Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire prediction

Major League Soccer ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire, Major League Soccer on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 01:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 478 of 727 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Colorado Rapids host Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Chicago Fire’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Colorado Rapids are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Colorado Rapids’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Colorado Rapids’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Colorado Rapids have six wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 2.10 points per game, scoring 1.30 and conceding 0.90. Colorado Rapids have scored 42 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Colorado Rapids have conceded 41 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 30 clubs.

11 of Chicago Fire’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Chicago Fire have three wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.78. Chicago Fire have scored 55 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Chicago Fire have conceded 46 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 30 clubs.

Colorado Rapids (eighth) and Chicago Fire (fourth) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chicago Fire the stronger side, 111 rating points above Colorado Rapids (Chicago Fire 1578, Colorado Rapids 1467, after at least 325 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Chicago Fire are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Colorado Rapids, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 20 April 2019, finished Chicago Fire 4–1 Colorado Rapids.

Team news

Predicted Colorado Rapids XI (4-3-3): N. Hansen, M. Navarro, R. Holding, L. Williams, K. Thompson, W. Frederick, J. Atencio, H. Ojediran, M. Whittaker, D. Phillip, D. Yapi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rafael Navarro (5.0 per match over 22 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) and Morgan Whittaker (4.2 per match over eight appearances, four goals) have been Colorado Rapids’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Colorado Rapids (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Rafael Navarro averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2781 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Morgan Whittaker averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1002 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Chicago Fire XI (4-3-3): C. Brady, M. Mbokazi, L. Barroso, A. Hanche-Olsen, J. Elliott, A. Saletros, D. D'Avilla, A. Mekvabishvili, R. Lewandowski, M. Haile-Selassie, P. Zinckernagel — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, H. Cuypers (7.8 per match over 11 appearances, 13 goals) and P. Zinckernagel (4.7 per match over 35 appearances, nine goals and eight assists) have been Chicago Fire’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chicago Fire (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), H. Cuypers averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2390 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. P. Zinckernagel averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 2736 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Colorado Rapids 0 · draws 1 · Chicago Fire 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colorado Rapids 1W 3D 1L · Chicago Fire 2W 1D 2L

Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.43 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.29 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.71 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.14 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.75
Cards
against 0.71 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameColorado Rapids for / againstLineChicago Fire for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.43 for · 3.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.14 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
15.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.71 for · 4.14 against n 7
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.71 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
13.38 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 0.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids Goalkeeper

Colorado Rapids — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Hansen20901800 min552.8 /90191 /9000 /90
Z. Steffen992828 min283 /90151.6 /9000 /90
A. Beaudry290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Colorado Rapids — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colorado Rapids before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Hansen n 890
2.96/4
Z. Steffen n 892.3
2.96/5

Colorado Rapids Defensive

Colorado Rapids — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Holding27812186 min321.3 /90371.5 /90180.7 /90813.3 /90130.5 /9040.2 /90
M. Navarro23821885 min351.7 /90211 /9040.2 /901135.4 /90381.8 /9080.4 /90
L. Herrington17911548 min211.2 /90140.8 /90191.1 /90724.2 /90181 /9040.2 /90
R. Cannon17731236 min130.9 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90382.8 /90191.4 /9050.4 /90
K. Thompson16641028 min191.7 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90484.2 /90181.6 /9050.4 /90
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Colorado Rapids — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colorado Rapids before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Aaronson n 877.8
1.44/3
1.26/2
—
R. Holding n 883.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
W. Frederick n 876.5
1.36/3
1.97/4
—
H. Ojediran n 872.6
1.95/4
0.62/1
—
J. Atencio n 863.6
2.15/4
0.53/0
—
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Colorado Rapids — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colorado Rapids before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Aaronson n 877.8
1.34/2
R. Holding n 883.5
1.25/3
W. Frederick n 876.5
1.55/3
H. Ojediran n 872.6
1.96/2
J. Atencio n 863.6
1.86/3
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Colorado Rapids Attacking

