DC United v New York Red Bulls result

Full-time · DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 BST · Audi Field

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: DC United · New York Red Bulls · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls — DC United won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home shots total over 9.5.

Free pick

Home shots total over 9.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match report, in numbers

The result

DC United beat New York Red Bulls 2–1 at Audi Field in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: New York Red Bulls out-shot DC United 24 to 4 and created the better chances, 2.75 xG to 1.23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

DC United led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — DC United: T. Baribo (5’ pen) and Silvan Hefti (45’, assisted by T. Baribo); New York Red Bulls: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (71’, assisted by Emil Forsberg). Lucas Bartlett (68’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Baribo’s goal on 5 minutes.

Discipline

Guido Gonzales Jr, USA showed six yellow cards and one red — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — DC United: Lucas Bartlett (22’), Jackson Hopkins (29’) and Lucas Bartlett (68’); New York Red Bulls: D. Padelford (19’), Dylan Nealis (67’) and Ronald Donkor (73’).

What it changes

DC United have scored 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). DC United have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most of the 15 clubs.

New York Red Bulls have scored 39 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 29 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Baribo (DC United) 10.6, Silvan Hefti (DC United) 10.6 and Emil Forsberg (New York Red Bulls) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, DC United shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
Venue: Audi Field · Washington, District of Columbia
Referee: Guido Gonzales Jr, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): DC United 1 · draws 2 · New York Red Bulls 3 · 5 goals/game
Recent form: DC United 1W 2D 2L · New York Red Bulls 3W 0D 2L

DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1

Goals

against 2 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.5 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.92 yellows

Referee · Guido Gonzales Jr, USA

24.67 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	DC United for / against	Line	New York Red Bulls for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.88 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Guido Gonzales Jr, USA — 4.92 yellow cards a game, 0.42 red cards, 24.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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DC United

DC United Goalkeeper

DC United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sean Johnson	26	912370 min	963.6 /90	401.5 /90	10 /90

DC United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sean Johnson n 8	90	4.1 7/6

DC United Defensive

DC United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Keisuke Kurokawa	26	912358 min	371.4 /90	391.5 /90	50.2 /90	863.3 /90	180.7 /90	40.2 /90
Lucas Bartlett	25	912277 min	240.9 /90	271.1 /90	271.1 /90	1335.3 /90	361.4 /90	50.2 /90
Silvan Hefti	23	831914 min	633 /90	291.4 /90	40.2 /90	984.6 /90	281.3 /90	50.2 /90
Kye Rowles	21	911910 min	401.9 /90	371.7 /90	261.2 /90	944.4 /90	110.5 /90	40.2 /90
Nikola Markovic	10	44437 min	112.3 /90	81.6 /90	40.8 /90	377.6 /90	142.9 /90	00 /90
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DC United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sean Johnson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Keisuke Kurokawa n 8	90	0.5 2/2	0.4 3/0	—
Jackson Hopkins n 8	53.6	1.7 7/1	1.3 4/2	—
Lucas Bartlett n 8	90	1.3 5/4	1 4/3	—
Matti Peltola n 8	53.4	0.2 1/0	2.1 7/3	—
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DC United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Keisuke Kurokawa n 8	90	1.5 6/4
Jackson Hopkins n 8	53.6	1.3 5/1
Lucas Bartlett n 8	90	1.3 5/3
Matti Peltola n 8	53.4	2.7 5/3
Brandon Servania n 8	56.6	4 6/6
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DC United Attacking

DC United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Baribo	20	861722 min	140.7 /90	00 /90	432.2 /90	221.1 /90	160.8 /90	80.4 /90
Louis Munteanu	19	731386 min	50.3 /90	20.1 /90	493.2 /90	221.4 /90	181.2 /90	70.5 /90
N. Ordaz	10	42423 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.5 /90	20.4 /90	112.3 /90	00 /90
Gabriel Pirani	7	68474 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
Jacob Murrell	4	2183 min	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.2 /90	00 /90
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DC United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sean Johnson n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Keisuke Kurokawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jackson Hopkins n 8	53.6	0.6 3/0	0.6 3/0
Lucas Bartlett n 8	90	1 5/3	0.5 3/1
Matti Peltola n 8	53.4	0.6 3/0	0.4 2/0
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DC United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for DC United before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sean Johnson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Keisuke Kurokawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Jackson Hopkins n 8	53.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Bartlett n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Matti Peltola n 8	53.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	28	892498 min	953.4 /90	521.9 /90	10 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	4.4 7/7

