Chicago FireInter Miami

Chicago Fire v Inter Miami result

Full-time · Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami

Major League Soccer · · Soldier Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami drew 1–1 at Soldier Field in Major League Soccer on Thursday 10 September. Chicago Fire have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Chicago Fire led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Chicago Fire: R. Lewandowski (10’, assisted by A. Gutman); Inter Miami: Casemiro (48’, assisted by L. Messi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Casemiro’s goal on 48 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Inter Miami out-shot Chicago Fire 20 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.58 xG to 1.17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA showed five yellow cards — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chicago Fire: J. Dean (50’) and D. D'Avilla (59’); Inter Miami: T. Segovia (4’), M. Falcon (24’) and G. Berterame (70’).

What it changes

Chicago Fire have scored 61 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Chicago Fire have conceded 50 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Inter Miami have scored 77 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Inter Miami have conceded 56 goals, the 13th-most of the 30 clubs.

Chicago Fire are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Casemiro (Inter Miami) 7.8, R. Lewandowski (Chicago Fire) 7.3 and L. Messi (Inter Miami) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.2% of the time in the last 90 days (369 of 549).

Next up

Chicago Fire next host Columbus Crew on 7 November 2026.

Inter Miami next host Charlotte on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chicago Fire: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Inter Miami: Inter Miami v Charlotte, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Soldier Field · Chicago
  • Referee: Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Fire 2 · draws 1 · Inter Miami 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chicago Fire 1W 3D 1L · Inter Miami 1W 2D 2L

Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.75
Corners
against 4 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2 yellows
Referee · Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA
20.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameChicago Fire for / againstLineInter Miami for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
4our book
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA — 2 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 20.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Brady26912372 min752.8 /90341.3 /9000 /90
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 892.5
2.86/4

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Elliott23892049 min210.9 /90130.6 /90190.8 /90713.1 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
A. Gutman21791663 min321.7 /90130.7 /90110.6 /90774.2 /90261.4 /9040.2 /90
J. Dean19771460 min332 /90211.3 /9070.4 /90784.8 /90130.8 /9010.1 /90
J. Waterman18771384 min140.9 /90151 /90140.9 /90473.1 /90181.2 /9060.4 /90
M. Pineda1353695 min172.2 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90293.8 /9091.2 /9000 /90
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Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brady n 892.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
P. Zinckernagel n 873
1.46/2
1.25/2
T. Segovia
A. Saletros n 880.6
0.63/1
0.31/1
Yannick Bright
M. Haile-Selassie n 865.8
0.95/0
0.74/0
R. de Paul
R. Lod n 848.9
2.86/3
0.93/1
G. Berterame
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Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 873
1.15/2
A. Saletros n 880.6
1.16/2
M. Haile-Selassie n 865.8
1.25/2
R. Lod n 848.9
1.84/1
J. Elliott n 893.3
1.15/3
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Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jonathan Bamba18661190 min20.2 /9020.2 /90241.8 /90131 /90211.6 /90171.3 /90
P. Dithejane1743731 min40.5 /9010.1 /90172.1 /90101.2 /90141.7 /90172.1 /90
R. Lewandowski1273878 min60.6 /9020.2 /90212.2 /90111.1 /90111.1 /9070.7 /90
H. Cuypers1190989 min131.2 /9000 /90343.1 /90222 /90111 /9090.8 /90
Dylan Borso24080 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brady n 892.5
00/0
00/0
P. Zinckernagel n 873
1.87/4
1.25/3
A. Saletros n 880.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 865.8
1.75/3
1.44/3
R. Lod n 848.9
2.14/3
1.44/2
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Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brady n 892.5
00/0
00/0
P. Zinckernagel n 873
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Saletros n 880.6
00/0
0.11/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 865.8
0.73/1
0.32/0
R. Lod n 848.9
0.52/0
00/0
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Inter Miami

Inter Miami Goalkeeper

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. St.Clair20901807 min572.8 /90351.7 /9010 /90
R. Rios795666 min273.6 /90131.8 /9000 /90
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. St.Clair n 890
36/6
R. Rios n 895.6
3.58/7

