Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union result

Full-time · Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 01:30 BST · Soldier Field

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chicago Fire · Philadelphia Union · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.44 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union won 3–1 at Soldier Field in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union came from behind: Chicago Fire led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie (44’, assisted by N. Allen); Philadelphia Union: Milan Iloski (49’, assisted by Bruno Damiani) and Bruno Damiani (55’, assisted by Cavan Sullivan; 67’, assisted by Jovan Lukić). J. Elliott (45+1’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Damiani’s goal on 55 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Chicago Fire 1.00, Philadelphia Union 2.46, from 8 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ricardo Fierro, USA showed six yellow cards and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chicago Fire: M. Mbokazi (34’), J. Elliott (41’), J. Elliott (45+1’) and P. Zinckernagel (88’); Philadelphia Union: Indiana Vassilev (85’) and Neil Pierre (90+3’).

What it changes

Chicago Fire have scored 52 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 29 games, ranked per game). Chicago Fire have conceded 43 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have scored 59 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 29 games, ranked per game). Philadelphia Union have conceded 46 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia Union) 13.9, Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia Union) 6.9 and Cavan Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer
Venue: Soldier Field · Chicago, Illinois
Referee: Ricardo Fierro, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Fire 2 · draws 1 · Philadelphia Union 3 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L · Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L

Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 3.25

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.63

Corners

against 4.5 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Ricardo Fierro, USA

29.44 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Chicago Fire for / against	Line	Philadelphia Union for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	3.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Ricardo Fierro, USA — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 29.44 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Brady	30	912738 min	892.9 /90	411.3 /90	00 /90
J. Cohen	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Brady n 8	91.5	3.2 6/5

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Elliott	29	892595 min	301 /90	220.8 /90	260.9 /90	943.3 /90	230.8 /90	60.2 /90
J. Dean	25	771931 min	422 /90	271.3 /90	90.4 /90	954.4 /90	160.7 /90	30.1 /90
A. Gutman	25	761909 min	331.6 /90	180.8 /90	110.5 /90	833.9 /90	291.4 /90	40.2 /90
J. Waterman	18	771384 min	140.9 /90	151 /90	140.9 /90	473.1 /90	181.2 /90	60.4 /90
M. Pineda	17	48817 min	232.5 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	374.1 /90	111.2 /90	10.1 /90
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Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Zinckernagel n 8	86.3	1.6 7/4	1.8 6/5	—
C. Brady n 8	91.5	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0	—
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	1.2 6/1	1.2 6/2	Bruno Damiani
J. Elliott n 8	90.8	0.4 3/0	0.2 2/0	Nathan Harriel
D. D'Avilla n 8	81.3	2.1 7/4	1.5 7/3	—
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Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	86.3	1.6 5/4
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	1.2 5/2
J. Elliott n 8	90.8	1.2 6/2
D. D'Avilla n 8	81.3	0.8 5/1
A. Saletros n 8	74.8	1.2 6/2
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Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Dithejane	21	41867 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	202.1 /90	121.2 /90	161.7 /90	202.1 /90
R. Lewandowski	16	771225 min	70.5 /90	20.1 /90	272 /90	131 /90	131 /90	120.9 /90
H. Cuypers	11	90989 min	131.2 /90	00 /90	343.1 /90	222 /90	111 /90	90.8 /90
J. Gómez	5	54270 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
Dylan Borso	2	4080 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.4 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90
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Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	86.3	2.1 7/5	1.2 6/3
C. Brady n 8	91.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	2.1 6/5	1.8 6/5
J. Elliott n 8	90.8	1.1 7/2	0.2 2/0
D. D'Avilla n 8	81.3	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
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Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	86.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Brady n 8	91.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	75.8	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
J. Elliott n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. D'Avilla n 8	81.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Goalkeeper

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andre Blake	26	912374 min	572.2 /90	391.5 /90	10 /90
Andrew Rick	9	92829 min	171.8 /90	121.3 /90	00 /90

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	91	2.7 6/5
Andrew Rick n 8	92.4	1.9 4/1