Colorado Rapids — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Yapi26561452 min40.2 /9020.1 /90181.1 /9090.6 /90161 /90171.1 /90
G. Minoungou24621491 min10.1 /9020.1 /90191.1 /9090.5 /90261.6 /90442.7 /90
Rafael Navarro22911991 min100.5 /9030.1 /90532.4 /90311.4 /90261.2 /90210.9 /90
D. Sealy20561112 min00 /9020.2 /90191.5 /9070.6 /90191.5 /90110.9 /90
D. Phillip1152575 min30.5 /9000 /90162.5 /90101.6 /9060.9 /9000 /90
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Colorado Rapids — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colorado Rapids before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Aaronson n 877.8
1.46/3
1.24/3
R. Holding n 883.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
W. Frederick n 876.5
0.73/1
0.43/0
H. Ojediran n 872.6
0.95/1
0.32/0
J. Atencio n 863.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Colorado Rapids — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colorado Rapids before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Aaronson n 877.8
0.43/0
0.42/1
R. Holding n 883.5
00/0
0.11/0
W. Frederick n 876.5
00/0
00/0
H. Ojediran n 872.6
00/0
00/0
J. Atencio n 863.6
00/0
0.21/0
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Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Brady34913098 min1002.9 /90471.4 /9000 /90
J. Cohen290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 890.8
3.16/6

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Elliott31882731 min301 /90230.8 /90260.9 /90983.2 /90291 /9090.3 /90
A. Gutman28752103 min401.7 /90190.8 /90110.5 /90944 /90341.5 /9050.2 /90
J. Dean27772089 min431.9 /90311.3 /9090.4 /90994.3 /90170.7 /9030.1 /90
Leonardo Barroso20701404 min312 /90211.3 /9030.2 /90553.5 /90201.3 /9020.1 /90
M. Mbokazi18881580 min311.8 /90191.1 /90171 /90784.4 /90130.7 /9050.3 /90
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Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Zinckernagel n 872.6
2.57/4
26/5
—
C. Brady n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Haile-Selassie n 887.1
0.84/1
1.27/2
—
J. Elliott n 885.3
1.14/2
0.32/0
—
A. Saletros n 882
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
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Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 872.6
2.37/5
M. Haile-Selassie n 887.1
1.25/3
J. Elliott n 885.3
1.25/2
A. Saletros n 882
1.44/3
D. D'Avilla n 874.4
1.56/2
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Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jonathan Bamba27611655 min40.2 /9030.2 /90362 /90181 /90271.5 /90201.1 /90
P. Dithejane2440957 min40.4 /9010.1 /90212 /90131.2 /90171.6 /90212 /90
R. Lewandowski20761518 min70.4 /9020.1 /90352.1 /90140.8 /90150.9 /90150.9 /90
H. Cuypers1190989 min131.2 /9000 /90343.1 /90222 /90111 /9090.8 /90
J. Gómez755383 min00 /9000 /9040.9 /9020.5 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
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Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 872.6
3.18/7
1.57/3
C. Brady n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 887.1
1.76/5
15/3
J. Elliott n 885.3
1.16/2
0.11/0
A. Saletros n 882
1.87/4
0.85/1
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Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 872.6
0.32/0
00/0
C. Brady n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 887.1
0.54/0
0.32/0
J. Elliott n 885.3
00/0
00/0
A. Saletros n 882
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Colorado RapidsLDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Chicago FireWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Colorado Rapids 0 · 1 draw · Chicago Fire 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2019-04-20 Chicago Fire 4–1 Colorado Rapids
  • 2018-06-14 Colorado Rapids 2–2 Chicago Fire
  • 2017-05-18 Chicago Fire 3–0 Colorado Rapids
League standing · 2026
Colorado Rapids#8 pos42 pts31 pl+1 GD
Chicago Fire#4 pos51 pts31 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Colorado Rapids scored1.35
Chicago Fire scored1.77
Colorado Rapids conceded1.32
Chicago Fire conceded1.48

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire?
In their last 3 meetings, Colorado Rapids won 0, Chicago Fire won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire?
Recent form — Colorado Rapids 1W 3D 1L; Chicago Fire 2W 1D 2L.

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