Inter Miami Defensive

Inter Miami — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Fray22721584 min331.9 /90201.1 /90130.7 /90844.8 /90231.3 /9070.4 /90
Micael21891869 min311.5 /90271.3 /90190.9 /90763.7 /90251.2 /9050.2 /90
N. Allen21631315 min302.1 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90513.5 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
F. Mura21621307 min161.1 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90281.9 /9080.6 /9000 /90
G. Lujan17781319 min261.8 /90171.2 /9090.6 /90604.1 /90181.2 /9040.3 /90
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Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Segovia n 883.5
1.35/3
0.43/0
P. Zinckernagel
L. Messi n 884
0.43/0
1.55/5
—
Yannick Bright n 890
1.87/5
1.87/5
A. Saletros
R. de Paul n 888.8
0.11/0
1.67/4
M. Haile-Selassie
G. Berterame n 887.9
1.26/3
1.38/2
R. Lod
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Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Segovia n 883.5
1.37/1
L. Messi n 884
0.11/0
Yannick Bright n 890
2.98/8
R. de Paul n 888.8
0.64/1
G. Berterame n 887.9
0.84/2
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Inter Miami Attacking

Inter Miami — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Messi23882029 min210.9 /90110.5 /90873.9 /90532.4 /90642.8 /90411.8 /90
G. Berterame22801761 min70.4 /9040.2 /90392 /90211.1 /90231.2 /90110.6 /90
L. Suarez16761216 min110.8 /9020.1 /90302.2 /90191.4 /90231.7 /9070.5 /90
Mateo Silvetti1461856 min20.2 /9030.3 /90192 /90111.2 /90131.4 /9060.6 /90
Daniel Pinter1146505 min20.4 /9000 /9081.4 /9050.9 /9030.5 /9020.4 /90
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Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Segovia n 883.5
0.53/1
0.42/1
L. Messi n 884
3.68/6
2.17/4
Yannick Bright n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
R. de Paul n 888.8
0.63/1
0.42/1
G. Berterame n 887.9
1.98/5
15/1
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Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Segovia n 883.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Messi n 884
0.94/2
0.85/1
Yannick Bright n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. de Paul n 888.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
G. Berterame n 887.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chicago FireInter Miami
44%Possession56%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.58
10Shots20
3Shots on target8
3Shots off target4
4Blocked shots8
7Shots inside the box10
2Corners5
0Offsides2
16Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Saves2
407Passes515
85%Pass accuracy87%

Chicago Fire Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brady9000000008.7
J. Elliott9000100106.6
N. Allen9000000107.2
A. Gutman9001001006.7
D. D'Avilla90000001Y6.9
P. Zinckernagel9000003005.9
R. Lewandowski9010110207.9
A. Saletros8900112207.6
J. Dean67000001Y6.7
M. Haile-Selassie6700000106.6
R. Lod5600101006.5
P. Dithejane sub3400210006.3
S. Oregel sub2300001006.9
Leonardo Barroso sub2300000107.2
M. Pineda sub10000000–

Inter Miami Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. St.Clair9000000006.3
I. Fray9000100206.2
Casemiro9010111108.2
M. Falcon90000001Y6.3
R. de Paul9000111007
Yannick Bright9000002607.3
G. Berterame90003220Y6.2
L. Messi9001543007.2
L. Suarez9000000106.3
F. Caicedo7800001406.7
T. Segovia78001012Y6.7
F. Mura sub1200000006.5
A. Shaw sub1200001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chicago Fire v Inter Miami — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chicago FireWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Inter MiamiLDLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chicago Fire 2 · 1 draw · Inter Miami 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-07-22 Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-09-30 Inter Miami 3–5 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-04-13 Chicago Fire 0–0 Inter Miami
  • 2024-09-01 Chicago Fire 1–4 Inter Miami
  • 2024-07-20 Inter Miami 2–1 Chicago Fire
  • 2023-10-05 Chicago Fire 4–1 Inter Miami
League standing · 2026
Chicago Fire#4 pos55 pts33 pl+11 GD
Inter Miami#2 pos59 pts33 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
Chicago Fire scored1.85
Inter Miami scored2.33
Chicago Fire conceded1.52
Inter Miami conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chicago Fire v Inter Miami?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Fire v Inter Miami was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami?
In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Fire won 2, Inter Miami won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and Inter Miami?
Recent form — Chicago Fire 1W 3D 1L; Inter Miami 1W 2D 2L.

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