Philadelphia Union Defensive

Philadelphia Union — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nathan Harriel	33	892953 min	561.7 /90	862.6 /90	110.3 /90	2126.5 /90	431.3 /90	50.2 /90
Frankie Westfield	28	822297 min	471.8 /90	371.4 /90	60.2 /90	1696.6 /90	311.2 /90	20.1 /90
Olwethu Makhanya	17	871477 min	362.2 /90	211.3 /90	60.4 /90	895.4 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90
Japhet Sery Larsen	16	781251 min	221.6 /90	251.8 /90	80.6 /90	503.6 /90	332.4 /90	70.5 /90
K. Wagner	15	901343 min	201.3 /90	281.9 /90	70.5 /90	553.7 /90	120.8 /90	40.3 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	0.7 5/1	1 7/1	J. Elliott
Milan Iloski n 8	77.6	0.9 4/2	0.9 4/2	—
Bruno Damiani n 8	82.4	3 8/6	1.5 6/3	M. Haile-Selassie
Jovan Lukić n 8	74.1	1.7 7/3	0.5 2/1	—
Indiana Vassilev n 8	59.8	1.3 5/2	1.5 5/3	—
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Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	1.2 7/2
Milan Iloski n 8	77.6	0.3 2/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	82.4	1.5 7/3
Jovan Lukić n 8	74.1	3.2 7/6
Indiana Vassilev n 8	59.8	0.6 2/1
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Philadelphia Union Attacking

Philadelphia Union — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Milan Iloski	33	812659 min	180.6 /90	30.1 /90	883 /90	421.4 /90	622.1 /90	110.4 /90
Bruno Damiani	33	722387 min	120.5 /90	20.1 /90	532 /90	210.8 /90	311.2 /90	110.4 /90
Ezekiel Alladoh	23	491137 min	20.2 /90	30.2 /90	161.3 /90	80.6 /90	161.3 /90	90.7 /90
Agustin Anello	15	39579 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	60.9 /90	91.4 /90	91.4 /90
Stas Kornzeniowski	9	46412 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	143.1 /90	81.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
Milan Iloski n 8	77.6	3.8 8/7	1.7 7/3
Bruno Damiani n 8	82.4	2 5/4	1 4/2
Jovan Lukić n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	59.8	0.9 4/1	0.8 3/1
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Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Milan Iloski n 8	77.6	1 5/1	0 0/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	82.4	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	59.8	0.2 1/0	0.9 3/2
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chicago Fire		Philadelphia Union
49%	Possession	51%
1.00	Expected goals (xG)	2.46
8	Shots	19
4	Shots on target	8
2	Shots off target	6
2	Blocked shots	5
5	Shots inside the box	13
2	Corners	7
3	Offsides	1
12	Fouls	16
4	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
4	Saves	3
405	Passes	413
74%	Pass accuracy	74%

Chicago Fire Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Brady	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Mbokazi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.5
N. Allen	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7.5
M. Pineda	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
M. Haile-Selassie	90	1	0	2	2	1	1	0	8
A. Saletros	72	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Dean	68	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
J. Gómez	68	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
R. Lewandowski	68	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
J. Elliott	46	0	0	0	0	1	0	RY	5.6
Jonathan Bamba	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
A. Hanche-Olsen sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
P. Zinckernagel sub	22	0	0	2	1	0	1	Y	6.3
P. Dithejane sub	22	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
Leonardo Barroso sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
S. Oregel sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Philadelphia Union Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Andre Blake	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Frankie Westfield	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	7.2
Neil Pierre	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.3
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	7.7
Jovan Lukić	90	0	1	0	0	3	3	0	7.2
Q. Sullivan	89	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	7.6
Milan Iloski	89	1	0	4	2	3	0	0	7.9
Cavan Sullivan	80	0	1	4	3	2	1	0	6.5
Bruno Damiani	80	2	1	3	2	2	1	0	9.7
Jesus Bueno	57	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Indiana Vassilev sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Ezekiel Alladoh sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Ben Bender sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Japhet Sery Larsen sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Malik Jakupovic sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Chicago FireLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Philadelphia UnionWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chicago Fire 2 · 1 draw · Philadelphia Union 3 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-03-21 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire
2025-11-01 Chicago Fire 0–3 Philadelphia Union
2025-10-26 Philadelphia Union 2–2 Chicago Fire
2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire
2025-06-26 Chicago Fire 0–1 Philadelphia Union
2024-07-04 Chicago Fire 4–3 Philadelphia Union

League standing · 2026

Chicago Fire#4 pos55 pts34 pl+10 GD

Philadelphia Union#6 pos50 pts34 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

Chicago Fire scored1.88

Philadelphia Union scored1.94

Chicago Fire conceded1.59

Philadelphia Union conceded1.53

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union?: In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Fire won 2, Philadelphia Union won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union?: Recent form — Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L; Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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