Fire conceded1.59
Atlanta United FC conceded1.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Fire won 1, Atlanta United FC won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Chicago Fire 3W 1D 1L; Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+