Chicago Fire v Inter Miami result
Team pages: Chicago Fire · Inter Miami · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Chicago Fire and Inter Miami drew 1–1 at Soldier Field in Major League Soccer on Thursday 10 September. Chicago Fire have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Chicago Fire led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Chicago Fire: R. Lewandowski (10’, assisted by A. Gutman); Inter Miami: Casemiro (48’, assisted by L. Messi).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Casemiro’s goal on 48 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Inter Miami out-shot Chicago Fire 20 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.58 xG to 1.17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA showed five yellow cards — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chicago Fire: J. Dean (50’) and D. D'Avilla (59’); Inter Miami: T. Segovia (4’), M. Falcon (24’) and G. Berterame (70’).
What it changes
Chicago Fire have scored 61 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Chicago Fire have conceded 50 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Inter Miami have scored 77 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Inter Miami have conceded 56 goals, the 13th-most of the 30 clubs.
Chicago Fire are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Casemiro (Inter Miami) 7.8, R. Lewandowski (Chicago Fire) 7.3 and L. Messi (Inter Miami) 7.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.2% of the time in the last 90 days (369 of 549).
Next up
Chicago Fire next host Columbus Crew on 7 November 2026.
Inter Miami next host Charlotte on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Chicago Fire: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Inter Miami: Inter Miami v Charlotte, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
- Venue: Soldier Field · Chicago
- Referee: Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Fire 2 · draws 1 · Inter Miami 3 · 4.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Chicago Fire 1W 3D 1L · Inter Miami 1W 2D 2L
Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Chicago Fire for / against | Line | Inter Miami for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 4our book | 2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.38 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA — 2 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 20.67 fouls over 12 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | 26 | 912372 min | 752.8 /90 | 341.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Brady n 8 | 92.5 | 2.8 |
Chicago Fire Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Elliott | 23 | 892049 min | 210.9 /90 | 130.6 /90 | 190.8 /90 | 713.1 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| A. Gutman | 21 | 791663 min | 321.7 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 110.6 /90 | 774.2 /90 | 261.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| J. Dean | 19 | 771460 min | 332 /90 | 211.3 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 784.8 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| J. Waterman | 18 | 771384 min | 140.9 /90 | 151 /90 | 140.9 /90 | 473.1 /90 | 181.2 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
| M. Pineda | 13 | 53695 min | 172.2 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 293.8 /90 | 91.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady n 8 | 92.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 73 | 1.4 | 1.2 | T. Segovia |
| A. Saletros n 8 | 80.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | Yannick Bright |
| M. Haile-Selassie n 8 | 65.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | R. de Paul |
| R. Lod n 8 | 48.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | G. Berterame |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 73 | 1.1 |
| A. Saletros n 8 | 80.6 | 1.1 |
| M. Haile-Selassie n 8 | 65.8 | 1.2 |
| R. Lod n 8 | 48.9 | 1.8 |
| J. Elliott n 8 | 93.3 | 1.1 |
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Chicago Fire Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bamba | 18 | 661190 min | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 241.8 /90 | 131 /90 | 211.6 /90 | 171.3 /90 |
| P. Dithejane | 17 | 43731 min | 40.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 172.1 /90 | 101.2 /90 | 141.7 /90 | 172.1 /90 |
| R. Lewandowski | 12 | 73878 min | 60.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 212.2 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 70.7 /90 |
| H. Cuypers | 11 | 90989 min | 131.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 343.1 /90 | 222 /90 | 111 /90 | 90.8 /90 |
| Dylan Borso | 2 | 4080 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.4 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady n 8 | 92.5 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| A. Saletros n 8 | 80.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| M. Haile-Selassie n 8 | 65.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| R. Lod n 8 | 48.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady n 8 | 92.5 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Zinckernagel n 8 | 73 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Saletros n 8 | 80.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Haile-Selassie n 8 | 65.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| R. Lod n 8 | 48.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
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Inter Miami
Inter Miami Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. St.Clair | 20 | 901807 min | 572.8 /90 | 351.7 /90 | 10 /90 |
| R. Rios | 7 | 95666 min | 273.6 /90 | 131.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. St.Clair n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| R. Rios n 8 | 95.6 | 3.5 |
Inter Miami Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Fray | 22 | 721584 min | 331.9 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 844.8 /90 | 231.3 /90 | 70.4 /90 |
| Micael | 21 | 891869 min | 311.5 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 190.9 /90 | 763.7 /90 | 251.2 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| N. Allen | 21 | 631315 min | 302.1 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 513.5 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| F. Mura | 21 | 621307 min | 161.1 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 281.9 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Lujan | 17 | 781319 min | 261.8 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 604.1 /90 | 181.2 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Segovia n 8 | 83.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | P. Zinckernagel |
| L. Messi n 8 | 84 | 0.4 | 1.5 | — |
| Yannick Bright n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 1.8 | A. Saletros |
| R. de Paul n 8 | 88.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | M. Haile-Selassie |
| G. Berterame n 8 | 87.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | R. Lod |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Segovia n 8 | 83.5 | 1.3 |
| L. Messi n 8 | 84 | 0.1 |
| Yannick Bright n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| R. de Paul n 8 | 88.8 | 0.6 |
| G. Berterame n 8 | 87.9 | 0.8 |
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Inter Miami Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Messi | 23 | 882029 min | 210.9 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 873.9 /90 | 532.4 /90 | 642.8 /90 | 411.8 /90 |
| G. Berterame | 22 | 801761 min | 70.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 392 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 231.2 /90 | 110.6 /90 |
| L. Suarez | 16 | 761216 min | 110.8 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 302.2 /90 | 191.4 /90 | 231.7 /90 | 70.5 /90 |
| Mateo Silvetti | 14 | 61856 min | 20.2 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 192 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 131.4 /90 | 60.6 /90 |
| Daniel Pinter | 11 | 46505 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.4 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Segovia n 8 | 83.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| L. Messi n 8 | 84 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Yannick Bright n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| R. de Paul n 8 | 88.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| G. Berterame n 8 | 87.9 | 1.9 | 1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Segovia n 8 | 83.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| L. Messi n 8 | 84 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Yannick Bright n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| R. de Paul n 8 | 88.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| G. Berterame n 8 | 87.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Chicago Fire | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Possession | 56% |
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.58 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 407 | Passes | 515 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
Chicago Fire Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.7 |
| J. Elliott | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Allen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Gutman | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. D'Avilla | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| P. Zinckernagel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| R. Lewandowski | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| A. Saletros | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Dean | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| M. Haile-Selassie | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Lod | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Dithejane sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Oregel sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Leonardo Barroso sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Pineda sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Inter Miami Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. St.Clair | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| I. Fray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Casemiro | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| M. Falcon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| R. de Paul | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Yannick Bright | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.3 |
| G. Berterame | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| L. Messi | 90 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Suarez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Caicedo | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Segovia | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| F. Mura sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Shaw sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Chicago Fire v Inter Miami — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-07-22 Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire
- 2025-09-30 Inter Miami 3–5 Chicago Fire
- 2025-04-13 Chicago Fire 0–0 Inter Miami
- 2024-09-01 Chicago Fire 1–4 Inter Miami
- 2024-07-20 Inter Miami 2–1 Chicago Fire
- 2023-10-05 Chicago Fire 4–1 Inter Miami
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Chicago Fire v Inter Miami?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Fire v Inter Miami was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.26 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami?
- In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Fire won 2, Inter Miami won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and Inter Miami?
- Recent form — Chicago Fire 1W 3D 1L; Inter Miami 1W 2D 2L.
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