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dylan Nealis	24	842019 min	381.7 /90	281.2 /90	170.8 /90	1325.9 /90	271.2 /90	40.2 /90
Matthew Dos Santos	21	681422 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	00 /90	513.2 /90	161 /90	10.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	20	701400 min	301.9 /90	140.9 /90	70.5 /90	603.9 /90	120.8 /90	30.2 /90
J. Che	17	841421 min	322 /90	221.4 /90	201.3 /90	774.9 /90	140.9 /90	50.3 /90
J. Bazan	13	821061 min	292.5 /90	262.2 /90	100.8 /90	776.5 /90	131.1 /90	40.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	1 4/2	2 7/3	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.9	0.4 3/0	0.9 4/2	—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	61.5	1.3 4/1	0.4 1/1	—
Cade Cowell n 8	63	1.1 4/1	1.8 6/2	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.6 3/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.9	1.6 5/3
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	61.5	0.4 2/0
Cade Cowell n 8	63	0.5 3/0
Ronald Donkor n 8	82.1	2.9 7/6
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	27	862310 min	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	501.9 /90	321.2 /90	180.7 /90	351.4 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	26	701826 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	381.9 /90	201 /90	251.2 /90	130.6 /90
Cade Cowell	26	681761 min	20.1 /90	60.3 /90	331.7 /90	231.2 /90	361.8 /90	251.3 /90
Mohammed Sofo	18	48855 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	111.2 /90	50.5 /90	131.4 /90	80.8 /90
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	10	40404 min	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	112.5 /90	81.8 /90	71.6 /90	40.9 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	2.5 6/5	1.7 5/3
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	61.5	1.6 6/1	0.5 3/0
Cade Cowell n 8	63	1.8 7/3	1.4 5/3
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	78.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	61.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cade Cowell n 8	63	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DC United		New York Red Bulls
25%	Possession	75%
1.23	Expected goals (xG)	2.75
4	Shots	24
3	Shots on target	6
1	Shots off target	13
0	Blocked shots	5
4	Shots inside the box	23
3	Corners	11
3	Offsides	0
9	Fouls	12
3	Yellow cards	3
1	Red cards	0
5	Saves	1
199	Passes	611
58%	Pass accuracy	89%

DC United Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Baribo	90	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	8.5
Sean Johnson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Silvan Hefti	90	1	0	1	1	0	9	0	8.2
Kimito Nono	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
Keisuke Kurokawa	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
A. Dozzell	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Kye Rowles	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Brandon Servania	70	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.7
Lucas Bartlett	68	0	0	0	0	0	1	RY	5.9
O. Avilez	56	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
Jackson Hopkins	56	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
Jared Stroud sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
João Peglow sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7
S. Nealis sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ethan Horvath	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Dylan Nealis	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7
J. Bazan	90	0	0	3	1	1	1	0	7.2
D. Padelford	90	0	0	2	0	1	2	Y	6.7
Mohammed Sofo	90	0	0	4	1	0	5	0	6.6
Julian Hall	90	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	6.9
Ronald Donkor	78	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	7.9
J. Che	57	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
Adri Mehmeti	57	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Jorge Ruvalcaba	57	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Cade Cowell	57	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	6.6
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub	33	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
C. Harper sub	33	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6
Emil Forsberg sub	33	0	1	1	1	7	0	0	7.5
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting sub	33	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	8
S. Kone sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind DC United v New York Red Bulls — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

DC UnitedWDLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

New York Red BullsLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

DC United 1 · 2 draws · New York Red Bulls 3 · 5 goals/game

2026-04-22 New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United
2025-05-24 DC United 0–2 New York Red Bulls
2025-04-19 New York Red Bulls 1–2 DC United
2024-06-29 New York Red Bulls 2–2 DC United
2024-05-15 DC United 1–4 New York Red Bulls
2023-09-23 DC United 3–5 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2026

DC United#14 pos33 pts34 pl-22 GD

New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

DC United scored1.15

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

DC United conceded1.79

New York Red Bulls conceded1.82

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for DC United v New York Red Bulls?: TACTIX’s free model pick for DC United v New York Red Bulls was Home shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between DC United and New York Red Bulls?: In their last 6 meetings, DC United won 1, New York Red Bulls won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of DC United and New York Red Bulls?: Recent form — DC United 1W 2D 2L; New York Red Bulls 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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